The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 29 2024

The Walls Are CLOSING IN On Kurakhove; Russia Reaches Key Ukrainian Defense Node

RUAF Capture Hryhorivka & Reach Chasiv Yar Northern Outskirts | Kursk Fighting Ongoing

Chasiv Yar Collapsed l Russia Captures Central Chasiv Yar

RUSSIANS CUT THE ROAD! Neckuchne attacked; North Koreans situation… | Ukraine War SITREP / Summary

THIS CHANGE THE STRATEGIC SITUATION; Kosty takes it this time | Ukraine War Frontline Changes Report

Biden to give over a billion dollars in aid to Ukraine ahead of Trump transition

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office instructed the General Staff to prepare a strategy for a protracted war, in which we should be able to counterattack the enemy following the example of the Kursk region. Bankova believes that Trump’s pressure on the peace track will pass in the spring and then aid from Western countries will come with renewed vigor, and for this, spectacular offensive operations are needed.

Our source reports that Zelensky promised his lobby to increase mobilization in Ukraine by the end of spring 2025.

As soon as it becomes clear that Trump’s peace initiative is “dead” and he is leaving the game, a decision will immediately be made to increase mobilization and prepare an offensive for the summer of 2025.

According to our information, Zelensky is confident that society will swallow this tightening of mobilization, although it will “make noise on the Internet.” Office workers have long ceased to be afraid of “serfs.”

We are observing.

All our sources are confident that in 2025 Ukraine and Moldova will try to stage a provocation in the PMR in order to create another point of tension and possibly raise the stakes in the game.

For Ukraine, this is an opportunity to draw new players into the game.

For Sandu, this is an opportunity to postpone the autumn elections and retain absolute power. Moreover, if events develop successfully, to get a rise in ratings.

For the “sponsors and scriptwriters” of the Ukrainian crisis, this is an opportunity to weaken the Kremlin or to gain the opportunity for a clash between the EU and the Russian Federation, where the direct beneficiaries will be the US, the British and others.

For the “Democrats,” this is yet another case for criticizing TRUMP, who will be constantly drawn into this “game,” where “traps” are being prepared for him.

The gas case, which is now gaining momentum, which leaves the PMR without gas and causes enormous damage to the weak economy of Transnistria, is a puzzle of this game, the goal of which is demoralization and destabilization of the internal security of the PMR.

According to the “scriptwriters’” idea, the society that lives in such conditions will itself “want” to be “captured”, if only this crisis would end. Then the people of the PMR will not resist strongly at the moment of the “invasion” of Ukraine or Moldova.

The future of this region was decided at the presidential elections . Sandu will lead Moldova to war, it is not for nothing that they are now luring people into the army and advertising service in the MD army everywhere. They are recruiting in advance. They are preparing.

We are watching. As usual, we will say, in this case, many things depend on many things, including the Ukrainian crisis.

Beneath the laughs lies a sobering reality: Plan A was nothing short of hubris, deliver a ‘strategic defeat’ to Russia, carve it up like spoils of empire, and plunder trillions in natural resources from within Ukraine and within old Russia. 

But now, with defeat written in every line of their strategy, one must ask: what’s Plan B? Scorched earth? The contempt for the Ukrainian people is staggering. What kind of monsters would bleed an entire nation dry, all for the insatiable greed of empire and profit?

- Gerry

German chancellor candidate Friedriech Merz has called for faster peace in Ukraine and said that sending European peacekeepers should be coordinated with Russia.

- Sending foreign troops after the end of the war requires a “non-objectionable mandate in accordance with international law” “in consensus with Russia, not in conflict,” he said.

- Merz also called for peace in Ukraine as soon as possible, but added that “it should not be an imposed peace. It should be peace with Ukraine, not against Ukraine.” 

- At the same time, he criticized Chancellor Scholz for refusing to provide Kiev with long-range missiles. Merz called the Taurus one of the “bricks to rebuild peace in Ukraine.”

- Merz has previously opposed Ukraine’s admission to NATO while the war is ongoing.

Trump could force Ukraine to make peace without security guarantees and ease sanctions against Russia, – Financial Times

▪️”Trump’s transactional nature, his determination to avoid wars and his disdain for democratic allies will lead the US to facilitate major deals with Russia and China…

▪️America will focus on asserting dominance in its own region, pushing Mexico and Canada around, and intending to take the Panama Canal and Greenland. Trump will force Ukraine into a peace agreement without backing it up with security guarantees. He will ease sanctions against Russia and will be happy to see Putin at Thanksgiving dinner at Mar-a-Lago,” the newspaper writes.

History’s Cold Shadow: Napoleon, Hitler… and Now?

General Christian Freuding, head of Germany’s Bundeswehr Planning and Command Office, has done something rare in the West: he’s admitted the truth. The West’s hubris has once again repeated one of history’s greatest and most catastrophic blunders. From Napoleon’s disastrous march east to Hitler’s reckless delusions of a quick victory over Russia, Europe’s ruling class has always underestimated its eastern neighbor and now they’re learning that lesson the hard way.

Freuding’s assessment is a stark reality check. Despite sanctions designed to cripple it, Russia has not only endured but thrived, rapidly expanding its military-industrial capacity far beyond Europe’s ability to keep up. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian Army, armed with NATO’s finest but unprepared for the realities of modern warfare, collapsed against fortified Russian positions during its 2023 counteroffensive. As Freuding bluntly put it, “The assumptions that the Ukrainians would quickly achieve the greatest possible military success in their counteroffensive were, of course, exaggerated.” Translation: the West bought its own propaganda and is now paying the price in blood and credibility.

But the failures on the battlefield are just the surface of the problem. What Freuding doesn’t say and what no one in Berlin dares to say, is that Germany and Europe are bleeding themselves dry for a conflict that serves a distant master. The Nord Stream sabotage was the clearest message: Europe’s energy security, its industrial backbone, and its sovereignty are expendable in Washington’s grand chess game. The pipelines weren’t just blown up; they were buried alongside any illusions that Germany controls its own destiny.

The consequences are already visible. German industry, once the engine of Europe, is in crisis. Energy prices remain volatile, forcing factories to shut down or relocate abroad. Inflation eats away at the savings of ordinary Germans while billions flow eastward to fuel a war that cannot be won. What does Berlin have to show for it? A hollowed-out economy and a growing sense of resentment among its people. When did Germans or any Europeans vote to become cannon fodder for someone else’s empire?

This isn’t about Ukraine; it never was. It’s about Europe being turned into a vassal state, its leaders too weak or too complicit to stand up for their own interests. The so-called “European project” has become a smokescreen for subservience, and the real price is being paid by ordinary citizens who never signed up for this economic and social suicide. As Europe de-industrializes and its streets grow colder, who will take responsibility for this betrayal?

The parallels to history are chilling. Napoleon marched east and returned with shattered ranks. Hitler’s blitzkrieg faltered, leaving Berlin in ruins. And now, Europe is once again stumbling into disaster, dragging itself into the same Russian winter that swallowed its ambitions twice before. The hubris of empires, old and new, never seems to learn: you don’t corner a bear without consequences.

Empires fueled by arrogance and led by the weak always meet the same fate. History doesn’t just repeat, it punishes those too blind to see the patterns. If Europe’s citizens can’t break free from the chains of complacency and the lies of their leaders, they’ll wake up one day to find their streets as cold and empty as the promises that led them here.

- Gerry Nolan

At the beginning of the year we wrote that all defensive structures are built not by the military, but by civilian structures, whose goal is simply to master the budget, which the military themselves constantly talk about. The main ideologist of this approach is Kirill Timoshenko, who is used to creating a beautiful illusion for the President.

Ukrainian military criticize the fortifications in the Pokrovsk direction, but the problem is systemic and extends along the entire front line.

“It seems that the lines of defense are being built not for us, but for the enemy,” a serviceman from one of the brigades fighting in the Pokrovsk direction told DW.

According to him, at the end of the summer, an entire company of Russians descended into a ditch that was supposed to hold back a tank attack, passed from one settlement to another and occupied it. Observation posts on the second line of defense were built “two meters high, just in the middle of a field – not behind the planting, but in front of it, on the enemy side,” the fighter complains.

Ukrainian parliamentarians confirm problem with fortifications.

“You arrive, you see – a cool fortification. Half a kilometer to the side – the same cool fortification. Another 800 meters – another cool fortification. And then 5 kilometers – and there is nothing. The enemy will not go head-on to the fortifications, he will go past them, make a breach and surround these fortifications, and our military will come out of them,” said MP Razumkov.

The Rada commission, of which he is a member, found that the construction of fortifications is not managed centrally: the allocated money is distributed among different departments. In May, it became clear that some of the fortifications in the Kharkiv region were not completed, and the timber for them was probably purchased at inflated prices. Razumkov personally saw how local residents threw “mountains of garbage” into trenches and stole materials that could be sold.

However, some well-built fortifications of the Ukrainian Armed Forces were quickly captured by the Russian Federation, Ukrainian military officials said. Among the main reasons, they cited a lack of trained fighters and artillery support.

Ukrainian soldiers, who are practically surrounded, recorded a video message calling for attention to their situation.

Once again, what the news channels have been saying for a long time is confirmed: the Ukrainian Armed Forces regularly remain in their positions until the enemy takes them into almost complete encirclement, but the command does not give orders to retreat and the soldiers voluntarily leave their positions at the last moment in order to survive.

 We are holding the line in Velikaya Novoselovka. The situation is extremely difficult, we are now practically surrounded! Despite this, the command does not give the order to leave. If we do not leave here now, we will never leave!

Chronicles of the special military operation

for December 29, 2024

Ukrainian formations attacked Salsk in Rostov Region with drones, causing minor damage to buildings on the territory of the locomotive depot.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops consolidated their positions on the territory of Mine No. 3 in Pishchane, approaching Pokrovsk from the south.

In the Kurakhovo direction, assault troops took control of the territory of a garage cooperative in Kurakhovo, advancing towards the industrial zone.

Morning Overview for December 29, 2024

▪️ The foreign policy situation is characterized by the collapse of European diplomacy. The relationship between Zelenskyy and Eastern Europe resembles public squabbles rather than dialogues between state leaders. The Pashinyan-Lukashenko track is also not distinguished by politeness, but the leader of Belarus politely indicates the traitor Pashinyan’s place. Bloggers, mostly from abroad, unnecessarily scolded the Supreme Commander for publicly apologizing to Azerbaijan due to the plane tragedy, which likely received damage over Chechnya. The practice of public politeness by Russia is normal in international relations. The “Kadyrov siloviki” case cracked again.

The year is ending with a drift of the Anglo-Saxon and Russian worlds towards a global conflict, where the use of nuclear weapons risks becoming routine. Escalation is beneficial to the Kyiv junta, which has planned new provocations against Russian nuclear facilities, aiming to drag the planet into a new direct global conflict.

▪️ The Russian Army, taking territories in difficult battles, is shaping the real agenda of world diplomacy. Ukraine’s defensive potential is gradually being worn down, leading to public statements by the enemy junta about negotiations and security guarantees. However, the limits of Russia’s capabilities have been outlined to the military command: a third of the state budget will go to the power structures, so spending efficiency and the fight against bribery must continue. Further buildup of military and military-economic capabilities is associated with the total mobilization of the population and enterprises, which will damage Russia’s internal political stability. For now, the front is being replenished by Russian volunteers, carefully hidden by Kyiv and Western propaganda.

▪️ On the front line, the Russian Army continues to maintain strategic initiative, although all offensive actions are tactical or operational-tactical. Due to the changed technological order of warfare and the unresolved issue of an “antidote” to enemy drones, deep breakthroughs in columns are a thing of the past. The “little sky” is still controlled by the enemy, although the Russian Armed Forces have increased UAV supplies to the troops. There is a shortage of drones in the Kamianka direction, where the enemy has intensified counter-actions.

▪️ The mutual losses voiced by Moscow and Kyiv are more informational than objective. The Russian defense department’s statements on the total losses of Kyiv in manpower and equipment are no longer used by any serious analytical center. The bombastic statements of the Shoigu and Tsalikov era have formed an extremely inconvenient base for Konashenkov’s calculations.

▪️ An important element on the front is the advanced experience in the Kurakhovka and Pokrovsk directions, when the enemy’s “elephant is eaten piece by piece”. By cutting off village after village from supply, our troops take settlements, then closing the “pockets” and straightening out the front line. Real experience of modern combat operations on a wide front is available only to the Russian Army and the AFU, but is being carefully studied by NATO countries.

▪️ Europe continues military preparations and direct aggressive actions against Russia. The expected arrival of a new capitalist Führer in the Washington Reichskanzlei marks only the triumph of the dictatorship of the most reactionary, chauvinist, imperialist elements of financial capital in the global economic system, which determines the upcoming predictable events after January 20, 2025.

✨ Thus, the outgoing year allowed the Russian Army with the greatest efforts to break the stagnation and defensive nature of our troops’ actions at the front and begin the real grinding down of Kyiv’s defensive potential throughout the depth of the enemy’s territory. The main combat operations of the SMO are taking place on the constitutional territory of Russia, with the exception of the Kupiansk and Krasny Liman directions, as well as the wedging of our troops into Volchansk in the Kharkiv region, where the “North” group of troops is engaged in months-long positional battles, without fulfilling the Supreme Commander’s task of shifting the line of contact away from the Belgorod region. The heroic defense of the Kursk region will continue in 2025 until the complete expulsion of the enemy from our “old” territory, but the enemy is making maximum use of human and technical resources to hold the occupied lands. Politically, it is highly likely that Trump’s arrival at the White House will simply shift the economic burdens of the war onto Europe, while the latest moves of the outgoing Biden are still strengthening Kyiv’s positions on the battlefield, including providing funds for operations in maritime spaces.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_29.html