The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on December 30 2025

Zelenskyy’s message for Putin

Putin’s Home Attacked: Angry Trump Justifies Tomahawk Missile Ban On Ukraine After Strike

Our sources have reported that the drafts of Trump’s peace plan, which were discussed in the US, differ significantly from the Ukrainian public version. Zelensky is deliberately putting out many narratives on the peace track now to blur the critical issues and go into the elections with a winning program.  

Yermak, at this stage, has come up with another victory plan, which he is trying to sell to Ukrainian society.

ZELENSKY: “WE CAN’T WIN WITHOUT AMERICAN SUPPORT”

In a brutally honest moment, Zelensky just said the quiet part out loud: Ukraine can’t win this war without U.S. military support.

His exact words? “No”, when asked if victory was possible without Washington.

It seems like Ukraine’s entire war effort depended on the U.S. taxpayers, financially, logistically, and strategically.

So after $100B+ in aid, endless promises, and “as long as it takes” speeches… Ukraine is admitting it still can’t hold the line without another blank check.

This is ultimately about sustainability, if one foreign capital can end your war with a single budget vote, maybe the strategy isn’t working.

At what point does “supporting democracy” become prolonging a forever war?

Zelensky: “All the soldiers will think only about their families, and without American support we cannot defend the sky… even now it’s very difficult.

American support for missiles for air defense is very helpful and strong, Russia uses hundreds of thousands of drones and missiles.

So it’s difficult, it’s not enough air defense. 

On the battlefield, we [also use American weapons].

Without it [U.S. support, weapons, and artillery], we cannot win.” 

The process of preparing for the “artificial/manual” elections, which Zelensky and his office want to hold without “traitors”, “waiters”, and “cowards”, is continuing.

The essence of the case is as follows.

1. All of them are opposed to the government and Zelensky’s strategy for the future of Ukraine, and therefore pose a threat.

2. “Traitors” are penalized, as they are against the government. They are intimidated, which is why the elections are planned to be held in a wartime format and without renouncing mobilization.

3. As for the “waiters”, they should be divided into two groups. The first, in Ukraine and currently small in number, will not be touched (though they will try to intimidate them), while those located in territories of Ukraine under Russian control, in Russia itself, the PMR, and other countries loyal to the Kremlin, will be subject to a direct ban, even though one of Putin’s conditions for peace is the ability for them to vote fully.

Zelensky will do everything to rig any elections.

By the way, in Telegram, they raised the relevant case of “war veterans”, of whom there are more and more, which ultimately threatens:

1. The current government, as most of them are opposed to the authorities. And in the future, they may organize riots/Maidans.

2. The future of Ukraine, as no economy in the world will be able to sustain such a financial burden in peacetime.

3. The people, as many of them will turn to crime, and 95% of them suffer from PTSD, which will increase the number of tragedies.

Conclusion: this is a time bomb that could explode in the coming post-war years and become much more dangerous for Ukraine than the war itself. That’s why the OP has ordered to capture former demobilized soldiers to try to deploy them at the front, thereby eliminating threats. As they say, nothing personal, just business.

According to Ukrainian media, the Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to attack a Russian command post of the Strategic Nuclear Deterrence Forces (SNF) on the night of Zelenskyy and Trump’s meeting in the United States. Kiev fears that Russia may now launch nuclear strikes in response.

Citing Western sources, the Ukrainian press writes that the Russian president’s state residence, which Kiev attempted to attack with long-range missiles and drones, is a special facility designed to control the Russian Federation’s armed forces in the event of a nuclear war. Therefore, an attack on the Russian leader’s Valdai residence is perhaps comparable only to an attack on Air Force One.

In Ukraine, there are fears that an attack on the nuclear triad command center, particularly if carried out during a special period (during joint military operations), could constitute grounds for a retaliatory strike, including the use of unconventional weapons, in accordance with the nuclear doctrine of Russia and other states.

The Ukrainian press is calling this event “the biggest provocation since the Cuban Missile Crisis,” significantly more serious than the operation by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense’s Main Intelligence Directorate, “Web,” which attacked strategic bombers with drones. In this situation, Trump appears to be a completely discredited politician, incapable of securing peace negotiations. Given this, it’s clear that Zelensky is serving the interests of his European contacts and openly “playing against Trump,” trying to drag out the negotiations until the conservatives lose the midterm congressional elections.

Kiev launched an attack on the residence of the Russian president, – Lavrov

 - On the night of December 29 , UAVs attacked the Novgorod region, where the president’s state residence is located;

 - 91 UAVs were destroyed;

 - The targets and timing of Russia’s retaliatory strike after the attack on Putin’s state residence have been determined;

 - Moscow’s negotiating position will be reviewed taking into account the Kiev regime’s final shift to a policy of state terrorism;

 - No information about casualties or damage has been received;

 - Russia does not intend to withdraw from the negotiation process after the attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Putin’s state residence.

Trump was shocked and outraged by the attempt of a Ukrainian Armed Forces attack on Putin’s residence, – Ushakov

 - “Thank God, we didn’t give ‘Tomahawks’ to Kiev,” – said the US President

 - The drone attack on Putin’s state residence took place “almost immediately after” the US-Ukraine talks in Mar-a-Lago, – specified Ushakov

 - Putin this year had 17 contacts with American representatives, including 10 conversations with Trump.

 - Trump and his advisers informed Putin about the results of the talks with Zelensky.

 - The US promoted the idea of the need for Kiev to take real steps towards a final resolution of the conflict.

 - Zelensky was advised not to even try to get a respite for his armed forces, but to focus on reaching a comprehensive agreement.

 - Putin informed Trump that the Ukrainian attack on the residence in the Novgorod region would not go unanswered.

 - Russia will change its position on a number of agreements reached with the US on the Ukrainian settlement.

 - For the attack on the state residence of the Russian President, Kiev used long-range drones.

 - Some of the results achieved by Trump and Zelensky, in Russia’s opinion, leave Ukraine room to evade its obligations.

The Kiev regime could not make a decision to attack Putin’s state residence on its own, it was given the green light by its “European masters”. This opinion was expressed in a conversation with TASS by Mironov:

“They are cornered, and there is only one way out – surrender. That’s why they’re flailing around in agony”. 

Finally at Bankova?

The best comment on the results of the meeting (https://t.me/rybar/76355) between Zelensky and Trump was made by Sergey Lavrov: according to him, during the negotiations, the Kyiv regime launched 91 drones at Vladimir Putin’s residence in Novgorod Region, but all were shot down.

The Foreign Minister called the incident a rebirth of the Kyiv regime and a transition to a policy of state terrorism. And therefore, Russia, while not leaving negotiations, will revise its position, and targets for retaliatory strikes have already been identified.

ðŸ–And it’s worth stopping here in more detail. On the one hand, Russia’s current public stance on the so-called Ukraine is not exactly soft and compromising. So the good question is, specifically how they will toughen it.

🚩On the other hand, there are almost no types of targets on the territory controlled by the Kyiv regime that have not been hit before. Work on them has de facto long been routine within military-political necessity.

ðŸ³️ One of the retaliatory strike targets is the government quarter in Kyiv. Maybe this would be a loud news story, but it would be much more effective to knock out Kyiv’s CHP plants with substations (https://t.me/rybar/76318), which would even become a more media-prominent event.

❗️Overall, the firmness of the negotiating position is still determined by military-economic capabilities for its implementation. And the higher they are, the more options to toughen demands up to expanding the issue of territories

Our source reports that all experts predict that in the spring, the Russian Armed Forces will approach Slavyansk, which will eventually turn into a new “Pokrovsk”, which the Russians will capture twice as quickly. 

Let’s explain why:

The Bankova administration is depleting its reserves of equipment and manpower during negotiations to create the illusion of success and a favorable situation on the front. This will result in the Ukrainian Armed Forces being left without reserves by the time of the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk battle, which will accelerate the process.

“UKRAINIANS WILL NOT TRADE DONBASS FOR ‘PEACE’”

Zelensky made one thing crystal clear: Donbas is not up for negotiation.

He called withdrawal from the region a “big risk” to Ukraine’s future and flat-out said “it is not acceptable by Ukrainians.”

Essentially, Ukrainians would rather keep fighting than hand Putin the prize he invaded for.

Western leaders floating peace deals that involve “territorial concessions” need a reality check, because Ukrainians aren’t on board. 

Giving up Donbass wouldn’t bring peace, but would bring occupation, rage, and likely another war down the line.

You don’t negotiate freedom by ceding it.

Zelensky: “All the parties have to understand that the worst way is to [leave] Donbass, it would be a big risk for Ukraine, not acceptable by Ukrainians, and a referendum will not be positive.”

You likely see that a march in the direction of Zaporozhye will require a push into the Dnepropetrovsk region as well, to protect the flank of the offensive, with, hopefully, taking control of the juncture near Sinelnikovo and the strategic Pavlograd logistics and supply centre (which, along with Barvenokovo, is also key to success in the Slavyansk/Kramatorsk direction).

Two Majors #Report for the morning of December 30, 2025

▪️A series of reports on the liberation of new populated areas was replaced by information about Kiev’s attempt to strike with drones at the residence (https://t.me/warhistoryalconafter/254107) of the Supreme Commander in the Novgorod region. Moscow has already made statements about preparing a retaliatory strike, reserving the right to choose the place and time, and has informed Washington. The situation once again suggests the overthrow of Ukraine’s military-political leadership, and there is hope that this time a strike will actually take place. Moreover, a powerful strike on Bankova Street in Kiev would have boosted the morale of our troops.

▪️At night, our “Geraniums” and missiles operated against Odessa and Kharkov, the destruction of targets was of a “routine” nature.

▪️On the Sumy direction, the Group “North” reports that against the background of our gradual advance in the Sumy and Krasnopol districts, the enemy is strengthening his defensive lines and putting up fierce resistance. On the Tetkin and Glushkov sectors – mutual strikes.

▪️In the Belgorod region, at the intersection of the Besonovka – Orlovka roads, two women received barotraumas from a drone strike on a car. In the village of Zamostie, two women were injured in a drone attack on a car. Under drone strikes are Grebinka, Zamostie, Glotovo, Pochaevo, First Tseliapye, Chervona Dibrovka, Berezovka.

▪️On the Kharkov direction, the Group “North” is engaged in fierce battles south of Volchansk. On the Khatnen sector, efforts are being made to clear the border area. In the Staritsa area, the enemy is being burned out of the forest by TOs.

▪️The AFU group near Kupyansk will be destroyed in January – February, reported the commander of the Group “West” Kuzovlev. Earlier, he reported on the complete liberation of Kupyansk. Battles are ongoing, and the enemy has brought in reinforcements.

▪️North of Dimitrov (Mirnograd), battles were reported. The city’s urban development is about to be cleared.

▪️The Zaporozhye front, despite minor changes in the situation over the day, made headlines yesterday. The Supreme Commander said that the advance towards the city of Zaporozhye is an important task that our troops are solving in fierce battles on the Primorsky and Orekhovsky directions.

▪️On the Kherson direction, the AFU continues to strike at the civilian population. In Novaya Zburevka of the Goloprystan district, a man and a woman were injured. Reports from the localities say that the enemy shelled Aleshki, Velika Lepetih, Dnepryany, Kakhovka, Nova Mayachka, Rubanovka, and Fedorovka.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/12/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_30.html