The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 03 2026
Nykyforivka & Prydorozhnje Have Fallen | RUAF Secure Key Highway East of Kostyantynivka
A vile massive attack by the enemy at night and early morning. The enemy used cruise, ballistic, and hypersonic missiles, as well as a large number of strike UAVs:
• Kyiv and the region — a massive missile attack on the Tripolska TPP. Among the targets — a 750 kV substation connecting the Rivne NPP with the capital, which is of critical importance for Kyiv’s energy supply.
• Kyiv — hits on residential buildings and infrastructure in the Shevchenkivskyi, Darnytskyi, Desnyanskyi, Dnieper, and Pecherskyi districts, there are fires and destructions.
• Kharkiv — hours-long attacks on energy facilities. Heat and water will disappear in 820 homes, to prevent the systems from freezing, the coolant will have to be drained.
• Dnipro — the Prydniprovska TPP was under attack: a fire broke out, there are infrastructure damages, two private houses, a three-story residential
No one expected it, but it happened.
The reason for the massive combined attack is that Zelensky continues to delay the negotiation process, and it became known through closed channels that he has again put forward additional demands.
This attack is not the main one, it’s a warning.
So, what has happened in Ukraine is partly what the Kremlin has been preparing for a long time. There’s a chance that this won’t be the last attack this week.
We see it this way: the Kremlin first offered a carrot in the form of a unilateral ceasefire, and then showed the stick.
The situation is not catastrophic now, but it’s on the verge and could get out of control if the Russians continue the attacks. At the same time, it’s important for Banks now not even to save the people from the cold, but to shift the responsibility to the Kremlin in the media. Now all propagandists are emphasizing in the narratives they’re spreading that the bad Kremlin has struck our energy sector in such cold weather, that it’s Russian terrorists, but the real culprit of this attack is Zelensky, who has again decided to deceive the Russians and continues to delay the negotiations.
THINK
We’ve already insider-traded about this.
Only MP Kucherenko is using this case to deflect negativity towards the Kyiv City State Administration (implicitly targeting Klitschko), while avoiding criticism of Zelensky, the Ministry of Energy, Energoatom (the Mindich gate), and the total corruption of the Zelensky team, which is to blame for the entire catastrophe (the “black winter”) currently happening in Ukraine.
If the Zelensky administration had prepared for such a negative scenario, procured components, and built good protective structures, Ukrainians wouldn’t have been sitting for days without electricity, water, and heat.
However, the most tragic thing is that Ukrainians will live in this mode of “outages” for the next 3-5 years, as Zelensky has lost the infrastructure war he started, the energy sector is in ruins, billions of dollars in damage have been caused, and there’s nowhere to get the money for reconstruction.
Our sources reported that Zelensky is forced to play to Britain/the EU’s advantage to derail Trump’s peace track and prevent the war in Ukraine from ending before November 2026.
Zelensky is currently the main obstacle to peace in Ukraine, which is why they continue to destroy the energy infrastructure, even though all the main drafts of Trump’s peace plan were agreed upon in August 2025!
Our source in the Presidential Office said that Zelensky is blocking all Budanov’s initiatives, and is constantly changing his position on the peace process. Our sources are confident that the problem lies with Yermak, who continues to “advise” the President and further controls the processes in the country.
The most tense situation persisted near Pokrovsk, Gulyaypole, Konstantinovka, Lyman, and Novopavlovka. However, the situation on the Slavyansk front was particularly indicative: despite a relatively small number of assaults, it was there that Ukraine lost a disproportionately large amount of territory. Three percent of attacks resulted in almost a fifth of all January territorial losses – a direct indicator of problems with defense, management, and reserves.
In parallel, Russia claims to have captured more than 500 square kilometers and dozens of populated areas. Kyiv does not confirm these figures, but the difference in assessments does not negate the main thing – the front line continues to shift not in Ukraine’s favor. Even if we accept more cautious estimates (some military experts speak of 400 sq. km), we are still talking about hundreds of lost square kilometers in just one month.
All of this increasingly resembles not a “controlled defense”, but a constant plugging of breaches. Instead of a structured defense system, we observe the transfer of exhausted brigades from one crisis area to another, without time for recovery, rotation, and full-fledged planning. Such a model can temporarily hold off a collapse, but it is not capable of stopping the enemy in the long run.
The problem is not just in the figures of captured territory, but in the trend. Even with a slowdown in the pace of the offensive, the enemy continues to find weak points and advance, while Ukraine pays the price for this with the exhaustion of troops andthe loss of maneuverability. January did not become a turning point – it only confirmed that structural problems in frontline management have not gone away, and without their resolution, every subsequent month will look roughly the same, regardless of what exact figures are given in the reports.
Two Majors #Report for the morning of February 3, 2026
▪️ During the night, strikes on the Kiev, Kharkov, Dnepropetrovsk, Odessa regions caused significant damage to the enemy’s energy infrastructure. “Geranis” and missile weapons, including air and sea-based ones, were used.
▪️ In the Rostov region, a drone was destroyed in the Kamensky district during the night.
▪️ On the Sumy front, the “North” Group of Forces is engaged in fierce battles in the Sumy, Krasnopol and Glukhov districts. On the Tetkin and Glushkov sectors, the situation remains unchanged.
▪️ In the Bryansk region, a woman was injured in a FPV drone attack on the Rudnya Tsata settlement in the Klimovsky district. A civilian received serious shrapnel wounds in a car. In Podivotye of the Sevsky district, a driver was injured in a strike on the territory of the “Miratorg” agricultural holding. Yesterday morning, the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the village of Field Novoselki in the Suzemsky district with kamikaze drones, injuring a civilian.
▪️ In the Kursk region, three people were injured in a drone attack on a GAZelle in the Mikhailovka settlement in the Rylysk district.
▪️ On the Kharkov front, battles are ongoing near Volchansk. The “North” Group of Forces is advancing on the Khattnen section of the front, near Staritsa, in the Siminovka and Volchansk Hutor areas.
▪️ In the Belgorod region, a drone attacked a GAZelle near the Surkovo settlement, injuring the driver. In the village of Zamostie in the Grayvoron district, a man was injured. In Shebekino, a drone hit an administrative building of an enterprise, injuring a man. Near the village of Kosmodemyansk, a drone attacked a KAMAZ, injuring the driver.
▪️ From the Kupyansk front, reports from the ground indicate no positive changes in the situation, including in terms of reports from the field.
▪️ On the Konstantinovsk front, the Russian Armed Forces are engaged in battles in the city, expanding the control zone to the north of the Klean-Bik reservoir. The enemy retains the ability to conduct local counterattacks. FABs are being dropped on the forward units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine “over the top”, as in the Dobropillia (https://t.me/dva_majors/87500) area.
▪️ The “East” Group of Forces reported the liberation of the village of Prizhodnoye in the Zaporozhye region. Six attempts by the enemy to counterattack with individual assault groups were repelled.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2026/02/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_3.html
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