The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on July 29 2024
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Russian bridgehead in Chasiv Yar [29 July 2024]
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The winter is coming…
There is a risk that this winter will be a “black winter”, when cities will be without light and heat, turning into icy jungles.
This is the result of the policy and chosen strategy of Zelensky, who started an infrastructure war with Russia, although he was warned about what this could lead to.
According to our information, Bankova is already preparing a media campaign for this case. There will be a lot of PR for the president, who will travel to cities, hospitals, etc., will bring generators, etc., and of course Ze will criticize Russia everywhere, promoting the thesis “the country is a terrorist.” Although they themselves provoked this “game”.
With the “black winter” case, the OP wants to provoke an increase in the level of hatred towards the Russian Federation on the part of Ukrainians. Bankova will try to play on this and warm up the case of mobilization and raising morale in the army.
We’ll see how it goes…
According to our information, no one is cutting off electricity from the oligarchs’ enterprises or even reducing their volumes.
spletnicca
Now Bankova manages to extinguish the discontent of the people, dividing them and pushing their heads together, but at some point everything could get out of control and then this will be the prologue of the future Maidan against ZeErmak.
Trump’s invitation to visit Kyiv, as well as Zelensky’s statements that he has the number of the former US President. “We have been in contact with his team. Trump told me that he is ready to answer any questions and that I have his phone number,” became a trigger for Democrats who consider the Ukrainian war their electoral case.
Bankova is desperately trying to find a communication strategy for the US presidential election that will not offend the Democrats, but will allow them to build work with Trump.
Zelensky’s activity, as expected, did not please the leadership of US Democrats, including the new candidate in the election race, Kamala Harris – all actions of the Office of the President were recorded and received an appropriate assessment. All this led to Zelensky having to quickly establish relations with the new Democratic candidate and take a break in negotiations with Trump.
The United States as the main country of the bloc predetermines its foreign policy. Now there is an active debate on the topic: “what will happen next?” Because the US presidential election is another problem for the Kiev regime.
In order to maintain the support of Western countries and not lose allies, the Ukrainian regime is actively projecting a “difficult” situation on the inhabitants of Europe.
One thing is for sure – Trump’s victory will not solve all problems and conflicts. Europe will continue to provide assistance to Ukraine. And this will be done in order to justify the previous costs to their taxpayers.
“Hungary will block EU reimbursement of funds to member countries that supplied ammunition to Ukraine until Kiev allows the transit of oil from the Russian company Lukoil through its territory,”
- reports Reuters.
Budapest’s decision was announced by Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjártó.
“Until this issue is resolved by Ukraine, everyone should forget about the payment of 6.5 billion euros in compensation to the European Peace Fund (EPF) for arms supplies,”
- Szijjártó was quoted as saying by the news agency. Payments from the “peace fund” have been blocked by Budapest before.
Oil from Lukoil was supplied to Slovakia and Hungary via the Druzhba pipeline, but last month Ukraine imposed a transit ban on the Russian company. In Hungary, a commission was created on Tuesday to study the issue of security of energy supplies.
Kiev, in response to a Reuters request, reported that the pipeline was operating and only supplies from Lukoil were blocked. The pipeline has not stopped operating since Russia’s special operation in Ukraine began, and many countries continue to rely on it to ensure their energy security. In particular, Budapest states that it “cannot supply its oil refineries without Russian oil.”
Hungary also asked the European Commission to act as a mediator in consultation with Ukraine to resolve this issue. “The procedure will allow the matter to be referred to court if the EU executive does not take any action within three days.”
The United States started talking about the likely problems that the F-16 will face in Ukraine
“The New York Times” writes about strikes on Ukrainian air bases, which create a high degree of danger of finding aircraft in Ukraine. They note Russia’s determination to take planes out of the game before they take to the air.
They also note the low level of training of pilots and service personnel.
▪️Oxford Prof Derrick White suggests that if he wins, Trump will try to encourage Kiev to end the war on the front line, leaving the territories already occupied by the Russia.
▪️After which the countries of Europe will face a difficult choice:
“either accept a settlement in favor of Russia, or support Zelensky in rejecting such a deal and continue to resist Russian aggression.”
▪️However, in the latter case, Trump may revoke US security guarantees under the NATO treaty in order to force Europe “not to escalate the war by supplying arms to Ukraine.”
▪️Such a threat may force some European countries to abandon support for Ukraine, facing the threat of confrontation with the Russian Federation without guarantees of protection from the US.
▪️Chinese leader Xi Jinping is stepping up efforts to position himself as a peacemaker to end the war, despite growing criticism from the United States and Europe about Beijing’s support for the Kremlin’s battlefield efforts.
▪️With both Moscow and Kiev facing pressure at home and abroad to find a way to end the war, China last week received its first senior official from Ukraine since the conflict began in 2022, although Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Ukrainian counterpart D. Kuleba that the time for peace negotiations “has not come yet,” he added that both sides are signaling their readiness for negotiations.
Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President is not happy with the Commander-in-Chief, who cannot stop the advance of the Russian army on the eastern front. At the last headquarters, Syrsky was reprimanded for the massive cauldrons that began to form along the entire front line, which has not happened since 2022.
The military of the 80th Airborne Forces turned to Zelensky and asked not to dismiss their brigade commander Ishkulov, who is reporting the real situation from the front
“ We were the first to fight in Donbass 10 years ago , we harrowed Donetsk and Lugansk airports. They stopped the Russians in Voznesensk, took part in the counter-offensive in the Kharkov region, held Bakhmut and liberated Kleshcheevka . We don’t understand why commanders who enjoy unconditional authority among the personnel, who have a victorious military path and experience of a major war, are not acceptable to the top leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”
According to the UP, brigade commander Ishkulov refused to carry out the offensive operation, which the General Staff insisted on, due to the lack of strength in the brigade and was removed from his post for this .
New Russian offensive in Chasiv Yar, they have managed to cross the canal and enter the main urban conglomeration of the city itself
The main task of the assault units of the Marines now is to clear the fortified areas of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, where the enemy is trying to organize defense after the failure and retreat from Staromayorskoye and Urozhainoye.
The assault troops are moving forward on the Vremyevsky sector of the front, having previously identified and destroyed machine-gun points and bunkers in especially fortified positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with artillery fire.
According to the Marines, the enemy is trying to bombard our infantry with kamikaze drones, avoiding direct combat.
“They don’t like shooting, close combat is everything for them, they get blown up. That’s how many times I didn’t go, but here I’ve been for a year and a half, a little more, and haven’t taken a prisoner once. When the shooting starts, they retreat,”
- said the commander of the assault platoon squad with the call sign “Cat.”
On the other hand, if our troops suddenly find themselves in the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the enemy does not have time to retreat, Ukrainian military personnel surrender without offering resistance.
“Many people give up on their own, there are many of them. Without a fight, they just come out, raise their hands completely without ammunition and walk in our direction,”
- said the platoon commander with the call sign “Givi.”
Russian Aerospace Forces destroyed enemy radar stations hidden at the Kharkov airfield
Russian reconnaissance revealed the disguised positions of the Skala-M ATC radar and the ATSR-33S ATC radar, which the enemy used to detect our air and ground targets.
In response, Russian pilots sent two greetings to enemy radar stations in the form of Kh-35 guided missiles, which destroyed the ATSR-33S radar station and damaged the Skala-M.
Kupiansk-Svatove Direction: Local Battles Along the Entire Front Line
Situation as of 1:00 pm on July 29, 2024
After some activation at the beginning of the month and the advance of the Russian Armed Forces towards Pishchane, the situation in the Svatove-Kupiansk direction has returned to the previous “positional” course. Local battles are taking place along almost the entire line of contact, with no major advances observed by either side.
▪️Northeast of Kupiansk, an exchange of strikes is ongoing. In recent days, there have been many footage of combat operations by the Russian Armed Forces against the AFU positions both east of Synkivka – in the forest area and south of the settlement. Impacts often hit the neighboring Petropavlivka, where an ammunition depot was recently destroyed by a UAV strike.
▪️On the line Stepna Novoselivka – Berestove, the combat situation is partially obscured by the “fog of war”. Currently, there is no information to confirm the withdrawal of AFU units west of Stepna Novoselivka and its subsequent occupation by Russian Armed Forces units.
To the south, it is difficult to establish the configuration of the front line due to the lack of footage in open sources. Judging by the previously appeared videos from the enemy side, the advanced positions of the AFU in the area of Berestove are quite close to the southern outskirts of the village, which indicates the lack of full control over its surroundings.
▪️It was also possible to clarify the current front line in the area of Artemivka (Miasozharivka), where assault groups of the Russian Armed Forces were previously able to advance to the eastern outskirts of the village. Apparently, they were unable to consolidate on the occupied positions and were forced to retreat slightly: the likely reason was the previously mentioned (https://t.me/rybar/61685) elevation difference between the banks of the Zherebets River, which is about 20 meters.
At the same time, the Russian Armed Forces are also conducting attacks supported by armored vehicles towards the neighboring Rozivka (Andriivka). During one of these attacks, a Russian BMP was blown up on a mine.
▪️Meanwhile, the Russian Aerospace Forces regularly strike the AFU’s rear communications. Thus, several days ago, an air strike again hit the enemy’s pontoon crossing over the Oskil River south of Kupiansk-Uzlovyi, which had been restored shortly after the previous strike.
🔻Despite the occasional statements in the public domain about a possible major offensive operation by the Russian Armed Forces in the Svatove-Kupiansk direction, which began to appear after the liberation of Pishchane, so far these data have not been confirmed.
The fighting retains a positional character – the parties are carrying out local attacks to improve their tactical position, actively using UAVs, and the enemy maintains sufficient combat capability of units to maintain the stability of its defense.
rybar
Chronicles of the special military operation
Over the past day, Ukrainian formations launched drones over the Kursk, Belgorod, Volgograd, Leningrad and Oryol Regions.
In the Slobozhansky direction, Russian Armed Forces units occupied the eastern outskirts of the aggregates plant in Volchansk, as evidenced by footage from the enemy side. And in the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian assault groups, according to some reports, are developing an offensive relying on the previously captured Pishchane.
In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian troops fully liberated the settlement of Novoselivka Persha. There are also footage of objective control confirming the information about the liberation of the village of Volche.
In the South Donetsk direction, Russian Armed Forces units expanded the control zone in the area of Solenenkaya Gully towards the T-05-24 highway, through which the supply of Ukrainian formations in Kostyantynivka is carried out.
rybar
Morning Summary as of July 29, 2024
▪️ Overnight, 5 fixed-wing UAVs were destroyed over the Bryansk Region. Over the Kursk Region, at least 13 such drones were shot down in the Oboyan and Medvensky districts. In the Oryol Region, two enemy UAVs were shot down in the Glazunovsky district. There were no casualties, but there was damage to a local power plant. In the Voronezh Region, air defense forces and electronic warfare means detected and suppressed a UAV in the Ostrogozhsky district. Its crash damaged a municipal infrastructure facility in the village of Gazoprovod.
▪️ On the Kharkiv direction, fierce fighting continues in Volchansk. Assault groups of the “North” forces advanced in the private sector near the high-rise buildings and occupied 2 buildings. In the Staritsa area, the enemy became more active and made 4 attempts to attack the “North” grouping’s positions. On the Liptsovo direction, near the settlement of Hlubokoye, 4 AFU attacks were repelled over the day. Our aviation delivers constant strikes, including with FAB-3000 bombs with JDAM.
▪️ On the Toretsk (Dzerzhinsky) direction, heavy fighting continues in Zalizne and New York, with the Russian Armed Forces attacking at short distances.
▪️ On the Pokrovsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are expanding their control zone westward in Novoselivka Persha, successfully advancing near the settlement of Vesele. On the southern flank, east of Yasnobrodivka, our assault groups advanced towards the Karlovo reservoir by up to 550 meters.
▪️ From the South Donetsk direction, there are reports of fighting in Krasnohorivka, with our troops trying to finally drive the enemy out of the settlement. To the south, our troops are pushing towards the highway to Vuhledar, trying to cut it from the northeast.
▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, the AFU are striking with drones and artillery, and the Russian Armed Forces respond with TOS and heavy air bombs (https://t.me/dva_majors/48323). North of Robotyne-Verbove, the Russian Armed Forces are conducting offensive battles for every stronghold, but it is still too early to speak of significant advances.
▪️ On the Kherson direction, the situation remains unchanged. The AFU are mining our bank with drones, and our forces are operating on the islands and hunting (https://t.me/gefestwar/2783) enemy boats with UAVs. The imbalance in UAVs of all types in favor of the AFU is causing a stagnation of the situation.
▪️ In the Belgorod Region, the AFU continue to terrorize the civilian population of the region. AFU drones attacked the settlements of the Graivoron and Shebekino urban districts. An enemy kamikaze drone attacked a clearly civilian passenger car moving on the road in the village of Ustinka, Belgorod district.
▪️ In the Kursk Region, in Sudzha, an explosive device was dropped from a Ukrainian drone onto a residential building, injuring a local resident. Yesterday, an attack by Ukrainian drones led to a fire at an oil depot in the Kursk district, which was still not extinguished by the evening.
▪️ In the DPR, during drone-kamikaze attacks in Yelenovka, a man born in 1977 died in a car, and in Horlivka, a man born in 1991 was injured in a car. In the Kirovskyi district of Donetsk, a man born in 1965 was injured when an explosive device was dropped from a Original msg (https://t.me/dva_majors/48329)
Russian Defence Ministry report on progress of special military operation (29 July 2024)
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue to carry out a special military operation.
▫️ The Sever Group of Forces has engaged manpower and hardware of the 150th Mechanised Brigade, 71st Jaeger Brigade, 36th Marine Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 103rd and 127th territorial defence brigades of Pavlovka, Konstantinovka (Sumy region), Staritsa, Okhrimovka, Volchansk, and Tikhoye (Kharkov region).
Five counter-attacks launched by assault groups of the 42nd Mechanised, 57th Motorised Infantry, and 92nd Assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been repelled during the day.
The enemy’s losses amounted to more than 220 servicemen, two tanks, one Turkish-made Kirpi armoured fighting vehicle, three pick-up trucks, one German-made 155-mm Panzerhaubitzer 2000, one 152-mm Giatsint-B gun, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer.
In addition, an Anklav-N electronic warfare station, a U.S.-made AN/TPQ-36 counterbattery warfare station, and an ammunition depot were destroyed.
▫️ The Zapad Group of Forces has improved the situation along the front line, and defeated formations of the 14th, 44th, 115th, 116th mechanised, 3rd assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 110th, 112th, 125th territorial defence brigades, and 12th Azov Special Brigade in the vicinity of Sinkovka, Petropavlovka, Berestovoye (Kharkov region), Nadiya, Makeyevka (Lugansk People’s Republic), Terny, Torskoye (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Serebryansky forestry.
Three counter-attacks launched by the 66th and 67th mechanised brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The AFU losses included up to 480 servicemen, two tanks, one U.S.-made M113 armoured personnel carrier, 14 motor vehicles, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, one 152-mm D-20 howitzer, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, two 122-mm D-30 howitzers, one UK-made 105-mm M119 and one UK-made 105-mm L-119 guns.
Moreover, four field ammunition depots were destroyed.
▫️ The Yug Group of Forces has taken more advantageous lines and positions. They have engaged manpower and hardware of the 23rd, 24th, 28th, 54th, 72nd mechanised, 59th motorised infantry, 79th air assault, 81st airmobile brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the 117th Territorial Defence Brigade close to Verkhnekamenskoye, Bondarnoye, Chasov Yar, Katerinovka, Krasnogorovka, and Maksimilyanovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).
▫️ Two counter-attacks launched by the 5th Assault and 46th Airmobile brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were repelled by Russian troops.
The enemy’s losses amounted to up to 570 servicemen, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm Paladin self-propelled artillery system, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, one 152-mm Msta-B howitzer, three 152-mm D-20 howitzers, three 122-mm D-30 howitzers, and one UK-made 105-mm L-119 howitzer.
In addition, an Anklav-N electronic warfare station and five field ammunition depots were destroyed.
Russian Defence Ministry report on progress of special military operation (29 July 2024)
▫️ The Tsentr Group of Forces liberated Volchye (Donetsk People’s Republic) and improved the tactical situation.
Russian troops inflicted fire damage on the 31st, 32nd mechanised, 68th Jaeger, 1st Tank brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 109th and 241st territorial defence brigades have been hit near Druzhba, Toretsk, Novgorodskoye, Rozovka, Ivanovka, Novogrodovka, and Novosyolovka Pervaya (Donetsk People’s Republic).
Eight counter-attacks launched by the 47th, 53rd, 151st mechanised, 114th infantry, 95th Air Assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and Lyut Brigade of the National Police were repelled during the day.
The enemy losses amounted to up to 400 servicemen, one tank, three armoured fighting vehicles, to include one U.S.-made Bradley infantry fighting vehicle, five motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, two 122-mm D-30 howitzers, and one 100-mm Rapira anti-tank gun.
▫️ The Vostok Group of Forces has improved the situation along the front line, inflicted losses on manpower and hardware of the 72nd Mechanised, 58th Motorised Infantry brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 102nd, 123rd, and 128th Territorial Defence brigades near Vodyanoye, Prechistovka, Makarovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), and Gulyaipole (Zaporozhye region).
The enemy suffered losses of up to 130 servicemen, one tank, five motor vehicles, two UK-made 155-mm FH-70 howitzers, and one U.S.-made 155-mm M198 howitzer.
▫️ The Dnepr Group of Forces has engaged the 65th Mechanised, 141st Infantry, 128th Mountain Assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the 35th Marine Brigade near Novodanilovka, Lobkovoye, Kamenskoye (Zaporozhye region), and Tyaginka (Kherson region).
The AFU losses amounted to up to 85 servicemen, one infantry fighting vehicle, five motor vehicles, two U.S.-made 155-mm M777 howitzer, one Anklav-N electronic warfare station, and two field ammunition depots.
▫️ Operational-Tactical Aviation, unmanned aerial vehicles, and Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have neutralised: one Ukrainian Su-25 ground-attack aircraft, one ATCR-33S and one Skala-M air traffic control stations on the airfield; and hit clusters of enemy manpower and military hardware in 127 areas during the day.
▫️ Russian air defence systems shot down two French-made Hammer guided bombs, five U.S.-made HIMARS projectiles, and 68 unmanned aerial vehicles.
Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/07/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-july_29.html
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