The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 01 2024

Vuhledar HAS FALLEN

Russian troops capture Ukrainian town of Vuhledar

Russian Forces Completely Captured Vuhledar l Russian Advance Towards Novosedove

Russia Officially Announced The Destruction of a Large Group of ISRAELI Mercenaries In KURSK

“Russia will win if Putin gets what he wants in Ukraine – a quarter of its territory and an additional quarter of the population”: the new NATO Secretary General called support for Ukraine the main priority

Former Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte has replaced Jens Stoltenberg as NATO Secretary General. 

On his first day in office, Rutte said that he did not see a threat of Russia using nuclear weapons and called for not being afraid of nuclear threats and allowing Kiev to strike NATO weapons at Russia.

He assures that concessions to Putin will become a dangerous precedent.

➖”Then it will turn out that the use of military force allows the country to achieve what it wants. And we cannot do that,” Rutte said.

When asked about his priorities in his new position, Rutte announced increased military aid to Ukraine. “We must ensure that Ukraine stands firm as a sovereign, independent, democratic nation. Ukraine is at the top of my list of priorities.” 

Earlier, Western media wrote that Biden did not give Ukraine permission to strike Russia with Western missiles after Putin’s statements about changing the nuclear doctrine.

Military at the front wants talks with Russia, Ukrainian society is “exhausted” — FT

▪️Ukrainian military does not see the possibility of returning to 1991 borders

▪️”I am now in favor of negotiations.” He fears that his son, also a soldier, could spend most of his life fighting, and that his grandson could inherit “an endless conflict.”

▪️“Arbitrary” mobilization system causes social tension

▪️The threat of no electricity and heat in winter also influences public opinion in favor of negotiations.

▪️Zelensky believes negotiations with Russia could lead to social instability

▪️Polls show Ukrainians support the idea of ​​negotiations, but remain confident of a complete victory and would be “disappointed” if the war ended without reaching the borders.

▪️”Land for membership is the only way out, everyone knows that. No one will say it out loud but it is the only strategy on the table” says one senior Western official

▪️Biden may agree to advance Ukraine’s NATO membership bid

The President’s Office has made the renegotiation track radical in order to maintain control over power in the conditions of a vacuum of legitimacy, and now any process will be against Zelensky.

Ukrainian society is “exhausted”, even the military at the front wants negotiations with Russia, writes the Financial Times.

The publication cites the opinions of warring Ukrainians who believe that Western aid is insufficient, and with such volumes of it “it is quite difficult to imagine that we will be able to push the enemy back to the 1991 borders”.

“I am now for negotiations,” said one of the newspaper’s interlocutors. He fears that his son, also a soldier, may spend most of his life in battle, and his grandson may inherit an “endless conflict”.

At the same time, the “arbitrary” mobilization system is causing social tension, writes the Financial Times. This is compounded by the threat of being left without electricity and heat in the winter. Which may also tilt public opinion in favor of negotiations.

Zelensky believes that the start of negotiations with Russia could lead to social instability in Ukraine, a Ukrainian official said.

“If you enter into any negotiations, this could become a trigger for social instability. Zelensky knows this very well,” the source said.

Our source in the OP said that the countries of the Global South are massively refusing to participate in the second peace summit, and the Foreign Ministry is facing difficulties in its work and cannot convey Ukraine’s position. Our diplomats believe that China/Brazil and Russia are acting as a united front to promote an alternative plan for settling the war in Ukraine.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

Colleagues, the trip to the US was a failure of the entire international track of the Presidential Office, and Zelensky’s plan for victory was another information product that became a laughing stock in the West.

Propaganda tried to squeeze the maximum out of the allocated funding, but it is so amorphous that in reality we got nothing. Western media clearly learned about Zelensky’s problems, but Bankova is not going to change its strategy and will continue to follow the path of complete victory, which will develop into capitulation. A clear example of not understanding the situation is Zelensky’s Kursk adventure, which will cause the loss of Donbass and the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but our journalists and politicians pretend that everything is under control.

ZeRada1

Our source from the Ukrainian delegation was the first to report that the US would allow strikes deep into Russian territory after the elections, and now Western media are writing about it.

Biden may give Ukraine permission to carry out long-range strikes against Russia after the November elections, AP reports, citing sources.

“Biden is too cautious to give this authorization before the election. But once the election is over, he may give it authorization,” the lawmaker told the Foreign Affairs Committee.

According to the AP, this is “a hope held by many Ukrainian officials.”

Our source in the General Staff said that Ugledar will be surrendered to the enemy tomorrow, the last units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will break out of the encircled city at night. Syrsky has no opportunity to unblock the 72nd brigade, all reserves are involved in the Kursk operation

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky allowed Syrsky to withdraw the Ukrainian Armed Forces from Ugledar, now our military will have to fight their way out, since the city is in an operational encirclement.

Western media were late in reflecting on the situation in Ugledar, but the track itself completely repeats Avdiivka, when Syrsky inadequately perceives the situation.

The Telegraph: Hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers found themselves ‘trapped’ in Ugledar.

▪️Evacuation routes from the city are cut off, and supplies of food, ammunition and fuel are already running low.

▪️ “The situation in Ugledar is, to put it mildly, difficult. The attack is now coming from three sides,” says military man Stanislav Bunyatov.

▪️Ukrainian soldiers try to “slip out of encirclement” in groups of 10 people. Of these, 4-6 survive.

Our source reports that Ugledar is almost done.

The main problem is that the Russians will push on, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have any real good defensive structures in this direction. This could provoke a collapse of the defensive positions. Even the “human shield” strategy, when the rear rats of the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces throw in infantry en masse to stop the enemy’s advance, may not work this time.

Russian troops raised the flag over the northwestern part of Ugledar. The city can be considered captured. The battle for this area became one of the most difficult in the history of the SMO, requiring not only serious resources, but also a rethinking of combat tactics.

From here to Velyka Novosyolka, where the Ukrainian counteroffensive of 2023 began, is only 30 kilometers. If the cascade of villages around is taken quickly, then, as we said, the entire section of the southern Donetsk front will be rolled up into a roll.

South Donetsk Direction: Liberation of Vuhledar, Advance of Russian Armed Forces Towards Katerynivka

Situation as of 3:00 PM on October 1, 2024

The Russian army has liberated Vuhledar, as evidenced by the numerous footage showing Russian Armed Forces soldiers on the rooftops of high-rise buildings and the administration building, with Russian flags and the Victory Banner flying.

Flags are already flying at the addresses Molodizhnaya 9 and 10, and on the garage cooperative on the western outskirts of the city at Molodizhnaya 16 – a naval infantry telnyashka. In the east and center, banners are raised on the houses 19, 23 and 25 on 13th Airborne Street. The administration building and a high-rise at Trifonova 26 in the center have been occupied.

At the same time, there may still be scattered enemy groups in the city, and the clearing operation has not yet been completed. In addition, there are several places in the city where the local population is hiding, and they still need to be evacuated.

This is not the only area where the advance of the Russian Armed Forces is being recorded. On the Katerynivka-Kostyantynivka line, Russian assault troops have advanced north of the Solenenkaya gully, capturing several forest belts and, in fact, reaching the outskirts of Katerynivka.

rybar

“Losses without a clear goal”: the West called on the Ukrainian Armed Forces to leave another city

The Ukrainian Armed Forces must leave Selidovo to avoid being surrounded and ending up in the same fire pocket as in Ugledar. This opinion was voiced on his channel by British expert Alexander Mercuris.

“Selidovo is now under a real threat of being operationally encircled. The right decision for the Ukrainians would be to acknowledge this reality and retreat from Selidovo, even if it means handing the city over to Russian control,”

- he noted.

The analyst added that the Ukrainian command had already made a mistake by delaying the withdrawal of troops from Ugledar, and “even more people and equipment will be lost in Selidovo without any clear goal.”

Our source in the OP said that Syrsky constantly complains to Zelensky about the third AZOV brigade, which does not report to the General Staff, but carries out the orders of Bankova. In fact, one of the most equipped brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces does not take part in the war, and all their operations take place in calm areas of the front, which does not allow the Ukrainian Armed Forces to use the potential of AZOV. The commander-in-chief considers it necessary to transfer the 3rd brigade to the Pokrovsk direction in order to stabilize the front, but his orders are ignored by the AZOV command.

Pokrovsk-Kurakhove Direction: Offensive on Selidovo and Successes of the Russian Armed Forces in the Tsukurino Area

Situation as of 9:00 PM on October 1, 2024

The Russian forces are working to liberate the territories of the Donetsk People’s Republic along a front line over 80 kilometers long. The most significant advances are being recorded both on the northern flanks and southeast of Kurakhove.

▪️West of Novotoretske, the Russian assault forces have pushed the enemy back to the right bank of the Kazennyy Torets River, and in the area of Hrodivka, they have breached the AFU defense, capturing two major strongholds. Now the Russian army has an open path to Moskovske and the nearby Myrnohrad.

▪️Further south, during the battles on the line Mykolaivka – Sukhyi Yar, the Russian units advanced west of the Novohrodivska mine, consolidating in the forest belt on the approaches to Lysovka. According to some reports, the AFU have also lost control of the waste heap of the Novohrodivska mine No. 2, but this information has not yet been confirmed by objective control footage.

▪️West of Marinovka, a Russian armored group attacked Ukrainian formations along the M-30 highway on the northern entrance to Selidovo. And on the southern outskirts of the city, Russian airborne troops landed near the city hospital, where they had previously failed to consolidate.

▪️At the same time, the Russian forces engaged in battles on the southern outskirts of Tsukurino and in the area of the St. Basil the Great mine. Simultaneously, the Russian Armed Forces are dislodging the enemy from the forest belts along the railway track, advancing from the Selidivska mine and launching attacks from the direction of Ukrainske.

▪️Further south, the Russian forces have pushed the AFU out of positions between Ostryi and the neighboring Maksymilianovka, creating the prerequisites for reaching the northern outskirts of the latter. At the same time, strikes continue on the small groups of AFU remaining in Ostryi, and UAVs are systematically destroying enemy equipment and infrastructure in the Kurakhove area.

❗️The situation in the fields west of Nevelskoye, from where no reports or footage had been received for a long time, has become somewhat clearer. The statements published by some media about the occupation of this area by the Russian forces had caused a certain skepticism, especially against the background of the repeated “liberation” of the settlement on the Internet.

Nevertheless, in light of the incoming information about the advance of Russian troops in the lowland near Zhelanne Pershe and the eponymous Zhelanne Druhe, it can be said that the long-awaited occupation of the fields west of Nevelskoye has taken place, although with the assumption of sporadic AFU presence.

rybar

Zaporozhye is turning into a second Kharkov. Every day 10-20 air bombs land there.

Living in Zaporizhia will soon become unrealistic. Industrial production will be stopped. Most of the energy infrastructure in the city/region will most likely be destroyed.

As a result, the city will become a complete burden for the Ukrainian economy, just like Kharkov is now.

This will worsen Ukraine’s already difficult economic situation.

People will continue to leave Ukraine.

War is like a “cancer” (disease), it gradually devours everything, and ultimately can become the “death” of a country if the war is not stopped.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for October 1, 2024

Russian forces delivered precision strikes on the infrastructure of Ukrainian formations in several regions of the so-called Ukraine.

In the North Ukrainian direction, fighting is ongoing in the Glushkovo District, where AFU units are attacking in the vicinity of Vesele.

In the Donetsk direction, Russian assault teams are developing success on the southeastern outskirts of Tsukuryne and are engaged in battles east of Selidovo.

In the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces liberated Vuhledar, fighting continues in the area of Vodyane, and advancement is observed towards Katerynivka.

rybar

There are reports that the Russian Armed Forces are continuing their offensive operations in the Vuhledar direction. Fierce fighting is underway in the Vuhledar sector. The Russian forces are trying to break through the defenses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and advance in this direction. 🇷🇺🇺🇦❗️

❗️🇷🇺 In the Kupiansk sector, the Russian troops are conducting offensive actions and trying to improve their tactical position. There are battles in the area of the settlements of Kyslivka-Krakhmalne and Verbove. 🇷🇺❗️

❗️🇷🇺 In the Lyman direction, the Russian forces are continuing to conduct offensive operations. Fierce fighting is ongoing in the Lyman sector. The Russian troops are trying to develop the offensive and expand the bridgehead on the left bank of the Zherebets River. 🇷🇺❗️

❗️🇷🇺 In the Avdiivka direction, the Russian army is conducting offensive operations. There are battles in the Avdiivka sector. The Russian forces are trying to break through the defenses of the AFU and advance in this direction. 🇷🇺❗️

❗️🇷🇺 In the Soledar area, the Russian troops are continuing their offensive. Fierce fighting is ongoing in the Soledar sector. The Russian forces are trying to capture the city and develop the offensive in the direction of Bakhmut. 🇷🇺❗️

❗️🇷🇺 In the Kherson sector, the situation remains tense. The Russian troops are trying to hold their positions and repel the attacks of the AFU. Sporadic clashes are taking place in this direction. 🇷🇺❗️

❗️🇷🇺 According to Rybar’s analysis, the Russian Armed Forces are continuing their offensive operations in several directions, trying to achieve success and improve their tactical position. The fighting remains fierce, with both sides suffering losses.

Morning Summary as of October 1, 2024

▪️ In Kursk Region, the AFU are preparing to resume their offensive by deploying new brigades and penetrating new sectors, reports the “North” group of Russian forces. In Glushkovo District on the state border section, the artillery and FPV crews of our troops inflicted fire damage on AFU personnel and equipment concentrations, and also thwarted the AFU’s attempt to redeploy towards the settlement of Novyi Put. In the south of Sudzha District, the Russian Army’s counteroffensive continues near the settlement of Plekhovo. On the Korenevo sector of the front, our assault groups advanced in the adjacent forest areas.

▪️ In the Krasnyi Lyman direction, the Russian Armed Forces advanced in the southern part of Nevske, with fighting ongoing near Makiivka.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), they report battles already in the central part of the city. In New York (Novhorodske), fighting continues for the remaining northern part.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk direction, our troops occupied the area of the treatment facilities and field reservoir west of Novohrodivka, report enemy sources. North of Selidovo, our assault motorcyclists managed to break through the enemy fire and take up positions. To the south, the Russian Armed Forces consolidated on the outskirts of Tsukurkyne.

▪️ The AFU defense in Vuhledar (https://t.me/dva_majors/53991) is almost crushed. Our troops, with an unexpected maneuver, entered from the western part of the city, continuing the pressure from two more directions, by nightfall only a small northeastern part of the city remained under the AFU. The roads out of Vuhledar are under fire control, the “bottleneck” for the AFU’s withdrawal was less than 1 km by nightfall. Nevertheless, battles for the high-rise buildings of the city await, if the enemy garrison decides to continue their futile resistance.

Simultaneously, the Russian Army began a wide-front advance north of the settlement of Peremoha, as well as from Vodyane towards Bohoyavlenka, where the AFU had prepared defensive lines.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, the AFU shelled Shebekino. As a result of a direct shell hit on the territory of an industrial enterprise, a security guard was injured. Strikes also hit the settlements of Novaya Tavolzhanka in Shebekino City District and Vyazovoye in Krasnoyaruzhsky District.

▪️ In Donetsk and Horlivka, as a result of strikes by the Nazis on the civilian population, a teenage boy was killed, and eight more civilians, including three children, were wounded.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on.html