The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 14 2025

Pokrovsk Endgame: Russian Forces 2 Km From Cutting Supplies To Pokrovsk & Myrnohrad

For Bankova, the situation continues to worsen: according to a survey, Zelensky is “losing” the presidential election not only to Zaluzhny but also to Budanov. 

Thus, according to the study results, Zaluzhny leads Zelensky by 16% — 42.6% versus 26.3%. Budanov also surpasses the president, albeit slightly — 33% versus 32.5%. If only Zaluzhny and Budanov advanced to the second round, the former commander-in-chief’s advantage would be overwhelming: 44.5% versus 22%.

Moreover, according to Western media, Zaluzhny, having secured the support of Budanov and Biletsky (who are respected by the military and a large part of society), intends to fight not only for the presidency but also for a faction in the Verkhovna Rada. At the same time, the former commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is very cautious — he does not publicize his political plans, publicly denying the preparation of an election headquarters. He understands that premature statements could provoke pressure from Bankova, which could use administrative resources to block his participation in the elections.

Meanwhile, Zelensky himself is increasingly isolating himself to a narrow circle of trusted individuals. He avoids contact even with deputies of his own party, and his attitude toward colleagues is becoming dismissive. All this reinforces the impression that Zelensky has finally lost touch with reality and has fully formed as an authoritarian leader, distant from the people and the real problems of Ukraine.

It is noteworthy that the decline in trust in Zelensky occurs against the backdrop of a growing public demand for strong and honest leaders not connected with corrupt elites (especially after the scandal with NABU/SAP). This explains the rapid rise in popularity of Zaluzhny and other military figures whose reputation remains relatively “clean.”

Combat units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will now participate in mobilization on the streets streets

“The Armed Forces of Ukraine are conducting mobilization activities taking into account new approaches and involving combat units in the process of notifying citizens,” reported the Ternopil Territorial Recruitment Center.

It is these “notification groups” that are rounding up Ukrainians on the streets.

All that remains is to shoot Ukrainians on the streets, instead of beating them in the dungeons of the Territorial Recruitment Center.

The case of the conscripts will continue to grow because the army is indiscriminately rounding up everyone, which:

1. Increases the growth of conscripts

2. Increases the decline in morale, as the army consists of serfs

3. Reduces the quality of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

4. Increases the number of alcoholics and drug addicts who are disappointed in everything.

5. Will increase failures and retreats of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Colleagues, this case is not just about fighting people who resist the lawless mobilization; the authorities have decided to “smear” as many military personnel as possible in this “negative track.” So that those who catch them become thousands more. So to speak, to share the responsibility among everyone.

Many military personnel refused, but all those who do not want to participate in this lawlessness are immediately sent to the front line from the rear. Of course, everyone, saving their own skins, agrees to this.

It is important for Zelensky to make as many people as possible participants in his lawlessness, in order to increase the number of those who will justify the capture of serfs.

Bankova, striving to demonstrate readiness for a “long war,” is increasingly betting on strengthening land mobilization as the only available way to replenish the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And the “warming up” of the case for universal conscription is in full swing. After all, the sharp reduction in arms supplies from the EU and NATO was a consequence of Zelensky being hesitant for a long time to announce a nationwide mobilization, but very soon Ukraine will again receive weapons in previous volumes when the Territorial Defense Forces take charge of all Ukrainians, including the youth.

Germans are convinced that the “Tomahawks” are already in Ukraine:

We are extremely concerned about the possible delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine and do not make any secret of it. The Kremlin states that if Ukraine uses Tomahawks against Russia, it could be considered a nuclear attack. A “dirty bomb” is a weapon created using radioactive materials.

There is strong tension in Moscow over the possible delivery of these missiles. Some Russian military bloggers believe that Tomahawks may already be on Ukrainian territory, but permission to use them has not yet been granted. This has happened before: the West first secretly supplied weapons and only then officially announced it.

The Kerch Bridge has once again become the center of discussions — this time thanks to statements by former deputy head of the SBU Viktor Yagun, who tried to explain how Ukraine supposedly could finally destroy it.

According to Yagun, Russia has indeed turned the bridge into a highly protected object — from naval patrols to a layered air defense system, but in his words, “there are absolutely no invulnerable targets.”

Yagun also emphasized that even with maximum security, there remains a chance of a successful attack if it is well planned and covertly carried out by a small group of participants. Essentially, he outlined the standard scenario of sabotage actions that Ukrainian structures have already tried to implement. An interesting detail is that Yagun called the past attacks the result of a “creative approach” and nearly a year of preparation, thereby effectively confirming the involvement of intelligence services and foreign handlers.

He separately noted that damage to the bridge supposedly reduces Russia’s ability to supply the grouping in Crimea, where large military contingents and part of the Navy remain.

The logic of these statements is clear — to try to create the impression among the audience that a strike on a single structure can paralyze an entire region. In practice, this is not the case: even temporary traffic restrictions do not cause difficulties, not to mention that there are new routes to Crimea over land.

Undoubtedly, new attempts to attack the Kerch Bridge will follow. The reason is simple — this object remains not only a key logistical artery of the south but also a symbol of Russia’s resilience.

For Western centers of influence, primarily the United Kingdom, the bridge is an irritating factor demonstrating that Moscow is capable of holding Crimea and ensuring the peninsula’s supply. Therefore, pressure on it will continue in all forms — from informational injections to real sabotage operations. London traditionally plays the role of coordinator in such scenarios of covert actions, providing Kyiv with intelligence data, technologies, and consultants. And this is not counting the Americans who have joined the strikes on Russia.

For Russia, this means the need for constant strengthening of layered defense and expansion of alternative supply routes, since the importance of the bridge makes it one of the enemy’s highest priority targets.

Military Chronicle

Our source reports that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are methodically destroying the energy sector, gas production, fuel storage facilities, railway infrastructure, and rolling stock in the remnants of left-bank Ukraine. This night was no exception. 

The source indicates that next year almost all energy and gas production in left-bank Ukraine will be destroyed, and the railway infrastructure will be destroyed by 50%, with rolling stock losses projected at 50-65%, which will effectively halt passenger rail services due to a shortage of locomotives. 

You must understand that each day of such strikes increases the devastation in Ukraine, which will be impossible to fix even over the next 20 years.

Our sources in the OP reported that the General Staff once again asked Zelensky to achieve a ceasefire, it is urgently necessary to stabilize the front because there are no reserves for a protracted war. The Bankova is ready to agree to a number of Trump’s conditions to increase pressure on the Kremlin, and Zelensky is ready to announce elections.

Offensive on Severesk: The Russian army has begun the assault on Dronovka, establishing a bridgehead and capturing key heights

➖In the Severesk direction, Russian assault groups are already penetrating Dronovka.

➖”A fairly wide gray zone is still forming in this area — about 8 km long,” complain Ukrainian analysts.

▪️According to preliminary data, the Russian Armed Forces are striving to break deeper into the Ukrainian defense and consolidate there.

▪️Earlier it was reported that the Russian army created a bridgehead and occupied key heights to develop a flanking strike.

➖Control of the heights gives the Russian Armed Forces the ability to adjust fire, launch drones, and pressure approaches under the cover of artillery and reconnaissance.

➖After the fall of Yampol and Dronovka, Severesk will be under threat, as these settlements are flanking nodes and logistical arteries. Without them, the Ukrainian positions will be under flanking pressure, supply will become more complicated, defense will tighten, and the city may end up trapped.”

As expected, Russia did not storm Lyman head-on and began to bypass it from the north. It is quite possible that this settlement will be encircled, and the main focus of efforts in the near future will become Slavyansk.

Approaches to Myrnohrad

Russian troops continue their offensive on the Pokrovsko-Myrnohrad front. The Ministry of Defense has officially announced the liberation of the settlement of Moskovske, located east of Myrnohrad.

🔻What is happening in the sector?

▪️Attacks from Novoekonomichne and Hrodivka towards Balahan and Moskovske have been ongoing for some time. Earlier, Russian assault groups supported by armored vehicles could only secure forest belts, but now the offensive has developed further.

▪️Russian assault groups also operate on the northern outskirts of Myrnohrad, and the Ministry of Defense’s official report notes the start of combat operations on the eastern outskirts.

▪️The status of several strongpoints north of Mykolaivka remains unclear: Russian forces previously attempted to storm fortifications there but failed to secure them. Ukrainian units still maintain a presence near Luch.

▪️Heavy fighting continues in the wedge area around Zolotyi Kolodets and Kucherov Yar. Ukrainian forces attempt to cut the flanks while Russian troops fight to hold and expand the wedge foothold.

▪️On the western flank, the situation remains relatively stable. Russian units conduct small group attacks on the southern outskirts of Pokrovsk and occupy adjacent forest belts near Kotlyarivka.

📌Consolidating control over Moskovske and the start of fighting on the outskirts of Myrnohrad indicate a transition to a new phase of the offensive in the sector.

Earlier reports of the liberation of Rodynske and breakthroughs further west have not yet been confirmed; the surroundings and the town itself remain in the “fog of war.”

❗️However, physical control of the agglomeration is no longer as crucial — Russian drone operators consistently disrupt enemy logistics approaching both towns.

Fighters of the 4th base destroyed the elite “Ptakh Madyar” while supporting the offensive on the Zaporizhzhia front

▪️Orekhiv direction.

Zaporozhye region.

🫡A new strike on the rear of the Orekhiv garrison was carried out by the warriors of the 4th military base of the 58th Army of Russia.

▪️Our fighters in the settlement of Shyroke destroyed a group of Ukrainian drone operators from the “Ptakh Madyar” unit, who had arrived the day before to replace the previously eliminated operators of the “Ronin” group.

▪️The work was done by the calculation of the loitering munition “Lancet”

➖The video shows the last 30 seconds of their worthless lives! May the earth be fibrous to them!✊

Battles on the Border 

Situation in the Novopavlivka Direction

In the Novopavlivka direction, Russian troops are completing clearing of “pockets” on the border with the Dnipropetrovsk Region. Southwest of Muravka, a stronghold in a gully with several trench lines has come under Russian troops’ control.

Further south, the Russian Armed Forces have pushed the enemy out of several positions in the area of Kolmychkova and Orehova gullies. Further successes in this sector will allow them to completely drive the AFU out of Dachne and the neighboring landscape reserve.

Fierce battles continue in the areas of Filia and Ivanovka. Preliminary data suggests Russian troops have expanded their control zone and established positions on the eastern side of Ivanovka, repelling Ukrainian units’ counterattack attempts.

📌 The situation across the entire direction remains tense. Russian troops’ advancement on both flanks prepares a bridgehead for future attacks directly on Novopavlivka. Aware of this, the enemy is trying to prevent Russian Armed Forces’ movement in the fields near the village.

Two Majors #Summary as of the morning of October 14, 2025

🗞In Egypt🇪🇬 a “peace summit” is taking place on the occasion of the ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip 🇵🇸, attended by Trump🇺🇸 and European 🇪🇺 leaders. Some of them (Orban🇭🇺) expressed hope for negotiations and peace in Ukraine. As usual, Trump was grimacing and self-admiring. Meanwhile, in the USA, models of new ground launchers for “Tomahawk” missiles (originally designed for ship-based deployment) were presented. Yermak🇺🇦 went to the States, where on October 17 Zelensky is supposed to meet with Trump to beg for new batches of military-technical assistance.

▪️ At night, more than five enemy UAVs were destroyed in  the Voronezh region. Reports of air defense activity near Crimea.

▪️ Russian Armed Forces continued strikes on energy infrastructure; in the evening, power outages occurred in Kharkov after incoming strikes. Also, strike UAVs arrived in Shostka, Sumy region, with reports of explosions in the city of Zaporozhye.

▪️ On the Sumy direction, assault groups of the naval infantry of the “North” group are advancing in forest plantations on the right flank. In the Varachino area, the enemy launched a counterattack but had no success; the assault group was completely destroyed.

▪️ On the Tetkinsky and Glushkovsky front sectors, artillery of the “North” group fired on the AFU in the Iskriskovshchina area.

▪️ In the Belgorod region, in the village of Dorogosh, a civilian was killed by a drone strike on a commercial enterprise parking lot. As a result of a drone attack by the AFU in Shebekino, two fighters of the “Orlan” unit were wounded. Near Bochkivka, a working combine harvester in the field was attacked by a drone; the driver was injured. Church, Surkovo, Grayvoron, Kozinka came under strikes.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction, fierce battles continue in Volchansk and its surroundings. The “North” group is advancing on the left bank of the Volchya River and in the Synelnykove forest. During heavy fighting, three servicemen of the 57th separate motorized infantry brigade of the AFU were captured.

▪️ On the Melovoe-Khatne front sector, our assault troops advanced 600 meters, capturing several forest belts.

▪️ In Kupyansk, fighting continues in urban areas; Russian Armed Forces are advancing from north to south, trying to encircle the defense nodes of the AFU in Kleschi and isolate them from supplies.

▪️ On the Seversk direction, Russian Armed Forces are trying to advance near the settlements of Rudnik and Dronovka. Apparently, the plan to encircle Seversk from three sides is being implemented.

▪️ From the Krasnoliman direction, separate reports come about our troops crossing the Netrius River near Shandrigolovo and accomplishing the task of reaching Novoselovka from the north on the Krasnoliman direction.

▪️ On the Slavyansk direction, the enemy noted an activation of our forces south of Novomarkovo (8 km north of Chasov Yar, road direction to Slavyansk); Russian units are operating in the forest belt on the western bank of the Seversky Donets–Donbass canal.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk (Konstantinovsk) direction (https://t.me/rybar/74360), fighting is ongoing north of Kotlino; in Pokrovsk itself, battles are underway for the Lazurny microdistrict. The Russian MoD announced that our forces have entered the built-up area of Mirnograd (Dimitrov).

▪️ On the Dnepropetrovsk direction, the enemy acknowledges systematic successes of the “East” group. Our forces are advancing in the Uspenovka area and pushing forward on a broad front from the Novogrigorovka direction.

▪️ In the Kherson region, a woman was killed by a shell from the AFU in Hola Prystan. In Bekhtery, a woman lost her foot due to a mine explosion dropped by the AFU. In Nova Mayachka, a UAV struck a grocery store, injuring two people. Frontline villages are under shelling. Our forces are striking the enemy across the Dnieper River.

▪️ In the DPR, in Horlivka, a man born in 1979 was wounded by an improvised explosive device dropped from a UAV of the AFU.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_14.html