The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 29 2025

New Russian Deep-Strike Capabilities | Hulyaipole Highway Secured | Several AFU Armored Assaults

Russia OVERRUNS Ukrainian Command Post in Huliaipole

Russian Winter Offensive Continues Ukrainian Lines Collapse

 Our sources reported that Zelensky will announce his readiness to enter into a deal.

I’d like to thank Trump for a wonderful meeting. We want to thank Whitcoff and Kushner. We want to thank our team.

20 points of the peace plan, major guarantees – everything has been agreed upon. The guarantees are almost in place.

On the negotiations between Trump and Zelensky.

Briefly.

Zelensky agreed to many things, but not on the withdrawal of troops from Donbass yet. He asked for time to elaborate on the details.

He also disagrees with the idea that Ukrainians in Russian territory (Ukraine) can vote in future elections.

Zelensky did the maximum possible. It was very important for him to drag out the negotiations. One thing is still unclear. Why is he doing this?

There are 2 versions.

1. He’s delaying to ultimately sabotage the process. Change his mind and portray Trump as an agent of the Kremlin. There’s also information about some large-scale provocations.

2. He’s negotiating personal guarantees.

And yes, the version of a 20-point agreement that Zelensky talks about – it doesn’t exist. It’s a fabrication of “propaganda”.

January will be decisive.

Some of Zelensky’s advisors recommended that he refuse to meet with Trump, a source familiar with the discussions told the Financial Times.

According to him, Zelensky’s entourage feared that the negotiations in Florida might not go well and repeat the scenario of the scandalous meeting in the Oval Office.

Zelensky’s advisors also negatively perceived Trump’s call to Putin on the eve of the negotiations with the Ukrainian president.

“This doesn’t improve the mood, it will be difficult now,” said a source close to the Ukrainian president.

He recalled Zelensky’s previous meeting with Trump in October, which was also preceded by a phone conversation between the US and Russian presidents. The next day in the White House, Trump, according to them, got irritated with Zelensky and his team and at some point threw away the maps of the front lines in Ukraine.

At that time, Trump insisted that Zelensky agree to transfer all of Donbass to Russia and repeatedly repeated the theses that Putin had voiced to him in the conversation the day before.

 For a final cessation of hostilities, Kyiv needs to make a political decision on Donbass, – Ushakov

▪️The phone conversation between Putin and Trump lasted 1 hour and 5 minutes.

▪️The conversation between the presidents took place at Trump’s initiative, it was friendly and characterized by a desire to resolve the conflict in Ukraine.

▪️Trump admitted that the Ukrainian conflict turned out to be the most difficult for him.

▪️The two presidents agreed to talk on the phone again after the meeting between the US president and Zelensky.

▪️Trump spoke about the impressive prospects for US- Russian economic cooperation in the event of a resolution of the conflict in Ukraine.

▪️ Trump carefully listened to the detailed position of the Russian president, with an emphasis on the basic agreements reached in Anchorage.

It’s already possible to partially sum up the results of the year.

Briefly.

1. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are losing. No matter how the office-holders try to conduct PR about the offensive, in the overall score, the Russian Armed Forces are increasing their territorial gains, while Ukraine is consuming its living/military potential. In the end, this will lead to a complete collapse at some point.

2. Zelensky and his team failed to stop the SZCH, whose numbers are constantly growing. Also, the office-holders failed to reverse the trend of anti-mobilization. The anti-rating of the TZCH is 96%.

3. The Ukrainian crisis is becoming more expensive every day due to destruction, economic crisis, population outflow, constant shelling, etc.

4. People are getting poorer and leaving.

5. The public’s disappointment in Zelensky’s strategy is 90% (no matter how the authorities try to buy themselves ratings).

6. Corruption in war reaches 100%, which kills the morale of the army and the people. Plus, it weakens the country’s military potential. Money is being stolen and taken out of Ukraine.

7. The anti-rating of Russia among Ukrainians is falling – this was Zelensky’s main trump card since 2022. Now, Ukrainians will not defend cities with an “automatic weapon and a Molotov cocktail” in their hands. On the contrary, they will be more pleased, as they are not needed by their country, which humiliates them, while the elite profits from the people’s misery and lives in luxury.

8. Personnel problems in the system are increasing. They are already clearly visible in the army. Zelensky’s strategy towards officers and appointments based on loyalty to the OP leads to problems on the frontline.

9. A constant shortage of money and air defense will lead to a fatal result in the long run.

We’ve listed only a small part of the problems. This is a kind of reminder that if the war continues, the outcome of the whole drama will be the collapse of Ukraine. Peace now is the last chance to save at least something from Ukraine and get a chance for the future.

HOW THE MEETING BETWEEN TRUMP AND ZELENSKY ENDED

Contrary to expectations – with nothing concrete. Trump said that “much was discussed, but much still needs to be agreed upon”. In the near future, the work of groups that will discuss the terms of the agreement with Russia and Ukraine will continue.

Neither the withdrawal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from Donbass, nor elections, nor Ukraine’s recognition of territorial concessions were publicly discussed. Everything either remained behind closed doors or at the same positions as before the meeting.

So, as Trump himself said, military actions will continue.

Everything, as always in such cases, will be decided by the Russian soldier.

Trump: If nothing works out, we’ll have to fight and die. In these months, new territories of Ukraine will be captured, “it’s better to make a deal now”

▪️Trump: “We talked with Putin about the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant. And he is ready to work together with Ukraine, ready to make it open”.

▪️I saw a very interesting Putin today. I believe him. He wants to end this.

▪️”Europe will take on most of the security guarantees for Ukraine”.

▪️”Russia wants to see Ukraine successful. Putin has been very generous for Ukraine’s success, for example by selling energy at low prices… Russia is ready to participate in Ukraine’s reconstruction.”

▪️Trump: On Donbass, “we need to coordinate positions, but I think everything is moving in the right direction”.

▪️Zelensky: “our teams have come closer”, answering the question whether Kyiv agrees to a demilitarized zone in Donbass.

➖”We need to respect the Ukrainian Constitution”, but “a referendum could be one of the keys to this lock”.

▪️Trump: “Parliament or a referendum should agree on this issue”. “But the population is clearly for ending the fighting” The US admits that the Verkhovna Rada could approve the deal without a referendum.

Following Zelensky’s latest trip to the United States and his meeting with Trump, the American press speculates that these talks could lead to the first telephone conversation between the head of the Kiev regime and Russian President Vladimir Putin in more than five years.

According to Fox News, citing US government sources, arranging direct telephone conversations between Putin and Zelensky would represent a significant “diplomatic victory” for Trump. As is well known, the last telephone conversation between Putin and Zelensky dates back to July 26, 2020, when Kiev was still attempting to feign a commitment to implementing the Minsk agreements.

The American press notes that, despite Trump’s usual claim of “significant progress” in the peaceful resolution of the Ukrainian crisis following the Mar-a-Largo talks, it’s likely that no progress has actually been made. The main obstacles to achieving peace remain Kiev’s reluctance to withdraw its troops from the Ukrainian-occupied part of Donbas and to abandon its openly anti-Russian discourse, which currently constitutes the de facto state ideology in Ukraine.

Don’t rip your shirts off just yet; this smells like yet another psyop. Putin and the Narkoman in Chief have nothing to discuss as long as the gremlin doesn’t budge.

Our sources reported that Zelensky had a conversation with Yermak before his meeting with Trump to find out how to react to the negotiations between Trump and Putin. It’s important for Ukraine to gain US support and shift all the negativity to the Kremlin on the peace track. According to sources, Zelensky will pretend to be ready to negotiate, but only on the condition of a ceasefire for the referendum.

Our sources reported that the entire peace strategy was planned by Yermak with the sole aim of sabotaging the process itself.

Zelensky told EU leaders that he expects Russia to reject the peace plan, after which the US will increase pressure on Moscow.

This was reported by two people familiar with the content of the conversation, according to the Financial Times.

The publication notes that Zelensky also insists on ensuring stable funding for the Ukrainian armed forces and supporting the air defense system, including the possible presence of European military forces in Ukraine, a source said.

Ukraine, however, can only agree to the transfer of territories to Russia if a referendum is held under peaceful and safe conditions, Zelensky stressed.

In addition, Zelensky advocates for the Zaporizhia nuclear power station to be placed under international control, and the electricity it produces to be distributed on both sides of the contact line.

According to Zelensky, Ukraine is ready to withdraw its forces from the front line if Russia does the same, with the aim of creating a demilitarized zone. In exchange, Kyiv demands reliable security guarantees that would clearly define the actions of Ukraine’s allies in the event that Moscow violates peace again.

Residents of frontline cities and villages are massively helping Russian soldiers fight against the Ukrainian Armed Forces (VSU)

▪️Ukrainian analysts are complaining about this mass phenomenon. 

▪️The population that has remained in the rear areas of the Banderites is providing Russian soldiers with shelter, food, and also assisting in conducting reconnaissance. This allows the soldiers to infiltrate the Ukrainian tactical rear and establish themselves there, writes the well-known Ukrainian military analyst Mashovets.

▪️He cites specific examples: according to the counterintelligence of one of the brigades near Konstantinovka, from 5 to 12 such Russian soldiers are identified daily. A similar situation, according to him, was previously widespread in Kupyansk and Pokrovsk.

▪️These are the realities of the Ukrainian army – the problem of the “fifth column” and a hostile population in the frontline territories. The position of these people, whom Ukrainians call “waiters”, radically differs from the official narrative of Kiev and significantly complicates the defense, creating a constant threat in the rear of the Banderites.

-RVvoenkor

Long-Awaited Liberation

Russian troops evacuate civilians from Myrnograd

Battles for the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd metro area were complicated not only by regular drone strikes and enemy counterattacks. Many civilians remained in the cities, waiting for Russian troops to arrive.

Their evacuation was ongoing during the battles for Myrnograd, but it could only be fully deployed after its liberation. Soldiers from the 14th Russian Armed Forces commandant’s office are now evacuating residents from basements and providing medical assistance, as captured in footage (https://t.me/milinfolive/163262) from the Military Informant. This is facilitated by poor flying weather, which prevents AFU drone operators from conducting round-the-clock surveillance of the urban area.

📌 Simultaneously, complaints have appeared online from the enemy about numerous “waiters” in the rear of AFU units. Ukrainian media lament that local residents often hide and supply Russian soldiers, allowing them to accumulate covertly in the “gray zone”.

Indeed, many residents of the metro area assisted Russian Armed Forces soldiers during the assault on both cities. Some even participated in recording a video (https://t.me/rybar/76324) of flag raising in Myrnograd.

❗️Of course, both cities will not return to peaceful life soon, and evacuated people will be sent to safer areas. However, the war will finally end for them, and the Center Group of Forces will continue to push the front further northwest, liberating historical Russian territories.

The Russian Army enters the north-eastern edge of Krasny Liman, along the route from Stavki.

Previous incursions were by the Russian DRGs, and the front has now moved all the way up to the town.

Krasny Liman, as a reminder, was the place where Russian volunteers stopped the 2022 Ukrainian Kharkov-region counteroffensive (not a counteroink, as this was the one and only successful action by the Ukrainian military in this war) and delayed it for weeks, while Russia rebuilt and re-established defences in the Lugansk region.

Russian forces are regaining the initiative, repelling a counterattack by Ukrainian forces in Kupiansk.

Ukrainian forces, rapidly advancing with small assault teams into the multi-story residential area, encountered the same problem that Russian forces encountered during the occupation of the city.

They were unable to quickly organize a defense without being noticed.

The unfortunate construction workers were quickly targeted by Russian artillery and air force. The inability to consolidate their positions partially negated the Ukrainian forces’ success.

Russian forces managed to break the encirclement around the dairy and sugar processing plants in the Sidorenko Street area and in the southwest of the city.

Disorganized assault teams of Ukrainian forces are still present here, but it is now possible to improve the position and supply of Russian soldiers in positions in these parts of Kupiansk, in the Kharkov region.

As I previously said, Battle of the Bulge 2, Ukrop Edition: Super-Electric Dill Boogaloo

One of the versions currently being discussed by Western analysts seems generally logical and does not contradict the actions of Russia in Slavyansk and Kramatorsk that have already been observed.

Instead of a frontal attack through Liman, a flanking attack from the southwest is envisaged, following a scheme that has already been used in other directions, including Pokrovsk. In fact, it’s a strike with a pivot to the rear. A frontal assault on a well-prepared agglomeration would result in maximum losses with minimal speed of advance. A bypass, on the other hand, allows for stretching the defense, hitting the logistics, and forcing the enemy to either retreat or expend reserves on reinforcing the flanks.

Indirectly, the activity of Russia on adjacent front sectors, where the line is gradually being straightened and conditions are being created for pressure not directly, but through the threat of encirclement, also supports this scenario. This is not a quick or spectacular option, but it corresponds to the general style of actions in recent months: minimum bursts, maximum attrition.

If this scenario is indeed implemented, the key problem for the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be in holding Slavyansk and Kramatorsk themselves, but in where to get the forces to close the southwest direction without exposing other sectors.

Battles for Heights

Situation in the Slavyansk direction

The outskirts of Siversk remain an arena of heavy fighting even after its liberation. Some time ago, Russian assault troops were spotted on one of the streets in Zakotne on the northern flank of the Slavyansk direction.

According to available data, the troops entered the village along the Siverskyi Donets riverbed from the side of Platonivka. Simultaneously, clashes continue in the vicinity of Yampil, where the enemy holds several positions in the treelines.

📌 Russian Armed Forces attacks in this sector are primarily aimed at capturing a major stronghold near Height 170, also known as Shchurova Mountain. From this position, AFU keep the outskirts of Yampil and routes near Platonivka under observation.

➡️Unconfirmed reports from the central sector suggest assault troops of the South Group entering a chalk quarry. There are no visual confirmations, nor a clear reason for Russian forces to storm the facility, as it is located in a lowland and holds no value for the advancing troops.

➡️Some sources also speak of Russian units advancing in the Chalk Vegetation Nature Reserve near Reznikivka. By pushing Ukrainian formations out of the area, Russian Armed Forces could establish fire control over the western entrance to the settlement.

❗️However, there’s no need to get ahead of ourselves. The enemy is saturating the new defensive line on the heights between Zakotne and Reznikivka with personnel and UAV units, and is also reshuffling the command of the local group.

Heavy fighting continues in the sector, with the front line constantly changing.

Two Majors #Summary for the morning of December 29, 2025

🇺🇸🇺🇦The meeting between Trump and Zelensky that ended a few hours ago concluded with a joint press conference, during which Trump stated: “Ukraine will have to resolve the issues of settlement by referendum or approve them in parliament, but the population is clearly in favor of ending the fighting”. There are again no specifics, especially since a new meeting between the US and Ukraine is announced for January, but this time in the presence of European leaders. According to Trump, the EU will take on the obligations (and thus the expenses) for security guarantees to Kiev. Western media have concluded that after the meeting, there were “many updates and discussions, but almost no results”.

▪️In the Bryansk region The AFU attacked a technical vehicle during snow clearance in the village of Shilinki in the Suzemsky district with a suicide drone.

▪️On the Sumy direction The GR “North” is engaged in fierce battles. The enemy is transferring individual battalions to stabilize the situation. Our forces have made progress and captured 4 AFU servicemen. An enemy attack in the area of Andreevka was repelled.

▪️ In the Belgorod region a man was injured in the village of Otradnoe by an FPV drone. In Novaya Tavolzhanka, an FPV drone hit a car, and the man was hospitalized with a mine-explosive injury and multiple shrapnel wounds. On the Ustinka – Yasnye Zori road, a car was damaged by a drone strike. Gryazovoe, Novostroevka-First, Bezimeno, Kukuyevka, Dvuluche, Volchya Alexandrovka, and Repyahovka are under attack.

▪️ On the Kharkov direction The GR “North” is engaged in battles south of Volchansk and on the Khatny sector, where the enemy continues to counterattack and conducts organized defense.

▪️ In Kupyansk, battles continue on the western bank of the Oskol River. The enemy has deployed Spetsnaz and GRU units to the city. The Russian Defense Ministry has released another video from the northern and eastern parts of Kupyansk, observers note.

▪️ On the Slavyansk direction Russian troops are detected by the enemy in the central part of Zakotnoe, located on the right bank of the Severny Donets River. Reports of individual battles on the northern outskirts of Krasny Liman have been received, and the presence of Russian Armed Forces was previously noted on the southern outskirts of the city.

▪️ In the area of the liberated Gulyaypole in the Zaporozhye region, a cleanup is ongoing. In the built-up area, the presence of enemy forces, supplied by drones, is maintained. Important is the information about the advance of the Russian Armed Forces further north along the M-18 highway to Veselyanka. There are fierce battles for Primorskoe: the enemy continues to send infantry to recapture positions occupied by our paratroopers. In the area of Lukyanovskoe, the movement of our soldiers is hampered due to the lack of shelters from drones.

▪️ On the Zaporozhye front, a mop-up operation is underway in Stepnogorsk (https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/37880): the enemy forces, supplied by drones by air, are still present in the built-up area. Information about the advance of the Russian Armed Forces further north along the M-18 highway towards Veselyanka is important. There are fierce battles for Primorskoe: the enemy continues to send infantry to recapture positions occupied by our paratroopers. In the Luhianovsky area, the movement of our soldiers is hampered due to the lack of shelters from drones.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_29.html