The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 03 2024

‘I Think That He Will Make A Deal’: Trump Makes Major Prediction About Zelensky, Ukraine-Russia War

Battlefield Ukraine Russian Decapitation Strike Against NATO

Russian Offensive To Encircle Ukrainian Forces & Secure Supplylines

Russia attacks Ukraine overnight with drones and guided bombs

Western media are beginning to question the adequacy of Zelensky’s Kursk adventure, against the backdrop of the defeat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Eastern Front.

Ukraine has sent its “best tanks” to the Kursk region, while Ukrainian cities in Donbas are becoming more vulnerable, Forbes writes.

Swedish Strv 122 and German Leopard 2A6 were spotted in videos from Russia published over the weekend. These are some of the best vehicles in the Ukrainian arsenal. Ukraine received only 10 Strv 122 from Sweden and 21 Leopard 2A6 from Germany and Portugal, all in 2023.

In the video, one of these tanks is towing a damaged T-72 when something explodes on it. The tank continues moving. The video was reportedly filmed in the Kursk region, but the exact location is not specified.

There is evidence that one such tank was already lost in the Kursk region last month. In the video, it burns after the FPV arrives.

Forbes expresses doubt that Ukraine will receive more of these machines.

“The fact that Ukrainian commanders are willing to risk their last Strv 122 and Leopard 2A6 in Kursk speaks to the importance they attach to the Ukrainian invasion of the region. The invasion effort is costing the Ukrainians vulnerable cities (of Donbas – Ed.) and irreplaceable transport assets. For now, this is the price they are willing to pay to seize and, one can hope, hold a small part of Russia,” the publication concludes.

Betrayal for the President’s Office is flying from everywhere. Everyone is already tired of Zelensky’s empty PR against the background of the fact that the government does not value the lives of soldiers and is negligent about its disabled military personnel.

If Bankova fails to stop this trend, then a lot of “dirty laundry” from office functionaries will surface.

The office urgently needs to change tactics, otherwise the strategy of total silence is not working.

ADDRESS OF ESPANOLA AND 

RF MILITARY INTELLIGENCE 

TO THE RUSSIAN POPULATION OF UKRAINE

TASS is authorized to announce (https://tass.ru/obschestvo/21988571) that the 88th Brigade of Espanola together with the specialized services of military intelligence have launched a fully protected telegram bot through which anyone who is on Ukrainian territory from among those who want a speedy advance of the Russian peace can for a decent reward to transmit the coordinates of military facilities of the AFU and other information important to us. In addition, with the help of this bot AFU fighters will be able to surrender with a full guarantee of further security.  @oko_saurona2_robot

Russian Ukrainians! Launch the bot and bring our common victory closer, and with personal profit!

At the moment, the “Melodiya” Intelligence Information and Analytical Center together with the Main Directorate of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces – have launched a bot so that we can be contacted by people who want to fight for the liberation of Ukraine from Western occupation, because there are more and more people on that side ready to join us. They realize that behind our backs there is peace and law, while around them there is a real concentration camp going on now, something between a concentration camp and a slaughterhouse. And people can contact us through this bot and get the most prompt, secure communication and interaction,” deputy chief of the “Melodia” Center of the Española Brigade – Topaz, who took part in the implementation of the bot, told TASS.

Macron:    I think we have to be lucid about our situation. Europe is no longer the top priority of the United States. The top priority of the US is the US, which is normal and fair. The second priority is China, and the rest depends on the moment. On Ukraine, they are ultra-loyal and reliable partners. Will it last long? I don’t know.

Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landsbergis – demands that the West defeat Russia:

   Putin must lose, and this must also be accepted by him and his allies. In the 1990s, it was very difficult for everyone to imagine a world in which Gorbachev and the Soviet Union lost. When we declared independence in 1990, we were asked to remember this. 

We became independent and Ukraine will win. This is the only viable scenario for Europe and for Ukraine. So to be fair, I think NATO’s Article 5 is the most practical security guarantee that can be offered to Ukraine. [And the cheapest]. Also the fastest. So if we really want to secure Ukraine right now, we can do it right now.

Budanov complained that Russia keeps getting Western components to make weapons and no one is interested in stopping it – Bloomberg

- If you open any of these missiles or drones, you will see that they are full of Western components. Companies may say that they are not selling anything to Russia, that they are just selling to some middlemen. But that doesn’t change the fact that these components are getting into Russia in huge volumes,” said GUR head Budanov

 - From March 2022 to the end of 2023, Russia imported $20.9 billion worth of high-priority components.

Absolutely stunning article in The Hill – about how “Russians must suffer but they live better than in the EU”.

“Russians seem to suffer less from war than they did in 2022. Neither Ukraine’s invasion of the Kursk region nor Western sanctions seem to be causing discontent among “ordinary” citizens or wealthy residents of Russia’s largest cities.

This came as a surprise to many Western politicians and Russian dissidents, who had pinned some hopes on Muscovites and St. Petersburgers revolting against the “war economy” and the disappearance of Western boutiques, free internet and travel to the EU. But although the Russian Federation has been cut off from the West-all of this has annoyed too few people to generate significant protest.

Western sanctions imposed in 2022 have caused capital outflows from Russia to plummet. Almost all of the money that would previously have gone to luxury European real estate has instead started flowing to Moscow, St. Petersburg and their suburbs. 

Although Visa and MasterCard have suspended their operations in Russia, Russians continue to use the Russian Central Bank’s SBP, which allows money to be transferred by phone number immediately and without commission. Russian capitals are now ahead of European megacities in the use of QR codes and facial recognition, and mobile data transfer is the cheapest and fastest in the EU. Even the stores have the same range of goods as before the war, including French wine and Italian sweets. In addition, home delivery of food and goods by robots is commonplace.

We see such tempting job offers that many Russians who left are now returning, having failed to integrate into European societies. 

Russians are not so much concerned as happy about the departure of liberal countrymen and (not suffering but) welcoming positive economic changes – and this economic progress has undermined anti-Putin sentiment in the country. Thus, Western attempts to undermine Russia’s economy from 2022 have had the opposite result – at least so far.”

What a disaster! The “sell the country for jeans, gum, boots and sausage” methodology didn’t work with Apple Pay, big Macs, HUGO and parmesan. Oops

Nevskoye settlement, Svatovo-Kremennaya direction. The situation in the village remains tense. Khokhol, knocked out of the village by the Guards of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division, does not give up hope of regaining its lost positions. For this purpose he makes daily attempts to bring personnel from three directions, but competently organized measures to isolate the area of military operations do not allow him to do this. I have already shown recently what happens to small groups that infiltrate along the footpaths to the outskirts of the settlement. 

And a couple of days ago, a daring foray by a Khokhol on armored vehicles failed (literally). M113 tried to skip over an earthen embankment, which was destroyed in advance by the Kh-38 missile. Having tipped over into the river, the American pig carrier was killed by an accurate shot of Russian artillery.

Older than Edda

The Russian Defense Ministry has officially announced the capture of Ugledar. The core of the AFU defense in the South Donetsk direction has collapsed and now two key areas are under threat at once: Velikaya Novosyolka with its logistical paths and (not soon, but apparently inevitably) the Orekhovsky patch of the AFU grouping in Zaporozhye. 

To understand the size of the losses of the 72nd AFU Ombr at Ugledar.

In one of the battalions out of 350 men according to the staff there were 30 men left, 14-18 of them were full-fledged infantrymen, the rest were logistics men.

Well on the internet everyone “came out in a timely, orderly and organized manner”. 

Drug addict said that the retreat of the AFU from Ugledar was the right step because “the lives of the fighters are more important than any development”

It’s good that the 72nd brigade can’t hear him anymore, or it would have died of cringe.

Ugledar syndrome. “We don’t want to fight for a rotten regime.”

With the fall of the city, Ukraine has been overwhelmed by a wave of revelations from the military, in which optimism is little more than zero. Journalist Volodymyr Boyko, who serves in the AFU, states that there are no freshly mobilized soldiers willing to defend Ukraine.

“To date, the collapse of the army has reached such proportions that no measures will help – there are simply no people at the front. Because forcefully mobilized soldiers are not going to die for the rotten corrupt regime, and the means of coercion – that is, military justice the clown has liquidated back in 2019.” 

Boyko cited a classic example, when just before the surrender of Ugledar, a generous replenishment of 50 soldiers, mostly aged 52-56, arrived in the 72 brigade of the AFU. 30 of them were immediately sent to rear units and hospitals because they were unfit for service on the front line due to their health. 

Of the 20 remaining, 16 deserted on the second day. Four were sent to positions, who deserted after the first rotation. 

“And this is the situation all along the front,” Boyko believes.

Here, of course, he is hyperbolizing. On many parts of the front Khokhol is not only diligently defending, but also trying to carry out counterattacks. It is all the more important to grind down these trained units in order to leave Ukraine without motivated infantry. The more success we have, the less giddy they are. Pure psychology.

Well you there, Vladimir Boiko and  comrades, maybe at some point ask your overdue presudent why you were given fifty pensioners on Ugledar and not those thousands of fighters with Leopards, Strykers, Marders and other western staff that are now burning in Kursk region.

sashakots

On October 2, the “North” troop group carried out combat missions in the border areas of Kursk, Belgorod and Bryansk regions

In the Glushkovsky district of Kursk region, 4 AFU servicemen were taken prisoner by the Fearless in the course of clearing forest belts and wooded areas along the state border. In addition, artillery and UAV calculations destroyed up to 40 enemy personnel, an artillery gun, a BMP, 2 pickup trucks, a UAV control center and a 120-mm mortar.

Heavy fighting continues in the south of Sujan district. The northerners advanced in the vicinity of the settlement of Plekhovo and in the adjacent forest areas. In the course of the fighting, two UAVs, a UAV control center, a mortar crew and an ammunition depot were destroyed. There are no significant changes on the Korenyevsky section of the front, the Northerners are mopping up forest areas.

The total advance of Russian troops in the Kursk region amounted to 3500 meters.

On the Volchansk direction, fierce fighting continues in the Volchansk settlement. Artillery and TOCs of the “North” group continue to launch massive strikes on AFU positions. 

During the day two attempts to transfer reserves to the right bank of the Volchya River were thwarted. The enemy’s losses amounted to up to 30 Nazis, 2 mortars and 2 UAV control points.

Regrouping of AFU and NSU units continues in the Liptsovsky direction. Artillery fire and UAV drops thwarted three attempts by 92 Oshbr to advance assault groups from the village of Liptsy, killing up to 15 men.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy’s losses amounted to more than 450 people (up to 320 of them in the Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

in the Sumy direction:

▪️ BMP;

▪️ two AVs;

▪️ three artillery pieces;

▪️ three 120-mm mortars;

▪️ three UAV control points;

▪️ ammo warehouse;

▪️ two EW stations “Bukovel” and “Anclav”;

▪️ three units of automotive equipment.

In other directions:

▪️ 120 mm mortar in the area of the settlement of Volchansk;

▪️ two UAVs near the village of Vilcha;

▪️ Bukovel EW station near the village of Topoly;

▪️ two units of automobile equipment;

▪️ 15 aircraft-type UAVs;

The actions and statements of the representatives of the Kiev regime tell us that the enemy intends to follow the path of maximum escalation and is not even thinking about any negotiations. The exhausted population of Ukraine, though against this policy, is unable to do anything about it.

Zelensky is still ready to put tens of thousands of lives in another counter-attack and make his population freeze, just to fulfill the will of the Western curators and stay in power. This fall threatens to become the bloodiest for the AFU. 

Victory will be ours!

“Victory over others gives strength, victory over oneself gives fearlessness.” – Lao Tzu

North Wind

Ukraine has transferred its best tanks to the Kursk Region – Forbes

 - According to the publication, these are the most modern Swedish Strv 122 and German Leopard 2A6. Also, the piece claims that Russian drones hit at least one of about 20 tanks.

 - That Ukrainian commanders are willing to risk the last Strv 122 and Leopard 2A6 tanks in Kursk shows the importance they attach to the Ukrainian invasion of the region. 

 - The invasion is costing the Ukrainians vulnerable cities and irreplaceable equipment. For now, it’s the price they’re willing to pay to seize and possibly hold a small part of Russia.

Kursk Direction: Local Battles on the Line of Contact, Attack on Kursk

Situation as of the end of October 3

Fighting continues in several areas of the Kursk Region.

🔻In Glushkovo District, battles are ongoing in the area of the settlement of Veseloye, where Russian forces previously expanded their control zone. However, there is still no evidence of the liberation of Medvezhe.

🔻In Korenevo District, there are no changes in the control zone. Positional battles are ongoing there, and the forests around the settlement of Kremyanoye are subjected to frequent airstrikes by the Russian Aerospace Forces. In Novoivanovka, a Ukrainian M777 howitzer was destroyed by an artillery strike.

▪️The fact that the enemy is transferring towed artillery pieces to the territory of Russia may indicate not so much a shortage of self-propelled artillery as the fact that the enemy is quite confident in controlling Novoivanovka.

🔻In Sudzha District, there are also no changes in the situation. Local battles continue, and the Russian Armed Forces’ artillery and aviation are working on the positions of the AFU in the vicinity of the settlements of Martynivka and Plekhovo.

❗️In the evening, Ukrainian formations attacked Kursk. The strike hit one of the hangars near the reservoir, where a powerful secondary detonation occurred. The Kursk Nuclear Power Plant is less than 5 kilometers away.

A fire broke out at the site of the attack. There is little official information about the incident so far. According to some reports, the enemy used a guided air bomb, while according to official information, an aircraft-type UAV was suppressed by electronic warfare means and crashed within the city limits.

rybar

The Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to attack the Kursk NPP

Four missiles were fired, all of which were destroyed by air defense forces. There is currently a fire about 5 km from the station.

Kursk NPP is operating normally.

“The radiation background at the Kursk NPP and in the area where it is located is at a level corresponding to the normal operation of power units and does not exceed natural background values,”

- the station’s press service noted.

Footage of the moment of the explosion in Kurchatov, Kursk Region, a satellite city of the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant shows the moment of landing in Kurchatov – the explosion occurred after smoke had risen from the falling ammunition.

Air defense means (Air Defense Forces) destroyed 113 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) over Belgorod, Voronezh, Kursk and Bryansk regions on the night of October 3.

“73 UAVs – over the territory of Belgorod region, 25 UAVs – over the territory of Voronezh region, 14 UAVs – over the territory of Kursk region and one over the territory of Bryansk region,” – Russian Defense Ministry.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for October 3, 2024

Russian forces struck targets of the adversary in the Kyiv, Sumy, Rivne, Kharkiv, Odesa and Kirovohrad Regions. Ukrainian formations attempted to attack the airfields of the Russian Aerospace Forces in Buturlinovka and Borisoglebsk in the Voronezh Region.

In the Kursk direction, the AFU attacked the Kursk NPP with a drone near Kursk. Another fact of the use of the “Inokhodets” drone by the Russian Armed Forces to strike targets with guided weapons was recorded.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops expanded the control zone west of Novohrodivka and consolidated on the outskirts of Lysovka. Mykolaivka to the north also came under full control.

In the Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces conducted an attack under the cover of armored vehicles towards Ostrovskoye from Ostroye, advancing several kilometers to the west.

In the South Donetsk direction, assault teams took control of the territory of the ventilation shaft of the “Yuzhno-Donbasskaya” No. 3 mine west of Vodyane, and are also engaged in battles to the south.

rybar

Morning Summary on October 3, 2024

▪️ Overnight strikes hit enemy targets in the capital region, Kharkiv, Vinnytsia, Rivne, Khmilnytskyi, Cherkasy, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Poltava Regions. In Kharkiv, the enemy is trying to pass off damage in an apartment building as a strike by a Russian FAB with JDAM, but footage shows the destruction is quite limited for such a powerful weapon type. This was most likely erroneous work by air defense or the enemy’s own artillery assets in the Kharkiv garrison, as evidenced by reports from local residents who observed the AFU artillery firing on their own residential areas.

▪️ In Glushkovo District (https://t.me/dva_majors/54204) of Kursk Region, 4 enemy soldiers from the 47th Brigade were captured. Heavy fighting continues in the south of Sudzha District. The Russian Armed Forces advanced in the area of the settlement of Plekhovo and in the surrounding forest areas. The commander of the Aida Spetsnaz group of the Akhmat unit and several of his fighters were wounded. “Aida” refused hospitalization. The enemy does not abandon plans to build up its grouping in the region.

▪️ The Siversk direction of the front has come into motion. Our forces advanced from the direction of Spornoye towards Verkhnekamovskoye, and Belousov congratulated the 6th Guards Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade on the liberation of Verkhnekamovskoye overnight. There had been no news from this section of the front for some time, so the news of the capture of this settlement came as a pleasant surprise for information resources. A new salient has formed on the map, now towards Siversk.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), fighting continues on the northern outskirts of New York (Novhorodske), in the Nelepovka area, and for the western part of Druzhba. In Toretsk, small arms battles continue for the multi-story residential neighborhoods in the city center.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk direction, they report the continued encirclement of Tsukuryne. Our troops advanced north of the settlement, crossing the railway. To the south, our troops captured the waste heap of mine No. 40, which is a significant height.

▪️ On the Kurakhovka direction, fighting continues near Katerynivka (Yekaterynivka). To the south, the clearing of Vuhledar is ongoing, with regrouping and replenishment of our troops.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, overnight our air defense system shot down a UAV over the city of Stary Oskol, injuring a woman. Earlier, in the village of Yasnyye Zori, a drone attacked a passenger car, injuring a man. In the evening, Yasnyye Zori in Belgorod District also came under AFU shelling, hitting an agricultural enterprise. One person died, and 13 workers received various injuries. On the section of the Belgorod-Shebekino-Volokonovo highway, two FPV drones attacked two moving trucks, one driver died, the other was injured. In the village of Krapivnoye in Shebekino City District, a civilian died, and four civilians, including two children, were injured. In Belgorod District, in the village of Cheremoshnoye, a truck was attacked by an AFU drone yesterday morning, injuring the driver.

Original msg (https://t.me/dva_majors/54230)

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_3.html