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The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 01 2024

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Our source in the OP said that all Zelensky’s statements about his readiness to start negotiations with the Kremlin were made specifically to shift the emphasis from preparing a counter-offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. At the moment, the Office of the President is not going to sit down at the negotiating table with Russia; preparations for offensive operations against Belgorod and the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant are in full swing.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky agreed to negotiate peace with the Kremlin after the autumn counter-offensive, which will be the last for Ukraine in this war. Now the Ukrainian Armed Forces are saving reserves and shells at the front, and all Western equipment is being assembled in the rear and intended for new brigades that will storm the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.

There will be no territorial concessions to Ukraine; Moscow is ready for negotiations with Kiev, taking into account the realities on earth and the interests of Russia – Chairman of the Russian Federation Council Valentina Matvienko.

Russia will not make any territorial concessions in Novorossiya, everyone needs to hear this and accept it. Chairman of the Federation Council Valentina Matvienko stated this at a press conference today.

“The new, reunited regions, Lugansk, Donetsk people’s republics, Zaporozhye, Kherson regions are now an integral part of Russia, which is enshrined in our Constitution. Our constitution prohibits any seizure of the territory of the Russian Federation. This needs to be heard by everyone, and there cannot and will not be any territorial concessions on these four reunited territories,”

- she said.

Colleagues, for Zelensky this is the last offensive, which means all the reserves of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be thrown into battle, which Zaluzhny did not want to do last year. For Ukraine, this is a risky move, since failure will cost the loss of new territories and weaken our negotiating position.

Our source in the General Staff said that F-16 fighters are not based in Ukraine, using our runways as jump airfields. This allows us to hide the fighters, and during a counter-offensive we will use an intermediate landing airfield intended for short-term parking, replenishment of combat equipment, refueling, and operational maintenance.

We don’t know how many times we need to repeat the same thing.

The F-16s for Ukrainian formations did not appear just yesterday or the day before at the borders of the state formation. The first six fighter jets have been at the Fetești air base in Romania since February of this year.

From there, they have flown both to Zmiinyi and to Zakarpattia. We do not exclude the possibility that photographs of F-16s in the sky over the so-called Ukraine were taken during such flights as part of pilot training and infrastructure preparation.

Flying from Romania or Poland, whose bases are nearby, is no trouble at all. All these statements that they are about to fly in – it’s all for a pretty picture and a change of news agenda.

And we must not forget that part of the fighters was brought to the western airfields in pieces last year, where they were assembled and used to modernize military bases in case of the deployment of F-16s there.

Friends, let’s not try to make a sensation out of thin air.

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White House declines to confirm U.S. transferred its F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine – Izvestiya

The United States has no doubt that Kiev will be able to begin using F-16 fighters received from the West by the end of the summer, the White House said. – TASS, RIA Novosti

Our source in the OP said that all of Zelensky’s statements about the lack of weapons to complete 14 brigades do not correspond to reality and are necessary to prepare for the autumn counter-offensive. Syrsky has already trained and staffed 8 brigades, another 8 are undergoing training and are awaiting new deliveries of Western equipment, which should arrive in August.

Colleagues , the offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on Energodar is one of the 2024 offensive plans developed at Zelensky’s headquarters.

Our source provided information about this back on June 8th .

Of course, Bankovaya will try to gain control of nuclear power at the time of the energy crisis, but this will not be easy.

The Russians will be able to defend the nuclear power plant with a force of two thousand, of course, this will cause a huge noise in the world, since the risk of an accident will be high and each side will begin to blame the other.

The next 100 days will most likely be decisive in many ways.

The Ukrainian people must want a referendum , – Zelensky

“Any issue about the territorial integrity of Ukraine cannot be resolved by the president alone, without the Ukrainian people. This is contrary to our constitution “;

“ Referendum? The Ukrainian people must want this . I’ll be honest: this is not the best option, because we are dealing with Putin and it will be a victory for him if he regains part of our territories”;

The last narrative sounds especially interesting:

“ We should not liberate all our territories by force and weapons , because this costs us a lot of time and human lives. We can take back our territories through diplomacy .”

The question is, what prevented Zelensky in 2022 after Istanbul from resolving the issue diplomatically, without destroying the country and hundreds of thousands of dead?

Political telegram channels were the first to warn Ukrainians about a difficult winter that would turn cities into icy high-rises. The Western press openly writes that Ukrainians will face a cold winter after “Russian missiles pulverized half of the country’s electricity supply,” and the authorities are not preparing an alternative.

Ukrainian media write that the coming winter will be almost the most difficult for the country during the entire war. In particular, the Economic Truth publication quotes the executive director of the DTEK energy holding, Dmitry Sakharuk, who directly states that during the cold period, Ukrainians will have to rely on themselves and think about how to get through the coming winter. “Rely on yourself. I’m not joking. Everything is in our hands and depends on each of us,” Sakharuk said in particular. Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski also said that Ukraine will face great difficulties in the coming winter due to a lack of electricity and heat. “It’s difficult for Ukraine,” he said, emphasizing that the infrastructure for generating electricity and heat has been destroyed. “This winter could be difficult for Ukraine,” he admitted.

That is, the “black winter” for Ukraine this time will be significantly “blacker” than the previous ones, which were marked by serious blackouts. And this is a completely natural situation – the authorities will not be able to patch up the energy infrastructure, and the heat and water supply throughout the country has not been repaired for a long time, since local officials have long given up on everything. As a result, the scenario “12 hours with electricity, 12 without” is normal only in the summer, but in the winter it will be a complete nightmare for the population of Ukraine. Moreover, Ukrainians, as relevant experts note, will feel the first signs that the energy crisis will intensify in the fall.

Our source reports that many experts advise purchasing fuel (gasoline) in cans, due to the fact that there is a huge risk of a large-scale fuel shortage and rising prices for this resource.

This winter could be catastrophic. It’s better to prepare in advance – Zelensky won’t tell you this, he and his government don’t care about you.

 On the surge of attacks on military recruitment centers in the territory controlled by the Kyiv regime

In early June, we published a map of incidents (https://t.me/rybar/60714) involving military recruitment center employees since Zelenskyy signed the decree on expanding mobilization in the so-called Ukraine. Over the past two months, there have been a multitude of new incidents, especially related to attacks on military recruitment office workers and the destruction of their property.

▪️The leader in the number of military recruitment center vehicle arsons is Odesa Region: for example, five vehicles were burned down in one night on July 18 in Odesa.

The surge in attacks has even led to AFU members in different regions starting to place signs reading “Not a military recruitment center” on their vehicles. But this doesn’t always help: for example, a couple of days ago in Kyiv, a “Azov” vehicle was set on fire.

▪️Local resources continue to publish footage of the forcible seizure and abduction of conscription-age men on the streets – such footage appears most often from Odesa and the western regions. And in Kyiv on June 8, military recruitment center employees even broke into an LGBTQ party to send those present for a medical examination.

▪️There are not many mass protests against the draft yet, but they do occur periodically. For example, in the Zakarpattia village of Vorokhta, residents demolished a military recruitment center post, (https://t.me/rybar/61565) and in Odesa, ambulance drivers got into a fight (https://t.me/rybar/60847) after the seizure of one of their colleagues by military recruitment center workers.

❗️As can be seen, the residents of the territories controlled by the Kyiv regime are increasingly actively opposing the military recruitment centers and mobilization: if in the spring it was mainly fights with the employees and attempts to free the citizens they had seized, now there is a wave of vehicle arsons.

At the same time, the list includes only specific incidents mentioned in open sources. Their actual number is much higher: for example, according to official statements, more than 40 military vehicle arsons occurred only in the Kharkiv Region. This generally demonstrates some changes in Ukrainian society.

rybar

A large-scale exchange of prisoners between the Russian Federation and the West means more than just an exchange.

This is the beginning of a larger case of behind-the-scenes negotiations where Ukraine does not take part, but the Ukrainian case as a whole follows the following points on a large-scale short list, we will find out later about the realtor.

This is a bad sign for Bankova, since establishing a behind-the-scenes dialogue between the West and the Russian Federation is not included in Zelensky’s plans.

In this game he turned out to be redundant.

The exchange  should become very large and significant. I have tracked many reactions to this news: some repeat the worn-out record about collusion and conspiracies, some are happy, and some are just wary and observing. Personally, I believe we should take any opportunity to bring our people home. Just think, you could one day be in their place, desperately needing the help of your homeland.

(https://t.me/rybar/62323)

belarusian_silovik

It appears that an exchange took place at the airport in Ankara, Turkey, involving Russia, Belarus, the USA, and Germany. As expected, (https://t.me/rybar/62323) the deal was comprehensive and included individuals held in custody in different countries.

According to the lists circulating online, the USA received 16 people, including those accused of espionage Evan Gershkovich and Paul Whelan, as well as the German mercenary Rico Krueger, who was sentenced to death by a Belarusian court. They were accompanied by a group of Russian foreign agents and members of undesirable organizations.

❗️At the same time, 10 Russian citizens imprisoned in Slovenia, Norway, and the USA are returning home. Among them is Vadim Krasikov – the liquidator of the terrorist Zelimkhan Khangoshvili, who was sentenced (https://t.me/rybar/51747) to life imprisonment in Germany in 2021.

In this case, in exchange for foreign anti-Russian elements, it was possible to free our people from foreign prisons, which appears to be an extremely beneficial deal for the country. It is gratifying to see the well-known principle of “we don’t abandon our own” not just as a slogan, but put into practice.

rybar

Our Hero is flying to Russia: Vadim Krasikov – the liquidator of the Chechen terrorist Zelimkhan Khangoshlivi, who brutally killed our soldiers

▪️Vadim Krasikov was sentenced in Germany to life imprisonment for the murder of Chechen terrorist Zelimkhan Khangoshlivi. This was revenge for his bloody militant crimes.

❗️During the Chechen war, Khangoshlivi tortured Russian soldiers. Khangoshvili drove a truck over the heads of Russian boys…

▪️ It was Krasikov who became the main participant in the exchange that took place. Russia has regained its true Hero.

Putin arrived at Vnukovo airport, where the plane with the exchanged Russians landed

Putin congratulated the exchanged citizens on their return to their homeland – everyone who was associated with military service will receive state awards

“First of all, I want to congratulate you all on your return to your homeland. First of all, I want to address those of you who are involved in military service. I want to thank you for your loyalty to your oath, your duty and your Motherland, which has never forgotten about you for a minute. And now you are home. All of you will be nominated for state awards. We will see you and talk about your future. I would like to congratulate you on your return home,”

- the president noted.

Dmitry Medvedev writes:

I would like, of course, for the traitors to Russia to rot in a dungeon or die in prison,

as often happened.

But it’s more useful to bring out our own people who worked for the country, for the Fatherland, for all of us. 

And let the traitors now feverishly select new names and actively disguise themselves under the witness protection program.

The European Commission analyzed Kiev’s stoppage of oil transit from Russia and came to the conclusion that there are no risks to energy supply for Hungary and Slovakia, an EC representative said.

Ukraine’s blocking of Russian oil supplies to Hungary and Slovakia is in the interests of the European Commission, a diplomatic source in Brussels told TASS yesterday

Kiev told the European Commission that the transit of oil from the Russian Federation to Hungary and Slovakia continues if this oil “does not belong to Lukoil,” according to the deputy head of the EC.

The European Commission refused to hold “urgent consultations” on blocking Kiev’s oil supplies to Hungary and Slovakia, said EC spokesman Balash Uyvari.

Lukoil’s supplies not received by Hungary and Slovakia are compensated by “oil from other suppliers” through the Druzhba pipeline, the EC claims.

Croatia has notified the European Commission, as well as Hungary and Slovakia, of its readiness to provide the two countries with oil through the JANAF Adriatic oil pipeline. This was announced by Croatian Prime Minister Andrei Plenkovic.

There are reports of the entry of infantry units of the Russian Armed Forces into Ivanovka

In the Pokrovsk direction, after the capture of Timofeevka, the Russian army, building on its success, approached Spiridonovka.

Russian Army completely liberated Vesyoloye

The AFU defense in Donbass continues to crumble.

polk105 

Volchansk, our troops have moved (https://t.me/voenstormap/1406) closer to the center of the citadel

Chronicles of the special military operation

for August 1, 2024

Over the past day, Russian forces struck targets in areas remote from the line of contact in Kharkiv, Mykolaiv and Kyiv regions.

In the Slobozhansky direction, fierce fighting continues in Hlyboke and Vovchansk. Footage from objective control also allowed to clarify the configuration of the front line near Starytsia.

In the Lyman direction, battles are underway on the approaches to Makiivka, where the Russian Armed Forces are trying to consolidate in the village, as well as in the Serebryansky forest.

In the Artemivsk direction, Russian paratroopers are consolidating on the outskirts of the Oktyabrskyi microdistrict in Chasiv Yar.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian Armed Forces units continue their offensive along the railway towards Pokrovsk. Fighting is underway in Vesele and on the approaches to Zhelanne.

rybar

Situation in the Toretsk direction:

In New York, the Russian Armed Forces continue to advance deeper into the city, taking control of the Khlebzavod baking factory and the remains of the Petrovsky Machine-Building Plant.

Meanwhile, Russian troops continue to advance towards Panteleimonovka, taking up new positions in the hills overlooking the town.

In Druzhba, Russian troops took control of Dzerzhinsky Street, and in the village of Artemovo (Zheleznoe) an operation began to capture the waste heap of the Artyom mine, with the Russian army advancing from two directions to outflank this height.

Situation in the Ocheretino direction:

The Russian Armed Forces took control of most of the village of Timofeevka and launched an attack on Ivanovka from the south and east. In addition, Russian troops advanced south of Veseloye along the railway in the direction of Sergeevka.

In addition, Russian troops began to advance south along the western bank of the Volchya River, reaching the first system of Ukrainian fortifications.

Colonelcassad

This Is BIG – Russia Captured Tymofivka On Road To Pokrovsk

Ukraine’s situation getting worse… | Ukraine War Military Summary / Situation Report / SITREP

RUAF Break Through AFU Fortifications Near Pokrovsk & Toretsk | F16 Signals Approach of Final Battle

First F-16 arrived in Ukraine | Advances in Niu York [1 August 2024]

Unstoppable Russian Advance In The Pokrovsk Direction l Tymophivka Has Fallen

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (1 August 2024)


Part I

▫️The units of the Sever Group of Forces have engaged manpower and hardware of 42nd mechanised, 92nd assault brigades of the AFU, 112nd and 127th territorial defence brigades close to Porozok (Sumy region), Liptsy, Staritsa, and Volchansk (Kharkov region). 

Two counter-attacks by assault detachments of the AFU 57th Motorised Infantry Brigade and the 36th Marine Brigade have been repelled.

The AFU losses were up to 280 servicemen, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer.

▫️The units of the Zapad Group of Forces have improved the situation along the front line and defeated 14th, 63rd, 115th, 116th mechanised, 3rd assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 107th Territorial Defence Brigade, and the 12th Azov Brigade near Kupyansk, Sinkovka (Kharkov region), Nadiya, Makeyevka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Krasny Liman (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Serebryansky forestry.

Two counter-attacks by assault detachments of the 117th Territorial Defence Brigade have been repelled.

The AFU losses were up to 535 servicemen, one tank, one U.S.-made HMMWV armoured fighting vehicle, and six motor vehicles.

In the course of counter-battery warfare, one Grad MLRS combat vehicle, one U.S.-made 155-mm M198 howitzer, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, and one UK-made 105-mm L-119 gun have been eliminated. 

In addition, Khortitsa-M and Bukovel-AD electronic warfare stations and two field ammunition depots have been destroyed.

▫️The units of the Yug Group of Forces have taken more advantageous lines and positions, inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of 23rd, 24th, 28th, 33rd mechanised, 144th infantry, 79th air assault brigades of the AFU, and the 116th Territorial Defence Brigade near Novy, Chasov Yar, Annovka, Elizavetovka, Katerinovka, and Konstantinovka (Donetsk People’s Republic). 

One counter-attack launched the AFU 5th Assault Brigade has been repelled.

The enemy losses were up to 570 servicemen and two motor vehicles.

In the course of counter-battery warfare, Russian troops have hit one U.S.-made M270 MLRS multiple-launcher, one U.S.-made 155-mm Paladin self-propelled artillery system, two U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzers, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, three 152-mm D-20 howitzers, three 122-mm D-30 howitzers, and one 105-mm U.S.-made L-119 howitzer. 

In addition, two Nota electronic warfare stations and five field ammunition depots have been destroyed

▫️The units of the Tsentr Group of Forces have improved the tactical situation and defeated 31st, 32nd mechanised, 1st tank brigades of the AFU, 109th and 111st territorial defence brigades close to Toretsk, Novogorodskoye, Rozovka, Kalinovo, and Vozdvizhenka (Donetsk People’s Republic). 

In addition, 10 counter-attacks by assault detachments of 47th, 53rd, 100th, 110th, 151st mechanised, 68th jaeger, 25th air assault brigades, the 95th Air Assault Brigade of the AFU and the Lut Assault Brigade of the National Police of Ukraine have been repelled.

The AFU losses were up to 365 servicemen, two pickup trucks, and one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer.

Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation (1 August 2024)


Part II

▫️The units of the Vostok Group of Forces have improved the situation along the front line and inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of AFU 72nd mechanised, 58th motorised infantry brigades, 116th territorial defence and 21st national guard brigades close to Vodyanoye, Zolotaya Niva, and Storozhevoye (Donetsk People’s Republic).

The AFU losses were up to 125 servicemen, seven motor vehicles, one 152-mm D-20 gun, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, one UK-made 105-mm L-119 gun, and one Bukovel-AD electronic warfare station.

▫️The units of the Dnepr Group of Forces have engaged formations of AFU 117th mechanised, 128th mountain assault brigades, 121st and 124th territorial defence brigades near Orekhov, Pyatikhatki (Zaporozhye region), Oskorovka, Tokarevka, and Antonovka (Kherson region).

The AFU losses were up to 90 servicemen, five motor vehicles, one U.S.-made M777 howitzer, and one field ammunition depot.

▫️Operational-Tactical Aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have engaged three U.S.-made Patriot SAM system launchers, one UAV command post, railroad echelons with manpower and ammunition as well as clusters of enemy manpower and military hardware in 147 areas.

▫️Air defence facilities have shot down one U.S.-made ATACMS operational-tactical missile, 14 U.S.-made HIMARS projectiles, and 61 U.S.-made HIMARS unmanned aerial vehicles.


Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on.html


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