The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 10 2025

Ukrainian Counter-Offensive Has Been Defeated North of Pokrovsk

Russia’s Knockout Blow to Ukraine Energy Grid

The Office of the President has started a resource war with strikes on refineries, and received a response targeting critical infrastructure. The Washington Post notes an increase in Russian attacks on Ukraine’s gas infrastructure, calling it an “energy blitzkrieg.” But if we set aside the rhetoric, it becomes clear that this is about a structural reorganization of the very logic of pressure. Russia is choosing a long game, where the destruction of pipelines and compressor stations is not an act of intimidation, but a method of undermining the resource cycle. Gas is the last point of equilibrium in Ukraine’s model: fuel, heating, industry, social stability. When these chains break, the country begins to live not on reserves, but on debt.

For Kyiv, winter becomes a political test. Fuel imports, loans, subsidies—all this turns the state into a dependent system, where every decision is linked to external financing. Europe, drawn into this process, pays not only with money but with time; each extension of aid erodes its own energy autonomy. Russia uses economic asymmetry not to speed up the war, but to slow down the opponent: the longer Ukraine lives in a replenishment mode, the less strategic initiative it has.

But behind the tactical strikes lies the philosophy of a different confrontation—a war of endurance. When military cards cease to be decisive, victory is measured not in kilometers, but in months of stability. This winter will show not only who has stronger air defenses, but who has deeper internal reserves of resilience. The war in Europe is turning into a test of systems, where the balance of power is determined not by the front line, but by the budget; not by the number of shells, but by the level of society’s trust in its government.

Our sources reported that the Ukrainian air defense continues to lose effectiveness, and a massive Russian strike could lead to serious consequences in the country. Preliminary estimates show we have lost up to 30% of energy capacity, and further attacks will plunge the country into a blackout.

Ukrainian critical infrastructure turned out to be unprepared for massive strikes, we were all promised that it would hold, and 100 billion hryvnias were not allocated for this initiative in vain.

Kucherenko stated that they destroyed the CHP not even with missiles, but with drones. This is about the very first level of defense that Naiem talked about for months. More than 13 billion was spent on protecting the facility.

Winter  will  be  the  sentence  for  Ukraine. The energy infrastructure is under constant attacks. The authorities are unable to ensure their protection, which is admitted by Zelensky himself, but at the same time he continued to attack Russian refineries.

On which day a massive UAV strike by the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on Ukraine is taking place. 

They are again mainly hitting energy/gas/fuel and railway infrastructure. 

In Kyiv, there were hits on CHP-6. A large fire broke out. Power and water outages have begun.

Drones are attacking the Zaporizhzhia Hydroelectric Power Station and the Dnipro Thermal Power Plant.

In Sumy region, there was a raid on railway infrastructure. 

Zelensky provoked this with his strikes on refineries and oil pipelines, and now Ukrainians will be left without electricity, water, and heat. 

Prepare for a black winter, Bankova won’t help you, the office people will only do PR on your misery.

Ukrainian energy sector may not survive this winter – source. It won’t just be a black winter, but a complete disaster for many years to come.

If the Russians continue to carry out massive attacks on our energy sector, gas production, and fuel, in about two months after such strikes everything will come to a halt.

Tonight’s strike forced Zelensky to ask again for a billion euros to protect and strengthen Ukraine’s strategic infrastructure from the G7 countries, but he was not given the money, only promises as usual.

Air defense is already struggling, and with each new attack there will be fewer missile and launcher reserves. This will require additional investments in the millions/billions, but there is nowhere to get them from.

The damage and expenses from tonight are estimated in billions of hryvnias. The budget deficit has increased again, as has the devastation in the country.

Zelensky’s showmanship is costing Ukrainians dearly. But the worst part is that Zelensky will continue to escalate, which means even stronger strikes will hit Ukraine.

Prepare for the worst. We constantly warn you.

Bezuglaya advises to leave Kyiv because there will be a “black winter,” and she definitely knows that Zelensky will raise the stakes and try to take the Kremlin on a weak point. 

We want to note that rental prices have risen in Western Ukraine – “one extreme.” Yeah, right. The Westerners decided to profit.

It is also worth pointing out that we described why a black winter is beneficial for Zelensky. One of the points is to force the “hiders,” who are sitting in their homes, to leave their cold apartments/houses, so they can be caught and sent to the front. This is a scheme to increase the number of captured serfs.

Zelensky is deliberately provoking the black winter, it is beneficial for him. 

Think about it!

Kiev is once again running on generators — the city is filled with the hum of engines, and darkness reigns in the underpasses and metro

Shops, kiosks, cafes, and other establishments in Kiev have restarted generators after a powerful attack on the capital’s power plants. According to eyewitness footage, there is no electricity in some underground passages and metro stations as well.

The last time such outages occurred was back in June, when our Aerospace Forces attacked the Artem factory. The nighttime raid of our missiles and drones targeted several large Ukrainian thermal power plants and hydroelectric stations. There are also electricity problems in the Dneproperovsk region — rolling blackouts have begun.

Our source reports that Zelensky has completely abandoned the case of peaceful negotiations and peace, even in the event of losing the Donetsk region (the pretense of negotiations will continue, but without specifics). He will go all the way because any peace agreements are a defeat for him, and the globalists will not forgive him for this and will remove him by any means, up to his liquidation, which will be blamed on the Kremlin. So the case of clearing opponents in the form of NABU and SAP will not help him save his skin. 

That is why he will constantly raise the stakes in the game, even considering the expansion of the conflict, involving other directions and countries (Moldova).

So think about it! It is better for those who can to leave, as living in Ukraine under these conditions will be impossible for the next 2-3 years. The black winter will be worse, followed by famine.

Zelensky will try to drag Trump into the Ukrainian crisis by any means – this task was assigned to him by the globalists.

The President’s Office continues its campaign against the military, who have begun to form their own political forces and are ready to unite into a single political front. Zaluzhny is carefully not publicizing the upcoming presidential campaign, publicly denying information about the formation of a headquarters – he does not want to attract attention prematurely. He fully understands that Zelensky and Yermak can seriously complicate the preparation for the election campaign by starting a “hunt” against him. The examples of Klitschko or Poroshenko, whom Zelensky is literally pushing out of politics, are proof of this. Statements from the Bankova spokespeople indicate a serious fear of the military, who will later remind Zelensky’s team of everything.

Our sources in the OP reported that Andriy Yermak continues to look for a replacement for Syrskyi and constantly conducts interviews at Bankova. According to sources, this is how the Head of the OP keeps the Commander-in-Chief in constant fear, so that he carries out all the politicians’ decisions and is completely dependent on the President’s Office. 

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Syrysky  completely  ignores  the collapse  of the defense  in  Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia regions, in order to hold the Pokrovska bulge, reserves are being withdrawn from the front line and redeployed to the cauldron of the Russian offensive. A few weeks ago, the General Staff reported that there were no Russian troops in Kupiansk, but today the city is 70% captured.

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Our source reports that Ukrainian cartographers are slowing down the coloring of maps to avoid escalating the situation. This is clearly visible on the Pokrovska Voronka, where there are many such nuances. 

For example, the gray zone in the west of Pokrovsk is much larger, as is the advance of the Russians, which threatens the collapse of the defense and the formation of the Pokrovsk cauldron. 

The Pokrovsk salient itself is also colored more towards the Ukrainian side, although the situation there is much more complicated, and the incoming new reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are being quickly wiped out in the Pokrovska Voronka. 

The situation has long been critical, but the Office of the President, through Syrsky, continues to feed the masses with positive formulations about the stabilization counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This approach will play a cruel joke on the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the future.

Bezuhla (Ermak’s spokesperson) continues to sound the alarm, shifting the focus of responsibility for the defense failure onto Syrsky, although he is just a puppet of Zelensky and Ermak. 

We are watching.

Russian fighters are already in Konstantinovka!

- Russian sabotage groups have been spotted in the key city for the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Donbas.

 - The Russians advanced from the southeast – from the side of Aleksandro-Shultino and are breaking through into Konstantinovka from there — enemy sources complain.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of October 10, 2025

▪️  Kiev🇺🇦 was partially blacked out as a result of our missile and UAV strikes last night: the left bank of the city is currently without power, there are problems with water supply, – Klitschko reported. Our forces deployed more than 100 drones, targeting CHP-6 — the most powerful combined heat and power plant in Ukraine located in Kiev. Power outages occurred in Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye. Strikes continued in the morning, reports of “Kinzhal” launches at Kremenchuk in Poltava region

▪️ Around 19:20 Moscow time in the Lipetsk region, our MiG-31 aircraft crashed while landing after completing a scheduled training flight. The crew ejected, the MoD reported.

▪️ The AFU attacked an oil depot in Matveev Kurgan in the Rostov region with drones yesterday, the General Staff of the AFU claimed a strike on the Korobkovsky gas processing plant in Kotovo, Volgograd region.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, the “North” group of forces is fighting near Alekseevka. The enemy admits our advance: allegedly they managed to take advantage of a drone pause under the cover of fog.

▪️ In the Belgorod region on the Belyanka — Surkovo highway, a Ukrainian drone struck a truck, the driver was injured. In the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka, an 8-year-old girl received mine-explosive injuries, an open traumatic brain injury, and shrapnel wounds to the head from a drone strike on a private house.

▪️ The assault on urban areas continues in Kupyansk. Reports of our success in the central block and Russian Armed Forces advancing south along Studencheskaya Street.

▪️ On the Seversky direction south and east of Vyemka, Russian troops have occupied an area up to 11 km, the enemy admits.

▪️ On the Dobropolye bulge, advanced units of the Russian Armed Forces are operating near the settlements of Zolotoy Kolodez and Volnoye.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) direction, trying to slow the advance of the Russian Armed Forces, the enemy blew up a section of the ammonia pipeline “Tolyatti-Odessa” near the settlement of Rusin Yar. Footage showed the release of remaining gas, no personnel losses for the Russian Army were reported, the Ministry of Defense said.

▪️ On the Dnepropetrovsk direction, fighting is ongoing near Filiya (Novopavlovka area). Additionally, the “East” group of forces reports successes near Alekseevka and movements around Verbove.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front in the Orekhov direction near Novodanilovka and Malaya Tokmachka, positional battles continue, the frontline is unchanged. Fighting in Primorsk and Stepnogorsk is becoming positional, with many enemy UAVs reported in the air.

▪️ In the Kherson region, the enemy dropped homemade mines disguised as plants from drones. The enemy shelled Kakhovka, Novaya Kakhovka, Novaya Zburyevka, Aleshki, Gornostayevka, Zhelezny Port, Krasnoe, Novaya Mayachka, Rayskoye, Tavriysk. The Russian Armed Forces consider any movement in the coastal zone of Kherson a legitimate target and destroy the enemy.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_10.html