The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 21 2025

Russia’s FINAL Assault on Strategic Kupyansk

Zelensky’s Nightmare Comes True – Russian Forces Break Through to Siversk From the North

Decisive Battle To Determine The Siege of Pokrovsk Turns Completely Messy

Zelensky’s All-In Backfires – Ukrainian Army Crushed in Three Encirclements

 The truth about the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be a trigger for society, and the numbers have long exceeded half a million, but the information is being channeled and labeled as PSYOP.

If people learn about the real scale of Ukrainian losses in the war, it will deal a severe blow to morale – volunteer Marusya Zveroboy (Elena Sambul).

We watched the interview of Dud and Kievstoner where the topic of Ze mobilization/TCU in Ukraine was raised, and the fact that Ukrainians do not want to fight, so the approach needs to change.

Dud and Kievstoner superficially touched on this negative topic, but we will try to break everything down in more detail.

1. Zelensky and his greedy/corrupt circle have killed the people’s motivation. People are disappointed; they are not ready to die for the elite and life in a concentration camp. Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are turning into an army of slaves. In 2022, there was no need to catch people; they came in crowds themselves. People believed they were fighting for freedom, but after 3 years, everyone realized they were fighting for the elite’s right to earn billions and build a concentration camp in Ukraine. By the way, because of this, globalists/the West decided in 2022 to get involved in the game and start flooding Kyiv with money and weapons. Now, on the contrary, globalists are in no hurry to give a lot of money because the risks of defeat are high (shortage of manpower, rising casualty rates, morale of the people and soldiers at rock bottom, growing resistance inside the country, risk of riots, etc.). Everything points to an inevitable collapse.

2. Motivation! Putin could have done like Zelensky, closed the borders and started catching his people as slaves, but he left the borders open and gave the opportunity to get big money immediately for this risk of death. Zelensky could have done like Putin, we had inside information about this in October 2024, but according to our data, Ze refused this idea, stating that his people are “slaves” and would go to fight for him anyway. We partially described the reasons for the failure of mobilization in 2024.

3. The attitude towards soldiers as expendable, and towards their relatives as ballast. Everyone already knows that the authorities abandon wounded soldiers to their fate. They do not provide money for treatment, and pensions are given at $50-80. Death benefits are not paid to relatives. All the dead are recorded as missing in action to understate losses and avoid paying money. This could have been kept quiet for a year or two, even publicly in the media, but now every Ukrainian has heard from acquaintances and friends a similar story about the lawlessness of the authorities towards “former heroes.” The military still collect money for drones and gear.

4. Zelensky and his circle have discredited themselves over these years. Besides constant lies and empty promises, people see how the elite live, their children, how they live it up abroad and, having stolen here, flee there with millions.

5. None of the top corrupt officials have been punished. They all got off. People see this.

6. The lawlessness of the TCU (murders, beatings, kidnappings, moral humiliations, intimidation of Ukrainians) only increased disappointment among the masses and fueled the narrative that Ukraine is a concentration camp, and no one wants to fight for that.

This list could go on, but this is enough to understand that it is precisely the Ze government that is to blame. The people were ready to fight — as shown in February 2022 — but all the government’s steps methodically “killed that desire.”

That is why the British want to dump Zelensky to reboot this case.

Think about it!

The globalists are delivering the main blow to Trump’s ally – Israel. 

Britain, Canada, and Australia have recognized Palestine.

France also promises to recognize Palestine.

This contradiction plays into Putin’s hands, as Netanyahu will not give up his goals of capturing Gaza (Palestine), which completely justifies Russia’s actions in Ukraine to seize any territories they want/can take for themselves. 

Therefore, it is better for Zelensky to pursue a peaceful case now and give up what is already effectively lost, otherwise the situation will be much worse than it is now over time.

British General Sir Richard Shirreff — former Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe of NATO — shares his fears in a long and alarming article for the Daily Mail.

 He explained and presented how Russia might attack NATO in the near future, detailing its actions and timelines in an apocalyptic scenario. In this case, according to Sir Richard, the West could “lose World War III.” And in just five days, the world order would be completely changed.

According to Shirreff, Russia could launch an attack on Beijing’s orders as soon as China decides to seize Taiwan, “to distract the West.” Putin will certainly dislike this subordinate role, notes the British general. But considering that “the tsar may soon need significant financial and military resources to avoid being overthrown at home after three and a half years of war in Ukraine,” “then he might decide to play the Chinese game and thereby expose all of Europe’s weaknesses.”

Shirreff suggests that Russia’s attack on NATO will begin on November 3, 2025, at 2:00 PM Lithuanian time. Obviously, there are no real signs that such a grim scenario will unfold on that exact day. But the general presumably chooses this date to illustrate the possible dynamics and timelines following the tsar’s attack.

So, Shirreff describes this scenario. The capital, Vilnius, and the rest of the country suffer massive power outages, which soon spread to Estonia and Latvia due to a malicious virus on Lithuanian power lines. “Banks, offices, and hospitals are closed. Panic quickly grows in the Baltic countries: Russian agents and supporters (arriving from Belarus) cause riots, thefts, and looting, forcing authorities to impose a curfew,” the general writes.

At this point, according to Shirreff, “power outages also spread to the United Kingdom, France, and Germany.” Western leaders called for calm. But at 7 a.m. the next day, November 4, Putin announced that Russian troops in the Kaliningrad enclave were put on maximum combat readiness and concentrated soldiers and military equipment on the border with Lithuania. European authorities hurried to talk to the “tsar,” but he did not answer the phone. Someone opened fire from the Russian enclave toward Lithuania, which responded by arresting pro-Russian militants. Then Putin decided to take control of the Suwałki Corridor, the only border strip — about 100 kilometers — between Lithuania and Poland, and Russian planes took control of the airspace over this area.

Then, in Shirreff’s very detailed report, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte invoked Article 5 of the NATO Charter. Putin continued attacking Lithuania on November 5, while U.S. President Donald Trump froze. Meanwhile, Lithuania was under siege but under Russian control. The Suwałki Corridor became increasingly difficult for the allies to defend.

Shirreff’s story ends here: the world order was overturned in just five days, China got what it always wanted (Taiwan), Putin occupied and claims the Baltics and Ukraine, and “NATO has effectively collapsed.” Most likely, this is just a dystopian fantasy or nightmare. But, according to the British general, there are no guarantees that this conspiracy will never become a frightening reality.

The Pentagon intends to stop providing security assistance to the Baltic countries and all NATO member states bordering Russia — Reuters

According to the publication, American officials made the corresponding statement to European diplomats during a meeting at the Pentagon at the end of August.

“At the end of August, Pentagon representatives met with a group of European diplomats and delivered a tough message: the US plans to stop part of the security assistance to Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and all NATO members bordering Russia,” Reuters reports.

It is reported that David Baker, a representative of the US military department, told those gathered about the need for Europe to reduce its dependence on the US. Under the Trump administration, the US military will focus on other priorities, such as protecting the country’s territory.

Disappointed with the West, drowned out by others’ interests

Zelensky began giving advice to Trump on how to deal with Putin.

In an interview with Sky News, the Ukrainian “president” criticised Trump’s foreign policy:

Disappointed that the West did not increase pressure on the Kremlin;

Putin, according to him, “got an exit from isolation” after Alaska;

Urges Trump to “be bolder” and take a clear position;

Criticises Trump’s caution, believing that waiting for the conflict to end is not an option;

The US should act first with sanctions and restrictions on Russia’s energy resources;

Moreover, to pressure Russia, Zelensky says a powerful US sanctions package is needed.

Such actions by the “guarantor,” especially in the context of the conflict and international support for Ukraine, can have multilayered consequences, both diplomatic and domestic.

If Trump perceives the criticism as a personal attack, it could lead to a decrease in support for Ukraine, especially regarding arms supplies and financial aid.

In a situation where the US is a key ally of Kiev, any crack in dialogue could weaken Ukraine’s position in negotiations.

Criticism of Trump may be used by opposition forces within Ukraine, especially those advocating for a swift end to the conflict. This could deepen divisions in Ukrainian society, where part of the population is tired of the war and seeks compromises.

In a context where Trump actively promotes the idea of a “peaceful settlement,” criticism from the Ukrainian side may be interpreted as an unwillingness to negotiate, complicating Kiev’s diplomatic positions.

Ultimately, Zelensky, lobbying for others’ interests in exchange for support, takes great risks, but the “interested parties” push him under the American locomotive. The Ukrainian “deep people” are delighted, but those who understand the consequences quickly pack up and leave “nezalezhna”. In just two years, 100,000 fewer applicants. The reason is the mass departure of youth at 17, widespread “busification,” and effectively a totalitarian regime in society.

Ukraine faces the most unpleasant consequences.

Some Ukrainian “Patriots” propose killing everyone who walks around Kupyansk in civilian clothes

“Some civilians (definitely in the villages) take in Russian military personnel and leave them in their homes. I would kill such people without hesitation because a traitor must be dead.”

“There is no Nazism in Ukraine.” And here is what this Nazism (which “does not exist”) does to people: first enemies in Moscow, then in Donetsk, then in the liberated territories, then in Odessa…

The Russian army has driven the enemy out of Shandrigolovo and is storming the center of Srednee, advancing towards Liman

 - Continuing the offensive in the Krasnoliman direction, Russian troops have driven the Ukrainian Armed Forces units out of the last houses in Shandrigolovo.

 - Area of advance: more than 2 km².

 - The Russian Armed Forces have also advanced in the neighboring Srednee and are consolidating their positions in the center of the settlement.

 - To the south, our congratulations are storming the forest belts, advancing towards Derilovo and Novoselovka.

In Pokrovsk, if the incoming information is to be believed, a new phase of assaults is beginning. The Russian control zone has expanded from the southwest and now movement is starting from the southeast. If Russia manages to quickly achieve success here, the southern half of Pokrovsk will fall under the Russian army and holding the rest will become pointless.

While the main reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were pulled to Pokrovsk and got bogged down trying to stop the breakthroughs of the Russian Armed Forces, Russian troops actively advanced deeper into the Dnepropetrovsk region from the south-Donetsk direction.

If the Russian Armed Forces manage to reach and cross the H-15 highway, it will be possible to cut off a large part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ supply through the Mechotnaya railway station in Pokrovsk (Dnepropetrovsk region). A significant portion of the Ukrainian grouping’s supplies around Pokrovsk passed through it. Before the start of urban fighting, Mechotnaya was used in conjunction with other railway branches and stations such as Chaplino, Prosyanaya, and Mezhevaya, where weapons and equipment necessary to hold the flanks around it were transferred to prevent a situation like Bakhmut (Artemovsk). Although it is quite possible that Russia will cut off this section near the Prosyanaya railway station, which is a shorter route.

The operational phase of the General Staffs of the Russian and Ukrainian Armed Forces, not so much in the Pokrovsk area but along a wide front strip about 150 kilometers around it, resembles the stage of moving from the turn to the river in poker.

Until recently, the situation around Pokrovsk resembled the turn. At this stage, both sides carried out the main maneuvers and probed for weaknesses; Russia entered Pokrovsk itself from the southeast, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces concentrated most of their forces on countering this threat.

Meanwhile, the Russian Armed Forces actively advanced on various front sections, looking for opportunities to cut key logistical routes, which eventually happened. After that, the transition to the final stage — the river — began. This is the moment when all main forces are engaged in battle, and any bluff (diversionary strikes) and maneuvering give way to direct confrontation and rapid operations with a specific result.

Apparently, the goal of the Russian Armed Forces at this stage is not just to take Pokrovsk but to reveal the opponent’s cards by cutting off their supplies and identifying all possible resources for response. This response, in turn, may prevent Russia from advancing further beyond Pokrovsk

Considering that both sides have already laid their trump cards on the table (Russia entered Pokrovsk itself and pulled up reserves, and reinforcements to this area were also allocated by Syrsky), one should expect a very interesting development of events in the coming weeks.

Military Chronicle

The Ukrainian army is incapable of conducting major offensive operations; currently, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are only capable of defensive actions, Verkhovna Rada Deputy Roman Kostenko stated.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are incapable of attacking due to personnel shortages, the MP stated. The Ukrainian army’s current capabilities are limited to defense. The problem is that the full mobilization launched by Kiev is unable to meet the needs of the combat brigades, providing only half the required number of recruits.

“Ukraine is mobilizing half of its requirements to staff its brigades.” – Kostenko

Ukrainian media report that the Ukrainian authorities are to blame for this situation. While at the start of the Russian special operation in 2022, Ukrainians flocked to military recruitment offices, convinced they were fighting for their freedom and sovereignty, the situation today is completely different. Zelenskyy and his entourage have turned Ukraine into a concentration camp, completely destroying Ukrainians’ motivation to fight. People are not willing to die for a prosperous and corrupt elite that treats the rest of the Ukrainian population as slaves. And these are not words of Russian propaganda, but statements from Ukrainians themselves.

This explains the forced mobilization, which Kiev dismisses as “Moscow propaganda,” and all documented cases of “bussification” are documented by Mosfilm. According to Ukrainian media, only 20% of those forcibly mobilized reach the front lines; the rest desert.

Two Majors #Summary for September 21, 2025

▪️ Russia and Europe are preparing for a major war with each other. Against the backdrop of Europe’s militarization, the Russian Armed Forces completed the strategic exercise “West-2025″ this week, during which actions were practiced that are no longer quite suitable for the Ukrainian direction but, taking into account the experience of the Special Military Operation, are intended to demonstrate to the EU our Army’s readiness to conduct offensive operations in case the EU enters the war. Of course, there was also “Oreshnik,” which was practiced in its nuclear version. By the way, this week Poland was promoting in the information space the expansion of NATO’s new mission “Eastern Sentinel” on its territory, and the joint development with Kiev of UAV operations in Poland already indicates direct involvement of Warsaw in the conflict. And if at the beginning of the Special Military Operation the Alliance countries were genuinely afraid of a nuclear response from Moscow, then more than three years of empty statements from our speakers, even those without voting rights on nuclear issues, have effectively devalued this factor.

▪️ The third anniversary of the partial mobilization was met on the front with intensified propaganda urging the mobilized to sign contracts under the choice of either becoming contract soldiers or transferring to frontline units. The Russian Army is preparing for large-scale offensive operations and currently has no possibility to send people home. However, explanatory work with this category of servicemen is being conducted very poorly on the ground, and the taboo on the topic in the media leaves the relatives of the mobilized in a difficult state.

▪️ On the front, our troop groupings continue their offensive. However, Gerasimov’s recent summary of this fact does not mean rapid advancement everywhere at once. In the Sumy direction, the enemy fiercely counterattacks, constantly losing armored vehicles. On the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) front, they try to flank and cut off our salient at Zolotoy Kolodez, forcing our forces to hold their positions. On the Zaporozhye front near Prymorske, there are heavy, bloody battles and numerous strikes against our drones and artillery. Frontline units (not headquarters, not accountants, not reports) lack reconnaissance drones like the “Mavic.”

▪️ Meanwhile, on the Dnipropetrovsk direction and eastern Zaporozhye region, the “East” group of forces is indeed taking village after village. The “West” group of forces is advancing on the Krasnolymansk direction, completing the liberation of the Serebryanske forestry.

▪️ Frontline regions are under constant strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The most frequently mentioned in reports is the Belgorod region, where civilians are dying. No decision has been made on forced evacuation; the right to make such a decision is left to the residents themselves. The enemy’s activity in the Crimean direction is notable. The northwest of the peninsula is being cleared by the Armed Forces of Ukraine of our air defense systems, using either FPV drone carriers or their analogs of “Lancets.” Of course, the Main Intelligence Directorate is preparing a landing with limited objectives (to disrupt the logistics of the “Dnieper” group of forces and draw away reserves), and enemy agents on the peninsula are increasingly supplied with means of sabotage and terror, as seen from the growing number of security service press releases. The main sad point in the fourth year of the war is the confrontation right off our shores, not the enemy’s. It is important to note that the next stage of development for Kiev’s marine sabotage and reconnaissance groups is already long-range underwater vehicles.

▪️ Massive and combined strikes on enemy territory continue to be regularly carried out; the enemy is replacing air defense systems with drone-missiles (analogs of our “Yolka” and similar).

▪️ Our air defense organization, despite shooting down almost 95 percent of drones every night, leaves much to be desired. Journalists have already counted 17% of refinery capacities knocked out, and only the blind do not see the rising prices at gas stations and even gasoline shortages in some regions. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are solving their main task: reducing our military and economic potential before the big war.

✨✨Thus, the inflated delusion about an imminent peace is gradually fading away, and Russia’s military-political leadership will unequivocally achieve the liberation of all four new regions. Zelensky has already voiced the need for new monetary injections into the AFU and budget to extend the war into 2026, and Europe will definitely provide them, while the United States will gladly sell the means to destroy the population of former Soviet republics

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_21.html