The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on September 4 2025

Intense Battles Between Russian & Ukrainian Forces Within Pokrovsk & Kupyansk

Total Collapse in Kupyansk – Russian Army Surges Into City Center, Ukrainian Troops Give Up!

‘Coalition of the Willing’ meets to discuss Ukraine’s security

At this stage of the protracted war, no one wants to deviate from their plans; each side tries to pull the situation in their favor. Our problem is that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are bloodless, and a collapse of the entire front could happen, which would make Ukraine’s negotiating position much worse.

Trump on the fact that Putin and Zelensky are not yet ready to make peace:

I am watching this, seeing what is happening, and discussing it with President Putin and President Zelensky. Something will happen, but they are not ready yet. But something will happen. We will do it. I think we will figure all this out. I understand why they did it and hoped that I was watching — and I was watching. My relations with them are very good. We will find out how good they are in the next week or two.

Fortunately, we have had very good days, and when I bring them together, or at least make them talk to each other, everything starts to come together. We saved millions of lives. Very often they fight each other for so long that they stop thinking about peace. It becomes a way of life. When I bring them together, I can convince them: “Come on, let’s make peace. Enough. Too many lives have already been lost.”

Trump’s statements about the situation in Ukraine are becoming increasingly contradictory and, according to many observers, are losing their political value. Over the past few months, he has regularly issued “ultimatums,” hinted at some sensational actions, threatened measures and “consequences” in case of the absence of direct negotiations between Zelensky and Putin. However, no concrete steps have followed his words so far.

This week, Trump again stated that he had spoken with Putin and learned “interesting things” that allegedly will soon become public. Once again, he emphasized that without a personal meeting between Putin and Zelensky, “there will be consequences,” without specifying the nature or the addressee of these consequences. Such rhetoric is already perceived as political background noise — noise that is not accompanied by actions.

In fact, the deadline for another “two-week ultimatum” from Trump has expired, and no progress has been made. He responds to journalists with general phrases, without specifying either the pressure mechanisms or his strategy. At the same time, his statements regularly blur the lines between threats directed at Russia and Ukraine, causing irritation in Kyiv.

In Ukrainian government circles, concerns are increasingly voiced: the most dangerous for the country are those who declare friendship but in reality pursue their own interests — sometimes directly opposite. Donald Trump, according to some Ukrainian politicians, falls into this category. He did not condemn the massive shelling of Kyiv, calling it a “response” to Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure. Moreover, he has repeatedly hinted that he might impose sanctions on Ukraine to “force” Kyiv to come to the negotiating table.

And this position of Trump is already radically changing Ukraine’s foreign policy support. Even the EU, although promising help to Kyiv, will not quarrel with its “master” in the person of the USA, nor will it take any concrete steps, as clearly demonstrated by the situation with the “stalled” initiative to deploy a peacekeeping contingent in Ukraine.

Our sources have already reported that the main topic of discussion is security guarantees and sanctions, and now Western media are writing about it. This evening we expect information on whether Europe is ready to independently sustain the conflict in Ukraine.

Leaders of the “coalition of the willing” may present their proposals on security guarantees to Trump today, Bloomberg writes citing sources.

They also want to find out from him what commitments the US is ready to make within these guarantees.

Europeans will also try to push Washington to tighten sanctions against Russia, as Putin “shows no signs of wanting to meet with Zelensky in the near future” and is preparing to advance in Ukraine.

Our sources in the Presidential Office reported that today in France the main outlines of security guarantees for Ukraine are to be agreed upon. The coalition meeting of interested parties will begin at 11:30 Kyiv time. A phone call between European leaders and US President Donald Trump is scheduled for 15:00, and the final press conference should start at 16:00.

The meeting will be chaired by French President Emmanuel Macron and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

After negotiations with Trump, Zelensky will announce the already agreed outlines of security guarantees and will insist on a ceasefire as the main factor of the negotiation track. Yermak wants the sanctions track to be announced today and pressure on the Kremlin to be increased.

The President’s Office is clearly following Yermak’s strategy, which involves dragging out time in the negotiation track and pushing for sanctions in a prolonged war.

Zelensky stated that he plans to discuss new sanctions against Russia with US President Donald Trump.

“Tomorrow we will try to get in touch with President Trump and talk about it,” said Volodymyr Zelensky in Copenhagen.

Another case for breaking off negotiations. 

Participants of the “coalition of the willing” expressed readiness to supply Ukraine with long-range missiles, the British government reported.

Zelensky asked sponsors to support financially the British/Ukrainian missile, which is copied from a Soviet drone “swift/reys”. But no money has been promised yet, they said they would think about it. Everyone wants to have their own profit from this. 

At the meeting, Zelensky asked for more offensive weapons, promising an offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine and tougher mobilization.

Putin: Russia will have to achieve its goals in Ukraine by armed means if an agreement cannot be reached.

 - If common sense prevails, it is possible to agree on an acceptable way to end the conflict. If not, we will have to resolve all the tasks set by armed means.

 - The president also revealed details of negotiations with Ukraine in 2022.

 - “Now we will fight until either you decapitate us, or we do it to you.” The president said that such a statement from the Ukrainian side, though somewhat more crude, was received after Russia, following calls from Western countries, withdrew troops from Kiev.

 - Nevertheless, the Russian leader believes that with the current US presidential administration, there is “light at the end of the tunnel” regarding negotiations.

Putin on the possibility of meeting with Zelensky:

This is a road to nowhere if you just hold meetings with the current head of administration, so to speak, carefully. It is possible, I have never refused this, if this meeting is well prepared and will lead to some positive, possible results.

By the way, Donald asked me, if possible, to hold such a meeting. I said yes, it is possible. After all, if Zelensky is ready, let him come to Moscow. Such a meeting will take place.

“Is there a chance that the special military operation will end soon?” 

“‘There is a light at the end of the tunnel, but if not… Russia will finish everything by force’

‘Back in 2022, we offered the Ukrainian authorities to respectfully consider the choice of the people living in Eastern Ukraine. Overall, this did not face complete rejection. But after we, at the urgent requests of our European colleagues, withdrew troops from Kiev, the situation immediately changed and we were told: ‘Now we will fight until either you tear our heads off, or we tear yours off.’ This has been going on ever since. 

It seems to me that if common sense prevails, it is possible to agree on an acceptable way to end the conflict. I think there is a certain light at the end of the tunnel. Let’s see how the situation develops. If not, then we will have to solve all the tasks set by force.’”

Putin

All Russian Armed Forces groups are advancing successfully at different speeds in almost all directions, — Putin

Main statements by the President of Russia in Beijing on the Ukrainian conflict:

 - The President of the Russian Federation invited Zelensky to come to Moscow if he is ready for a meeting;

 - All attempts by Russia to resolve the Ukrainian issue peacefully have been derailed;

 - Putin reported that Trump asked him to arrange a meeting with Zelensky;

 - Putin stated that he never ruled out the possibility of meeting with Zelensky, but holding a meeting with Zelensky in his current status is a “road to nowhere”;

 - Ukraine has the right to choose its own security system, but should not do so at Russia’s expense;

 - The Russian Federation has always opposed Ukraine’s membership in NATO, but not in the EU;

 - The issue of “security guarantees to Ukraine in exchange for territory” was never raised;

 - Russia in the special military operation is fighting not so much for territory as for the rights of people;

 - The opinion of people who supported joining Russia in referendums must be respected, “this is democracy”;

 - The Russian Federation already in 2022 offered Ukraine to withdraw troops from Donbass and end the conflict, but after the withdrawal of troops from Kiev, Ukraine changed its mind;

 - Kiev needs a referendum on the issue of territories, which requires the cancellation of martial law, and therefore elections;

 - Putin called Zelensky the “acting head of the administration” of Ukraine;

 - Putin stated that he sees light at the end of the tunnel regarding the Ukrainian settlement.

Our source reports that the most important direction for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is the Donetsk region (Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka, etc.), territories that cannot be loudly lost, as there will be nothing left to “bargain” with. As we previously revealed, all the best reserves from all directions have been redeployed there, which shocked many Western military experts because:

A) it weakened the defense of other directions, where a grand catastrophe with a defense collapse could occur. Kupyansk is an example, we revealed this.

B) if these experienced units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbas direction suffer 70% losses, the Armed Forces will lose the ability to defend. The mobilized will not be able to hold the defense on their own—they will scatter. Add to this the collapse of morale to zero.

C) such concentration of the best units in this section of the front makes them good targets. They are the most vulnerable, which will lead to heavy losses. FAB bombs are already flying much more, as are Geran-2 drones over the LBS.

This could become another grand miscalculation by ZeErmak and their puppet, Commander Syrsky, which will cost Ukraine dearly, up to losing the war. Everything could be decided in the next 6-8 months of this military campaign. It is precisely within this timeframe that the Armed Forces of Ukraine could exhaust all their remaining quality human military potential.

We are watching.

There is no stable front in Ukraine — from Kupyansk to Zaporizhzhia, almost everywhere the Armed Forces of Ukraine face constant enemy pressure, a shortage of reserves, and systemic errors in troop management.

The most painful picture is unfolding in the Donetsk region. Where not long ago the Ukrainian command boasted of the “most fortified front line” — in the area of the Pokrovsk agglomeration, — the defense has effectively collapsed. Heavy fighting is ongoing in the Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad areas, and Ukrainian fighters are holding on with their last strength under extremely limited resources, without support and proper logistics.

The situation around Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, and Kostiantynivka remains extremely alarming. These cities are now under threat of partial encirclement, and judging by the enemy’s advance in the areas of Rusyn Yar, Shakhovo, and Andriivka, the breakthrough into the depths of Donbas is only a matter of time. Betting on holding large cities may prove to be a failure if the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not receive reinforcements and new defensive lines are not urgently strengthened.

At the same time, there is silence from the General Staff and political leadership. There is no clear strategy, no analysis of mistakes made, no accountability. The tactic of sending mobilized troops to the front lines without proper training predictably did not improve the situation and cost Ukraine thousands of lives and kilometers of territory (according to Western military analysts, we lost about 2,000 km² just this summer, and actual personnel losses have already reached an astronomical figure of 1.6 million people).

Thus, Ukraine’s defenders are paying too high a price for disorder, overconfidence, and irresponsibility at the highest level. And if systemic changes in troop management, logistics, and defense planning do not occur, the consequences could be irreversible.

Accumulating and advancing success: Deep State writes about the combat operations of Russian troops in Kupyansk

 - Earlier, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Russian Armed Forces control about half of Kupyansk. Analysts working for the GUR from DS write that Russian troops “are making constant attempts to infiltrate the city and try to establish themselves at least in the outskirts to increase their numerical presence for further advancement.”

 - “To increase the chance of securing the city, the enemy is trying to take control of the surrounding area, so there are battles, in particular for the settlement of Mirovoe (formerly Mirnoye), which, like Radkovka, is supposed to become a place for infantry accumulation,” they write.

 - Russian military personnel allegedly sometimes dress in civilian clothes to infiltrate the city – both for propaganda purposes and to expand their bridgehead.

 - “From fighters’ reports, there is concern that at some point this could lead to unpleasant consequences, but we will only see over time how extensive the Russians’ plan was.

 - Currently, active attempts are being made to storm by infantry groups, which are trying with their efforts to stop the Ukrainian military. In September, we will repeatedly talk about Kupyansk because the enemy has come very close and is actively probing weak spots, which it has already, to some extent, discovered. And they immediately set about developing their successes,” the DS material says.

Already half of Kupyansk is under our control: Footage confirming the advance of Russian troops in the city

▪️The video captured Russian military personnel in the center of the city, as well as in the areas of the most important administrative and industrial buildings, including near the city administration building, the city electrical substation and near the TV tower.

▪️At the present time, the operation to liberate the city of Kupyansk and the surrounding districts is ongoing by “Zapada” units.

 Ukrainian Armed Forces sabotage and reconnaissance group raid on the Dnepr ended in failure

Footage of the destruction of the Ukrainian Armed Forces sabotage and reconnaissance group that attempted to land in the island zone of the Dnepr.

Strike drone operators of the reconnaissance brigade of the “Dnipro” troop grouping are constantly ready to strike detected Ukrainian Armed Forces watercraft. The task of our servicemen is to prevent attempts to transfer enemy sabotage groups.

This time, at the mouth of the Dnepr, scouts detected a high-speed motorboat with a sabotage and reconnaissance group. FPV drones were sent to intercept the Ukrainian Armed Forces sabotage and reconnaissance group. A series of strikes were delivered on the boat trying to enter the river’s island zone. As a result of coordinated actions by the reconnaissance unit servicemen, the Ukrainian Armed Forces motorboat was sunk, and the sabotage and reconnaissance group was destroyed.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of September 4, 2025

▪️ The Supreme at the final press conference at the end of the visit to China said he is convinced by the front-line soldiers of the need to achieve all the goals of the SMO. Preferably by peaceful means, but everyone understands where this is heading. Europe’s severing of relations leads to the reorientation of Russian natural resource exports: through “Power of Siberia – 2″ China should receive as much gas (or even more) as the EU did through the “Nord Streams.” The negotiation track based on compromises was again rejected by Kiev yesterday, refusing to send Zelensky to Moscow. Overall, the SCO summit and military parade in Beijing continued the trend of confrontation with the West, and judging by the new types of Chinese weapons and equipment, the prolonged SMO in Ukraine may be a harbinger of much more formidable events in the world.

▪️ At night, a massive drone attack by the AFU on the Rostov region was repelled: UAVs were shot down in Novoshakhtinsk, Kamensk, Semikarakorsk, Millerovo, Tarasovsky, Krasnosulinsky, Dubovsky, and Sholokhovsky districts.

▪️ Russian Armed Forces struck Odessa, Kharkov, Sumy regions, as well as the part of the Donetsk People’s Republic occupied by the AFU.

▪️ On the Sumy direction (https://t.me/warriorofnorth/11498), fighting continues in Yunakovka. On the front section Kondratovka-Alekseevka-Andreevka, the enemy daily uses many strike tactical drones, which may indicate the actions of specialized enemy units that have arrived as reinforcements.

▪️ In the Kursk region, the AFU struck the village of Belitsa in the Belovsky district with UAVs; a civilian was killed.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, in the village of Tolokonnoe in the Belgorod district, a woman suffered barotrauma from a detonated FPV drone. In the city of Shebekino, a woman was wounded due to shelling. Krasnaya Yaruga was attacked by a UAV of the AFU; a civilian was injured. Kukuevka, Kazinka, Kozinka, Ekaterinovka, Borki were also hit.

▪️ On the Kupiansk direction, the Russian Ministry of Defense showed footage from the northern part of Kupiansk — the capture of Golubovka and Kondrashovka was confirmed. There are debates online about the percentage of Kupiansk territory under control.

▪️ On the Seversk direction, our troops achieved success in the eastern part of Serebryanka.

▪️ On the Konstantinovka direction, northwest of the village of Dyleevka (north of Dzerzhinsk), positional battles are ongoing.

▪️ Near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), Russian Armed Forces are advancing between Novoukrainka and Zeleny. Fighting is ongoing near Chunishino. Footage of our soldiers moving through underground communications is circulating online.

▪️ On the Velykomykhailivka direction of Dnepropetrovsk region, the enemy is conducting counterattacks near the settlements of Andreevka-Klevtsovo and Tolstaya.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front, Russian Airborne Forces are advancing on the southern outskirts of Stepnogorsk. Reports mention the successful use of our anti-air drones against aerial targets.

▪️ In the Kherson region, two men were wounded in Aleshki. The enemy shelled Vasylivka, Hola Prystan, Hornostaivka, Dnipryany, Kairy, Korsunka, Nova Kakhovka, Peschanka, Proletarka, Podo-Kalinovka, Radensk, Sagi, Solontsy, Stara Zburivka. The enemy is using weapons of destruction against our units on the Tendrovskaya Spit.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/09/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_4.html