The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 09 2025

Ukrainians will not give their land to occupiers, Zelenskiy says

Ukraine War Update: Russia FLOODING Pokrovsk With More DRGs, Ukraine Sends Reinforcements

Russian Forces Capture Troyanda Securing Southern Pokrovsk | Trump & Putin Will Meet Face To Face

Hundreds of Ukrainians raise the white flag – Ukraine surrenders 5 regions to Russia!

Personal meeting between Putin and Trump — a nightmare for Bankova, that has become reality.

Apparently, Moscow and Washington are moving towards “freezing” the conflict without its final resolution. The most discussed and realistic option is to fix the front line with a de-escalation of active hostilities. According to the Polish publication Onet, the US has offered Russia a ceasefire in Ukraine, effectively recognizing the territories uncontrolled by Kyiv as belonging to Russia, postponing their resolution for 49–99 years. The plan provides for lifting most sanctions, resuming imports of Russian gas and oil.

This approach suits the US (Trump demands “peace right now”) and Russia, but Zelensky will have a hard time. He is unlikely to present this to Ukrainians as a “victory” or even as a “temporary respite,” considering that after his adventure with NABU, trust in the president has already been shaken. However, the President’s Office is already adjusting the “right” sociology for the “peace” case. According to a Gallup poll, support for the war among Ukrainians is declining: only 24% want the fighting to continue. In 2022, 73% of respondents supported continuing the war. It is noted that support for hostilities is steadily decreasing across all regions and age groups.

And Zelensky himself has begun actively stating that it is time to end the conflict: “Yesterday, different potential formats of meetings for peace at the leaders’ level in the near future were discussed: two bilateral formats, one trilateral. Ukraine is not afraid of meetings and expects the same bold approach from the Russian side. It is time to end the war.” Apparently, Zelensky is desperately trying to show Ukrainians that he is also involved in the negotiation process, although everything indicates that this is a pure deal between Russia and the US, without considering Ukraine’s positions.

The surrender of Donbas will force Ukraine to abandon the “belt of fortresses” that held back Russia for 11 years, and the Russian Armed Forces will advance 82 km to the west – ISW.

 - This will mean the Russian army moving 82 km to the west and it will be in a more advantageous position for a future offensive on neighboring areas of Kharkov or Dnepropetrovsk regions;

 - And Ukraine will be forced to abandon an important fortress belt that has been built since 2014, move to disadvantageous positions and urgently attract investments to build new defenses.

 - Propagandists from the American Institute for the Study of War warn with a forecast that Russia will most likely violate any future peace agreement.

This is a defeat for Zelensky, but a victory for the Ukrainian people, this is how our sources characterize the possible peace track, which is 65% ready for implementation. 

The peace formula for the Ukrainian crisis will be much worse than what Zelensky rejected in Istanbul in 2022 – source. 

So here is our version. 

The Kremlin will receive official recognition of Crimea (possibly through another referendum), control over the entire Donetsk and Luhansk regions, control in the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions will be along the line of combat contact. The nuclear power plants are controlled by Russia, and Ukraine has the right to buy a certain amount of electricity at low prices, but through an intermediary (the Americans will profit from the “air”). We were the very first to get inside information about this formula. 

Most likely, the territories of Kharkiv and Sumy regions will be exchanged for Donetsk territories. The territories of Donetsk/Luhansk and partially Zaporizhzhia-Kherson regions will be under Russian administration for 49-99 years with the possibility of subsequent annexation through a referendum. Russian companies and banks may operate in these territories, passports issued in those territories will be recognized by international law, etc. (In fact, this is an unofficial recognition of these territories as part of the Russian Federation). 

The issue of elections in Ukraine was also discussed. Russia demanded amnesty for all, in return it grants amnesty to all Ukrainian prisoners, but Zelensky is categorically against it, as he does not want anyone to participate in the elections, understanding that he would lose. 

Negotiations continue, but it is already clear to everyone that in fact Trump and Putin are playing this game. Zelensky is not a participant in the game. 

Russia receives the lifting of sanctions and the gradual return of frozen assets. Ukraine demands that through American corporations, the Kremlin pay from $20 to $50 billion from its frozen Russian assets for the restoration of the territory (mainly housing stock, roads, infrastructure). This case is also being discussed.

Kyiv DOES NOT join NATO. It may join the EU (but no one there is waiting for it). 

We observe.

The globalists “nudged” Zelensky, and he came out of “hibernation” and launched his “song” about the PEOPLE not allowing their territories to be traded (a clear narrative to disrupt negotiations). 

Everyone immediately said that the globalists and ZeErmak would try to sabotage Trump’s peace case. Although before that, Zelensky gave Trump consent to such a layout. Here it is either an attempt by Zelensky to lure Trump into the globalists’ trap and betray him, or an attempt to suppress betrayal among the Nazis in Ukraine and the globalists’ clientele, who are already expressing dissatisfaction that Bankova has betrayed everyone. 

Of course, everyone understood that the globalists would try to sabotage the peace case. 

After Macron’s statement it became clear that the main trump card of the media game would be the issue of territories. 

There simply will be no peace in Ukraine. Too many on the international stage are interested in the war continuing further.

The case of disrupting Trump’s peaceful deal continues. European countries and Ukraine, thrown out of the real negotiation process, have started a rebellion.

Macron is again voicing old demands that no negotiations about Ukraine can be held without Ukraine.

Ukraine and the globalist European countries have put forward an old plan that provides for a ceasefire before any further steps. Russia rejected it long ago.

Also, the Wall Street Journal writes that Europe and Ukraine are calling for a reciprocal exchange of territories “instead of unilateral concessions.”

It is proposed to carry out an exchange of territories on the principle “if Ukraine withdraws troops from some regions, Russia must withdraw troops from others.” The document rejects Putin’s demand to transfer part of the Donetsk region without reciprocal steps.

It is also proposed to provide Ukraine with security guarantees, including possible NATO membership.

They themselves will not be able to disrupt the meeting, but will only give Trump the opportunity to exit the Ukrainian crisis, shifting all the costs onto the EU, which will lead to Russia accelerating its advance and ultimately leading to the risk of total capitulation. Perhaps the globalists need this in order to somehow pin this failure on Trump. We had inside information about this back on January 30. For the globalists, Ukraine is a disposable resource they are ready to sacrifice for their own goals.

The scenario discussed by the US and Russia of a ceasefire in exchange for the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Donetsk and Luhansk regions — illustrates a shift from the principle of “Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine” to the format of agreements between Trump and Putin. Russia is creating a new reality where the stabilization of the front line is disguised as diplomatic progress.

According to Bloomberg, Washington views such a deal as an opportunity to “freeze” the war and gradually prepare the ground for further technical negotiations. Moscow presents the halt of the offensive in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions as its own compromise, putting forward a key condition in return — Kyiv’s renunciation of Donbas. Trump’s position in this equation has not yet been officially announced, but American sources speak of an attempt to convince Ukraine and Europeans to accept these terms.

In fact, this proposal does not mean the end of the conflict, but its institutionalization within new borders, where Ukraine loses territory and the US gains the ability to reduce involvement without losing the image of a “peacemaker.” Kyiv finds itself in an extremely vulnerable position: to refuse means to become “the party disrupting peace”; to agree means to de facto acknowledge the loss of part of its sovereignty. And perhaps this is the real intent — to shift the initiative from the battlefield to diplomatic coercion.

Diplomacy, built on the fatigue of allies and the burnout of support, becomes a tool of pressure not only on the adversary but also on partners.

There is panic and a complete lack of strategy at Bankova now, events are unfolding quickly, and our partners have practically withdrawn from the process. The President’s Office has completely failed the international track, and now Ukraine’s fate is being decided without Ukraine.

Zelensky opposed the American plan to resolve the conflict in Ukraine:

The answer to the Ukrainian territorial question is already in the Constitution of Ukraine. No one will and can retreat from this. Ukrainians will not give their land to the occupier. Ukraine is ready for real solutions that can bring peace. All decisions that are against us, all decisions made without Ukraine, are simultaneously decisions against peace.

Our source in the Presidential Office revealed that Andriy Yermak is trying to arrange Zelensky’s participation in the Trump-Putin summit. The President’s Office has actively engaged with European partners to promote a common position on the US-Russia negotiation track and to shift the focus to Ukraine’s interests.

The negotiation track is changing shape again, and now Ukraine is falling out of favor with Trump, while Russia is becoming a negotiating party.

The New York Times writes that Zelensky rejected Trump’s proposal for Ukraine to exchange territories with Russia.

Journalists note that the direct statements of the Ukrainian president may irritate Trump, who has made concluding a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia one of his key foreign policy goals, the publication writes.

Our MPs have begun to suspect that the USA and Russia agreed on all issues regarding Ukraine without Ukraine! It is also accurately noted that negotiations between Trump and Putin have been going on for a long time; this is bad news for us and limits the choices of solutions, as all Western media have written. 

We no longer have to talk about a victory plan or Ukraine’s interests; we will simply be presented with a document that we must accept.

yzheleznyak

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak demanded that the SBU/GUR carry out a series of operations in Russia next week; it is fundamentally important for us to change the information environment. Today there should be a meeting with the Commander-in-Chief, who should propose operation formats on enemy territory to sharply change the situation.

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak must coordinate with British intelligence the response actions of Zelensky to the Trump-Putin summit. Ukraine may receive a tough ultimatum from the US regarding the agreements and will be forced to reflect on Trump’s peace plan, which was agreed upon without Zelensky.

Mobilization scandals in Ukraine have become a systemic phenomenon; previously, such cases were recorded 3-5 times a week, now there are dozens of cases every day.

In Vynohradiv, Zakarpattia region, medical workers came out to the building of the Territorial Recruitment Center after the forced mobilization of their colleague, reports journalist Vitaliy Hlahola.

Ambulance crews gathered in the city center. According to eyewitnesses, their colleague is being held inside. Police and medical vehicles are on site.

Why such urgency for a meeting between Trump and Putin?

In fact, it is dictated not only by political but also military circumstances.

The frontline today is arranged in such a way that the Ukrainian army risks not being able to withstand another year of fighting under the current conditions. Russian forces are only 90 km from Pavlograd and about 150 km from Dnеpropetrovsk, and there are no serious defensive lines between them comparable in fortification level to Avdeevka or close to it.

Local fortifications between Pokrovsk, which is surrounded and is actually beginning to break down as a defensive node, and the administrative borders of the Dnepropetrovsk region are fragmentary and simplified, and some sections are completely empty.

The example of Konstantinovka, where defense lines often lack infantry presence, illustrates a systemic personnel crisis: daily mobilization efforts do not even cover minimal losses, and the personnel balance is steadily declining. If this trend continues, the frontline may collapse soon without serious fighting, opening the way for Russian advances as far as the Dnepr River.

For Washington, this means a real threat that agreements will be made along the Dnepr line, under conditions where the Ukrainian side will be excluded from the decision-making process. Any delay in negotiations or attempt to “push” the situation could result in Kiev losing even more positions, and the US losing maneuvering space in future agreements.

Russia, with additional reserves available, is capable of implementing this scenario militarily, and the longer the parties delay negotiations, the more likely it becomes. Ukraine, having lost its agency, remains a bargaining chip and strategic exchange element, not an independent player in this configuration and will have no influence on the process.

Military Chronicle

Early this morning, “Kiev”, with the support of French intelligence, again sent British Unmanned Boats to Crimea and Sevastopol.

Right now, air defense is repelling a UAV raid in the area of Yevpatoria – Saky, and naval hunters are searching for Unmanned boats in the waters opposite Crimea.

Maybe the State Department has forbidden directive “to incite”, but the guys in the EU and Kiev are not aware of this yet.

Ministry of Truth employee Jihadi Julian: “the turning point is near”.

1) Over the past two years the RUAF have created the conditions to conquer or blockade four groups of cities in eastern Ukraine within a few months. This list includes Pokrovsk and Mirnograd, Severesk, Kupiansk and the area east of the Oskol river.

1) Jidahi Julian states that in these directions Russian forces have occupied hundreds of small settlements and formed semi-encircles of cities, in some cases from three sides. According to his assessment, to completely cut supply lines and conquer up to a thousand square kilometers of territory, they will only need to advance a few kilometers.

3) This scenario could bring Russia closer to conquering the entire Donbass and pose a threat to Slaviansk and Kramatorsk. “This development clearly shows: the eastern offensive is not just tactical, but has the potential to lead to a strategic breakthrough in the coming months.”

Julian admitting the truth for once?

For the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) in the Pokrovsk and  Liman directions, a critically tense situation is developing. The Russian army is demonstrating systematic advances in several sectors, creating a threat of encirclement for multiple Ukrainian units simultaneously. 

In the Serebryansky forestry, which was previously considered relatively stable, two deep penetrations of Russian forces have been identified. This changes the entire operational landscape of the region — Ukrainian troops are now forced to defend under the risk of being outflanked on two sides. If these penetrations are connected or expanded, operational encirclement and isolation of entire companies and battalions of the AFU is possible.

The situation in Torske confirms not only holding but also the expansion of the Russian Armed Forces’ control zone. Russian troops are consolidating and likely forming a base for further advances — both northwest and south along the Liman — Torske road. This undermines Ukrainian logistics in the Zarechne and Kolodezi areas.

In Zarechne, the “gray zone” has already deepened into the settlement itself. This is a direct sign of an imminent assault. The Russian Armed Forces, apparently, are preparing to clear the settlement following the model of previously conducted operations: fire suppression, flanking pressure, then assault from multiple directions. If the AFU does not withdraw forces in advance, part of the garrison may find itself completely encircled.

In Kolodezi, the situation is mirrored — pressure is increasing, attack rates are rising. Apparently, the Russian Armed Forces command is conducting an offensive based on the principle of “double pincers”: breakthrough, then expansion of the bridgehead and an attempt to close the ring. The weakness of the Ukrainian defense at these points is not only a consequence of losses but also a systemic failure in logistics, defensive planning, and personnel reserves.

If the AFU does not regroup and withdraw units from under fire in the coming days, the Ukrainian army risks losing control over the entire arc Liman — Torske — Zarechne — Kolodezi, along with the last opportunities for maneuver in the Seversky Donets area. The scenario of a tactical cauldron here turns from a threat into an almost inevitability. Especially since there is no plan to stabilize the situation at Syrskyi, nor reserves. The entire “genius” of the AFU commander-in-chief is to lose 400–500 km² monthly, regularly burning through all newly arrived personnel in the process.

Situation in the direction of Krasniy Liman:

Yuriy Kothenok reports that the group of forces “west” advanced on the Karpovka – Srednee line, creating a threat alongside the enemy in Shandrigolovo and Srednee. After taking the dam south of Karpovka, our forces consolidated on the northern suburbs of Srednee, assaulting the village. The distance from Rubsov’s road is about 1.5 km.

The fights take place on the north-east outskirts of Shandrigolovo, in Kolodezi, in the area of Mirny and the dam, as well as at the fish breeding between Yampolovka and Torsky. In Torsky our troops consolidated south of the village, rejecting counterattacks from Zarechny and Yampol.

The enemy maintains control of the key forest roads from Zarechny and Yampol. The advance to Krasny Liman is possible only by guaranteeing the south side and blocking the enemy in the area of the Kremensky and Yampol forest area.

Our assaults are penetrating Zarechnoe through the bridge in the center, which the enemy tries to regain.

Battle for Pokrovsk: frontline updates 

There are isolated reports that Russian troops have begun to close the encirclement of Pokrovsk on the northern front and are advancing toward Dobropolye.

At the moment it is not possible to confirm or deny this information, but in case of confirmation this would mean several important things.

First, the operational situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is deteriorating faster than they are able to reorganize and plug gaps on the front, writes “Military Chronicle.” Second, the northern front is the key to “cutting off” the main supply line to Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.

Any serious advance into Dobropolye with the blockade of the T-05-14 road automatically condemns Pokrovsk to a semi-escape and, in the event of favorable circumstances and intensification of combat operations within 1-2 weeks, to a veritable cauldron unless there is an immediate withdrawal of troops.

Enemy defeat near Pokrovsk: The Russian Army has taken Sukhetskoye and Poltavka, is clearing Rusin Yar, and sabotage groups are already near Dobropolye!

 - The “Center” group of troops is advancing on a broad front near Mirnograd and Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), aiming to encircle the cities. According to the latest reports, Sukhetskoye and Poltavka have come under our troops’ control, and Rusin Yar is being cleared.

 - The Dobropolye sector of the Pokrovsk direction — the situation is becoming increasingly difficult for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Ukrainian analysts acknowledge with concern.

 - “Sukhetskoye is under Russian control. They are moving further towards the railway line,” they complain.

 - The Russian Army continues active offensives on Rusin Yar, aiming to fully occupy the settlement — infantry assaults are underway.

 - Poltavka is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces. After capturing the village, Russian troops advanced northward.

 - Infantry attacks are also underway towards Novoe Shakhovo, with part of the gray zone expanding.

 - East of Rodynskoe, Russian assault troops are trying to secure the territory of the mine.

 - In the Dobropolye area, activity of Russian sabotage and reconnaissance groups has been noted — likely reconnaissance attempts or preparation for sabotage.

 - “Overall, the front in this direction is actively moving; the Russian Armed Forces aim to create a new axis of advance reaching Rodynskoe and potentially Dobropolye.”

Morning Summary on August 9, 2025

▪️ Against the backdrop of the announced meeting between the Supreme Leader and Trump, Zelenskyy has increased the intensity of strikes by attack drones of the aircraft type on our regions. The most resonant were the constant raids throughout the day on the Krasnodar Region and especially Sochi, which has no military facilities or defense industry enterprises. The only goal the AFU is pursuing in this case is the terror of tourists, who were evacuated from the beaches several times a day, and many civilian aircraft circled on approach to the airport waiting for the cancellation of Operation “Carpet”.

▪️ At night in the Rostov Region, an explosion and fire occurred on the 18th floor of a 20-story apartment building in the Levoberezhnyi district of Rostov-on-Don due to a UAV attack. In total, by the time of preparing this post, according to the operational reports of the Russian Ministry of Defense, 166 AFU UAVs were destroyed over our regions during the day.

▪️ In the Bryansk Region, the AFU attacked the village of Shamovka in the Klimovo district using FPV drones. The strike hit a brigade of Klimovo branch “Bryanskavtodor” workers, three road service employees were injured.

▪️ In the Sumy direction, in the area of responsibility of the “North” grouping, the news of the change of our commander of the grouping of troops became loud. Airborne and naval infantry units of the “North” grouping are advancing with heavy fighting in Yunakovka and the surrounding area. The enemy made three unsuccessful attempts to attack the positions of the marines and paratroopers in the area of Novokonstatynivka (Pershe Travnya) and in the area of Yablonovka.

▪️ In the Kharkiv direction, in Volchansk, the Russian Armed Forces continue the offensive in the east of the city and in the forest near Sinelnikovo. The enemy is fiercely resisting and is accumulating forces for counterattacks. The bridgehead on the left bank of the Volchya River has been expanded.

▪️ In the Kursk Region, a Ukrainian drone struck the territory of the “Promsukhar” enterprise in the village named after Kuibyshev in the Rylsk district, injuring an engineer of a contractor organization. Yesterday morning, the Zvyagin farmstead in the Rylsk district came under fire, a 66-year-old local resident was injured.

▪️ In the Konstantinovka direction, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing near Poltavka, according to enemy channels, they are consolidating in the eastern part of Rusiny Yar, for which battles are ongoing.

▪️ In the Krasnoliman direction, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting in Zarechnoye, attacking from the direction of Ternovy.

▪️ In the Belgorod Region, in the village of Pochaevo in the Graiveron district, a civilian was killed as a result of a UAV drop by the AFU on a private house. The wounded parents of the deceased were taken to the Graiveron Central District Hospital by self-defense fighters. In the village of Dvuluchnoye in the Valuyki district, an FPV drone attacked a motorcycle, the driver was killed. Civilians were injured in the villages of Kazinka and Ustinka. Under the strikes of Shebekino, Belyanki, Dobroe, Graiveron, Dvuluchnoye, Dolgoye, Urazovo, Berezovka, civilian vehicles on the roads of the region.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, the enemy continues counterattacks in small groups from Stepnogorsk towards Plavni

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_9.html