The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on August 29 2024

Top Ukrainian pilot killed when US-made F-16 fighter jet crashed

Pentagon Spokesperson Responds To Ukraine’s US-Provided F-16 Fighter Jet Crash

NATO’s Putin Fear Grows: 3rd Snub To Zelensky In 2 Days

Shocking Allegations: Ukrainian Troops Accused of War Crimes, Abductions, Sexual Abuse in Kursk

Ukraine’s Victory Plan DEBUNKED

Head of Eurodiplomacy Borrell – called for allowing the AFU to hit Russia with Western weapons: 

  I am also confident that Ukraine will explain why we need to lift all restrictions on the use of weapons against Russian military targets. Over the summer, I have consistently argued in favor of this decision. The weapons we give Ukraine need to be used to their full potential. The restrictions need to be lifted so that the Ukrainians can target the same places where Russia is making a mess of them.

Kuleba criticizes Western partners for their caution on Polish TV

According to the head of the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry, the main problem that Kiev has faced since the beginning of the conflict is the fear of escalation from its allies.

The minister complained that not a single request from Ukraine for military assistance was initially approved.

“The biggest task is to convince our allies to support us so that they don’t have to think about Moscow’s reaction,”

- the politician said.

A squad of foreign mercenaries ambushed and wounded by Russian artillery in the Kursk region.

Possible Australian, British & American accents detected. Call sign “Yoshi” and “Jerry” identified.

Poland no longer has weapons that it could transfer to Ukraine — Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of National Defense of Poland Kosiniak-Kamys

“The Polish government, both our government and the government of its predecessors, has transferred multi-billion dollar donations in the form of equipment to Ukraine. Today, we have transferred all those things that we could have transferred to Ukraine,” said Kosiniak-Kamys

Ukraine blamed the West for the failure to deliver the promised Patriot systems 

“We have requested the delivery of more Patriot systems. An announcement was made, but again some Patriot systems have not yet been delivered, so I will call on all partners who have made commitments to finally deliver them,” Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba said.

“Many EU countries” supported the attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Kursk region at a meeting of foreign ministers, – Head of European diplomacy

Borrell also believes that the importance of a diplomatic approach to resolving the crisis in Ukraine is growing, but the EU is only considering the “Zelensky Plan” and called on countries to increase military aid to Kiev.

Germany’s support for Ukraine will remain unchanged, no matter what the results of the investigation into the explosions on the Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines are,” German government spokesman Wolfgang Buchner said.

“These are two different things that have nothing to do with each other,”

 the DPA news agency quoted him as saying.

An F-16 was shot down by a Patriot air defense system during the massive missile attacks on August 26 due to a lack of coordination between Ukrainian Air Force units, Bezugla.

American F-16 in Ukraine shot down by American Patriot missile, – deputy chairman of the Rada Defence committee

“According to my information, the F-16 of the Ukrainian pilot Alexey “Moonfish” Mes was shot down by a Patriot air defence system due to a lack of coordination between units. The reports noted that he “lost control.” The event occurred during one of the most powerful air attacks by the Russians on August 26. War is war, such episodes are possible. But the culture of lies in the Ukrainian Air Force Command, as well as in other senior military headquarters, leads to the fact that the military decision-making system does not improve based on truthful, consistently collected analytics, but worsens and even collapses, as is happening in the Pokrovsk direction. And none of the generals have been punished. General Oleshchuk remains in office,” said Maryana Bezugla.

Colleagues, it is convenient for everyone to blame the loss of the first F-16 on the pilot so that the West will continue to provide fighters, otherwise it will be like with American tanks.

The information was classified, and no one was supposed to know about the downed plane, but the pilot’s obituary allowed journalists to find out the truth.

ZeRada

The Ukrainian Air Force Command has released an official obituary for pilot Oleksii Mesia, who was flying an F-16 fighter jet.

According to the text, the fighter he was piloting was hunting Russian cruise missiles and kamikaze drones during the massive missile strike on August 26. It claims he shot down three cruise missiles and one UAV, but was killed himself. This wording suggests that the F-16 either was shot down by Ukraine’s own air defenses, which were also engaging the missiles and drones, or crashed into one of the aerial targets, which has happened before (https://t.me/rybar/41792) – in December 2022, a MiG-29 chasing a “Geran” drone crashed into the drone’s debris.

While the assumption of a missile strike on the F-16 is not ruled out, the official version being promoted by Ukrainian officials is absurdly ridiculous: the long-awaited Western fighter jet, whose pilot took a year and a half to train, simply disintegrated against a missile or “Geran” drone just three weeks after arriving in Ukraine. One can only imagine the faces of Western partners.

Informant

On August 26, the Russian Armed Forces struck gas compressor stations in the Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk and Kharkiv regions. In addition, Russian troops struck electrical substations in the Kyiv, Vinnytsia, Zhitomir, Khmelnytsky, Dnepropetrovsk, Poltava, Mykolaiv, Kirovograd and Odessa regions. Military facilities were also hit. The strike was carried out on the energy infrastructure that ensures the operation of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex. 

And such a large-scale air attack by the Russian Armed Forces showed the weakness of the Ukrainian air defense system, which was significantly “thinned out” due to Bankova’s adventure in the Kursk region. 

Thus, not only missiles, but even slow-moving “shahids” flew across Ukraine with complete impunity, almost all of them reached their targets. This trend threatens Ukraine by leaving the country without ammunition and air defense installations, giving the Russian Armed Forces overwhelming advantages in the air. Zelensky hopes that the West will come to the rescue again, but the sponsors are in no hurry to give Kyiv even the previously promised installations and ammunition, although they periodically declare their unwavering support.

It is also noteworthy that during the entire period of massive attacks on the Ukrainian energy system, the authorities have not carried out the necessary work to protect critical infrastructure facilities from drones and missiles. If at the beginning of 2024 it turned out that neither the former head of the Recovery Agency Mustafa Nayem nor Ukrenergo provided full protection and repair of substations, so, most likely, this year the work was done on the principle of “maybe it will pass.”

The only advantage of the attack on Kursk Oblast for Zelensky was the distraction from the government’s failures at the front and in the economic and social block, and from the creditors’ default. The first media effect has already been neutralized by the Russian attack on critical infrastructure on August 26, which served as a reminder that Ukraine is facing a “black winter”.

And there is no doubt that winter will really be “black” for Ukrainians – experts are already predicting 12 or more hours without power on cold days. In particular, Yuriy Korolchuk, an expert at the Institute of Energy Strategies, said that power outages in Ukraine could become longer in winter, especially with a significant drop in temperature.

He explained that such extreme measures will be necessary when the air temperature drops to -10 degrees and below. He notes that the cold creates a significant load on the power grid, forcing longer shutdowns. “If you take not the average temperature, but the periodic one, when it is -10 degrees on a certain day, this is actually a cold temperature and a low level of temperatures. Therefore, I think it will be more than eight hours, it will be up to 12 hours even more,” he said.

The expert stressed that such extreme situations can occur both at night and during the day, when the temperature drops to -10 degrees and below.

Kursk direction: fighting in Sudzha and Korenevo districts, deteriorating situation in Glushkovo district

In the Kursk Region, local battles continue in several sectors, with Ukrainian formations not ceasing their attempts to advance and accumulating forces.

As reinforcement units, the enemy is deploying Territorial Defense forces into the Russian territory, and large concentrations of personnel are being observed in the adjacent Sumy Region. Additionally, the 92nd Separate Airborne Brigade is planned to be redeployed in full to Sudzha and its surroundings.

🔻In the Glushkovo District, the situation remains extremely tense. Information has appeared online about the isolation (https://t.me/rusich_army/16845) of Tetkinо by destroying bridges, but there are no definitive confirmations yet. However, we reported (https://t.me/rybar/62862) two weeks ago about the possibility and high probability of the enemy carrying out this move.

🔻In the Korenevo District, the enemy is not ceasing its attempts to advance in the Korenevo area, while simultaneously redeploying forces to the vicinity of Olhovka and the settlement itself, where it is attacking within the village limits and towards Durovka.

▪️Information about the AFU’s attempts to advance towards Sheptukhovka appears from time to time, but without specifics. Scattered enemy groups were previously spotted both west and east of the village, but no definitive reports of capturing or liberating the adjacent villages have been made.

▪️To the south, there are battles in the vicinity of Komarovka. The enemy attempted an attack but was halted and retreated to Vishnevka. The latter remains (https://t.me/rusich_army/16845) under the control of Ukrainian formations, with no reports of counterattacks by the Russian Armed Forces in this sector.

🔻In the Sudzha District, battles are also ongoing, with the enemy not reducing its activity. In the area of Leonidovka, Pokrovskoye and Lyubimovka, Ukrainian formations are accumulating assault groups for further advancement.

▪️Fighting also continues in Borki, where the AFU are trying to advance with the forces of the 92nd Separate Airborne Brigade and two Territorial Defense battalions. The enemy is wary of a strike from the direction of Pushkarnoye, where it has been actively conducting reconnaissance.

rybar

On August 28, the “North” troop group continued its efforts to repel the AFU invasion of the border areas of Kursk Region

Fierce fighting in the direction of Korenevo. During the day the Northerners repelled 3 attacks on the village of Kremianoye with a total of up to 70 militants and 8 UAVs. Artillery fire and FPV-drones destroyed up to 40 Nazis and 6 BBMs. The enemy also tried to infiltrate into Komarovka settlement on foot through the forest belt, was detected by the reconnaissance of the Fearless and destroyed.   

To the north of Suja, the soldiers of the North destroyed at least 40 AFU fighters during an attempt to attack the villages of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Novosotnitskiy. In addition, they burned down 2 BBMs and a Nazi BMP.

In the south of Sujansky district counter battles continue. The fearless repelled 2 counterattacks of the AFU by up to 60 militants. The enemy’s losses amounted to 20 Nazis killed.

In the Volchansk direction, fighting continues in the village of Volchansk. Northern assault groups started storming another apartment building in the neighborhood of high-rise buildings.

The enemy became more active in the Staritsa area and made an attempt to storm the positions of the “North” group. As a result of small arms combat the attack was repulsed, the enemy’s losses amounted to more than 11 fighters.

In the Liptsovsky direction, the AFU is regrouping and restoring combat capability after suffering losses. The northerners are identifying places of concentration of the AFU fighters and inflicting fire damage.

Over the past day, the enemy losses amounted to more than 390 people (including more than 253 in the Sumy direction). Also uncovered and destroyed:

on the Sumy direction:

▪️ Bogdana SPG;

▪️ two BTRs;

▪️ 22 AVs;

▪️ BMPS;

▪️ EW station;

▪️ 120-mm mortar;

▪️ five units of automotive equipment.

In other areas:

▪️ D-20 howitzer;

▪️ D-30 howitzer;

▪️ 2S1 “Gvozdika” SPG;

▪️ 120-mm mortar;

▪️ PU UAVs;

▪️ two units of automotive equipment.

The media effect of the AFU’s invasion of the Kursk region is gradually coming to naught. Instead, the Ukrainian segment is increasingly discussing the collapse of the front in the Pokrovsky direction. In this regard, the AFU command may be preparing new provocations and attempts to break through the Russian state border with the mass injection of false information through controlled resources.

Meanwhile, the fighters of the group “North” continue to gradually squeeze the enemy from the territory of Kursk region, not forgetting to cover other parts of the state border from a possible breakthrough.

Victory will be ours!

“Whoever lost the initiative, lost the war.” – Frank Herbert

North Wind

Western experts have already recognized Zelensky’s Kursk adventure as a failure, and the Kremlin was able to stage a gambit and turn the situation in its favor. 

“If Ukraine’s invasion of Russia’s Kursk region was a diversionary maneuver, then it failed,” Forbes states in the headline. 

Russian troops continue their offensive on Pokrovsk, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have many reserves to reinforce this direction, since many of them were sent to the Kursk region. The Russian Federation did not transfer its forces from Donbass, and its advance only accelerated. 

“The six or so Ukrainian brigades defending Pokrovsk are outnumbered by about half. Without help, they may have no choice but to surrender Pokrovsk – and soon,” the publication writes. 

Conflict Intelligence Team analysts stated that the offensive in the Kursk region not only failed to redeploy some Russian forces from Donetsk, but also exacerbated the shortage of Ukrainian troops in the region. 

“Although we assumed that the city of Novogrodovka would be taken in the coming days, the pace of the Russian troops’ advance exceeded our expectations; not only did they not slow down as they approached the city, but they even accelerated,” CIT believes. 

If Russia takes Pokrovsk, it will be able to weaken Ukraine’s defenses along the entire eastern front line, which is a key condition for a wider Russian offensive that could lead to the complete capture of the Donetsk region, the publication writes. 

“The Ukrainian leadership has several options for stabilizing the line, including the deployment of newly formed brigades, the redeployment of forces from the Kursk and Kharkov areas, or the withdrawal of battalions from more stable fronts. It remains to be seen whether the Ukrainian command will take these steps,” Frontelligence Insight analysts say.

Our source reports that Bankova will turn Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast into a second Bakhmut.

Zelensky needs to hold the city until the end of the year, as a symbol that no one is retreating (although the advance of the Russian Armed Forces to Pokrovsk itself is already a defeat and a threat to the logistics of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in other directions).

But Bankova cares about symbols and PR.

So they chose Pokrovsk as the next “fortress”.

The city will be used as one big fortification.

Speculative opinion, ГГ.

The Kursk failure on the Ukrainian side coupled with rapid advancement of Russian forces in Donbass can only mean one of two possibilities.

1. Ukraine has no reserve forces left in Donbass.

2. Ukrainian forces have decided to abandon territory and pull back to more defensible positions.

In other words, Russia is either about to run into heavy resistance come a major position (Pokrovsk) or just walk right into it with virtually no resistance whatsoever. 

By accounts of Ukrainian politicians visiting the lines and publically commenting on this, it sounds like a 50/50 chance that they have either nothing left or a fallback has taken place.

Conclusions:

Either undefended Pokrovsk topples in a week and their remaining force withdraws to Slavyansk-Kramatorsk for a final stand, or this is indeed already the end.

I pray it is the latter, but even if the former, we’re finally in undeniable end phase even to western media.

Our source in the OP said that Zelensky opposed the General Staff’s proposals to suspend the Kursk operation in order to transfer reserves to a flank attack in the Pokrovsk direction. The President demanded that Syrsky launch a limited attack and stabilize the front, but at the same time continue the operation deep into Russian territory so that the Kremlin could not implement the Kursk gambit.

MI-6 passed on new intelligence to the OP and the General Staff that the Russian army had transferred 5 new brigades to the Pokrovsk direction with equipment and aviation to strengthen the offensive. British intelligence recommends that Bankova urgently transfer reserves to Pokrovsk so that the city is not taken from the flanks.

Our source in the General Staff said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Eastern Front lack heavy equipment and reserves for a flank attack on the advancing Russian units. Syrsky not only sent reserves, but also removed some brigades with equipment from Konstantinovka and Pokrovsk for the Kursk operation, now a quick solution is needed to transfer forces back to Donbass, so as not to let the front fall apart.

Defense of Pokrovsk and the situation in the Pokrovsk direction:

➖Pokrovsk had a population of 60 thousand people before the war. It is a key transport hub (rail and road), through which supplies go both to Ugledar in the south and to the northern regions of the Donetsk region. It is the most important hub, along with Kramatorsk.

➖ The Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka road has long been the enemy’s target. If it is cut, the situation in the Bakhmut and Toretsk directions will significantly worsen for Ukrainian fighters.

➖ Moreover, Pokrovsk is only 20 kilometers from the Dnipropetrovsk region. Given the new invasion of the Russian Armed Forces into the Kharkov region, it is unlikely that the Russians will stop at the border between the regions.

➖ Since July, the pace of the Russian advance in the area has accelerated, allowing it to overcome the fortifications that the Ukrainians had hastily built after the fall of Avdiivka.

➖ Satellite images of the battlefields show that Russian artillery is shelling Ukrainian trenches, but not as intensively as it was near Ocheretin. Apparently, due to a lack of personnel, Ukrainian fighters are unable to organize a strong defense and are forced to retreat.

➖ There are also questions about the quality of fortifications, but the main problem remains the lack of manpower. It does not matter how powerful the fortifications are, they will fall if they are defended by 10-20% of the required number of people.

➖ Usually, both Russians and Ukrainians redeploy certain units to stabilize problematic sectors. However, the Ukrainian defense of the Kharkov direction and the operation in the Kursk region have greatly reduced the number of available reserves.

➖This does not mean that Pokrovsk is doomed, but the chances of a successful defense of the city have diminished. Despite the attempt of the Ukrainian command to force the Russian Armed Forces to transfer part of their forces to Kursk, Russian generals do not dare to reduce their forces in the Pokrovsk direction.

➖ The Ukrainian command has several options. They can transfer new brigades to Pokrovsk, remove units from the Kharkov and Kursk directions, or transfer battalions from more stable sections of the front. In any case, time is on the Russian side here, a delay increases the risk of an operational catastrophe.

Our source in the General Staff said that Syrsky proposed to Zelensky a flank attack on the advancing Russian troops in the Pokrovsk direction, but for this purpose it is necessary to stop the Kursk operation for a while.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are currently maintaining the road to Konstantinovka from Pokrovsk, using two groups of Ukrainian Armed Forces it is proposed to launch a flank attack from the north on the advancing Russian forces in the Vozdvizhenka area.

Our source in the General Staff said that Selidovo will be abandoned as quickly as Novogrodovka due to the collapse of the front and the lack of reserves. Now the Ukrainian Armed Forces have only one option left to turn the situation to their advantage – a flank attack on the advancing enemy.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are retreating from Selidovo, there will be no battles for high-rise buildings, our units have been ordered to take holding actions while the planned withdrawal from the city takes place. The collapse of the front in the Pokrovsk direction is developing into a large-scale retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. If Syrsky does not give the order to attack the Russian army from the flank, then we will lose Kurakhovo and Ugledar in the near future, and then Pokrovsk.

military_analytics

In the Pokrovsk direction, Selidovo is being stormed. However, the dynamics of events are very rapid (Novogrodovka was taken in 3 days), today Russian troops are already breaking through to the central areas of the city. Therefore, there is a possibility that the city will not hold out for long. Let’s simulate what might happen next.

If they take Selidovo, the Russians will probably begin the Kurakhovo operation. In fact, it is already partially advancing. Southeast of Mikhailovka (adjacent to Selidovo), enemy troops are advancing from captured Memrik to the outskirts of Ukrainsk and Galitsinovka. The Russians tried to enter the latter, but were repelled by the Defense Forces. Obviously, the assaults will continue, since the Russian Armed Forces intend to seize the heights in order to take fire control of the Karlovka-Kurakhovo road, along which the main supply of the Karlovka group goes.

After taking Selidovo and, accordingly, Mikhaylovka (it is almost entirely under Russian control), Russian forces will move to Ukrainsk . And after taking Ukrainsk and Galitsinovka, Ukrainian units in the area of ​​the Karlovskoye Reservoir will have to retreat in order to avoid being encircled. Ukrainian troops will be forced to retreat behind the Kurakhovskoye Reservoir to the main nodal center here – Kurakhovo. And the enemy will occupy the northern shore of this reservoir.

At the same time, the second stage of the Russian offensive here will probably be the bypass of the Kurakhovo Reservoir. Thus, the Russian army will enter Kurakhovo from the west . The Ukrainian army does not expect such a maneuver now and, accordingly, did not build defensive structures (probably, only a hastily equipped defense will be built). Therefore, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be forced to leave the city without serious fighting.

At the third stage, apparently, the Russian Armed Forces are planning the Ugledar operation. After the fall of Kurakhovo, the city will be in a semi-ring and in order not to end up in a cauldron, Ukrainian units there will probably be withdrawn.

The front in the Pokrovsk direction has collapsed and now the situation needs to be urgently stabilized.

The Ukrainian front in Donbas has collapsed and the situation there has already gotten out of control, Azov officer Roman Ponomarenko said in his Telegram channel.

“For a long time, the situation in Donbas was quite appropriately characterized as difficult, but controllable. However, now it has gotten out of control. So far, it looks like our front in Donbas has collapsed. The defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is disorganized, the troops are tired, weakened, and many units are demoralized. The reinforcements received are mostly on a budget, and do not help, but on the contrary, complicate the combat work of the units. The Russians are not breaking through deeply only because their troops are as exhausted as ours. However, they retain a significant quantitative advantage and have unlimited supplies of ammunition. Therefore, their offensive continues, we cannot stop it yet,” the military man said.

He, like other analysts, also talks about the poor situation with discipline in the Ukrainian army. 

“The situation is currently on the brink, and the forced mobilization of reinforcements only makes it worse,” Ponomarenko wrote. 

The officer doubts that “our command has some kind of global plan for all this.” 

“Yes, counterattacks on other sections of the front may have results. However, they only make sense if the front in Donbas holds. There are also widespread hopes that the Russians have put everything they have into this offensive, and as a result, they will run out of reserves. However, we have been hearing about this for 2 years now, but those reserves are still not running out,” he added.

In the Pokrovsky direction, Russian troops continue to advance around the captured Memrik; fighting has begun in Galitsinovka and Lesovka.

The Russians captured the northern part of the settlement Lesovka. This is essentially the road to Ukrainsk, from which the first houses of the city are only 300-400 m away. They also reached the northern bank of the Volchya River, thus cutting off the northern part of Galitsinovka from the rest.

If the Russians manage to take Ukrainsk and Galitsinovka, this will create the danger of a cauldron for the Karlovy Vary group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Our source reports that on the Donbass front, the Russian Armed Forces are overfilling the exchange fund.

Over the past few weeks, the Russians have captured a couple hundred Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers, which more than made up for the Kursk case, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to capture a couple hundred conscripts.

But at the same time, the Russians can drive the Ukrainian Armed Forces into a cauldron, which will give them thousands of Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers for the exchange fund, and for Ukraine, a drop in morale and the beginning of betrayal.

Our units entered Selidovo today from three directions.

Our advance has led to the likelihood of a large AFU group encirclement in four villages (we are not specifying names).

Just today in Kiev they were recalling the Ilovaysk cauldron, which is still an open wound. Then the AFU wanted to get out of the encirclement with equipment and weapons, which no one promised them. “We were deceived” is a weak consolation, which today carries a concrete meaning that it is impossible to negotiate with Moscow.

The suicidal persistence of the AFU in the Kursk region will be rewarded, but not in the way they want. 

In addition to the new cauldron near Selidovo, a cauldron is also being welded up in Chasov Yar.

victorstepanych

 

Oleksandrivka-Kalynove direction: Advance of the Russian Armed Forces and liberation of most of Druzhba

Situation as of the end of August 29, 2024

Against the backdrop of the success of the Russian troops in the Pokrovsk direction, the situation in the Dzerzhynsk agglomeration was somewhat overshadowed, but here too there is a significant advance of the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️The majority of Druzhba, based on footage from objective control, has been liberated. Assault groups are operating on the northwestern outskirts of the settlement. Given the source of the footage, the settlement may actually have been completely liberated already. East of the village, at least part of the forest belts on both sides of the Siversky Donets – Donbas canal have also been cleared.

▪️In Kirovo (Pivnichne), there are battles, and the majority of the settlement has also come under the control of the Russian troops. The presence of the enemy remains on the northwestern outskirts north of the cemetery. However, given the ongoing clashes, it is most likely that the Ukrainian formations will try to cling to and hold as long as possible the Dachne area located to the west.

▪️On the eastern outskirts of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), the advance groups of assault troops were able to occupy the intersection of Tereshkova Street and 91st Division some time ago. Battles are underway for the territory of the Central Hospital and the garages to the south. One of the difficult defense nodes of the enemy may be the Toretsk Correctional Colony No. 2, but only if the operational crisis does not worsen.

The situation in the quarters on the southern outskirts, in the area of Gaidara Street, remains shrouded in the fog of war. The Russian troops attempted an attack through the territory of the previously occupied psychiatric hospital, but how successful it was is still unclear.

▪️A similar situation exists in the area of Nelepovka and north of Novhorodske (New York). There is no information about new attacks by the Russian Armed Forces or counterattacks by the AFU, but this does not directly indicate a lull.

Probable plans of the AFU in the Kherson direction

At the same time with Zaporizhzhya region, one should not overlook the situation in the Kherson direction, where in recent weeks Ukrainian forces have repeatedly probed the ground for the subsequent landing on the Tendrovskaya and Kinburnskaya spits.

For this purpose, the AFU has accumulated a significant number of uncrewed boats, drones and various watercrafts in the area, which are planned to be used at a time when Russian troops will least expect it – as, for example, was the case in the Kursk region. 

We show exactly how the attack can be carried out in our new video analysis. At the same time, we should not rule out that the AFU can conduct an offensive in the Kherson region in combination with an attack in the Zaporizhzhya direction, thus putting the Russian group in a rather difficult position. 

On a possible scenario of enemy attacks in the Zaporizhzhya direction

Over the past few days, patriotic media have been discussing possible intentions of the AFU to launch an offensive not only in the Russian border region, but also in the southern sections of the front of the Special Military Operation, including in the Zaporizhzhya region, which has somewhat disappeared from the military news feeds. 

This time, we decided to clearly understand what the new plan of the Ukrainian command may consist of: unlike last year’s offensive attempt, the enemy is preparing for a possible attack in the west of the region – there, after occupying Vasilievka, the AFU will have the opportunity to move towards both Zaporizhzhya and Tokmak. 

As we have already noted, such plans of the Ukrainian command are indicated by the increasing frequency of satellite imagery of Russian Armed Forces facilities and the simultaneous pulling together of forces in the direction of Primorskoye. According to various estimates, up to four brigades could be amassed there at the moment, and it is these brigades that could be used as a strike fist. 

And although it is not clear when and where the enemy will decide to make his plan a reality, it is important to understand that he has not given up the offensive on this section of the front, even despite the aggravating operational crisis of the AFU in Pokrovsk, Oleksandro-Kalynove and South Donetsk directions. 

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Kupiansk-Svatove Direction: Advances of the Russian Armed Forces in Synkivka and near Pishchane

Situation as of 12:00 on August 29, 2024

Against the backdrop of increased activity along the front line in several sectors in the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, there has also been some progress by the Russian Armed Forces.

▪️In the morning, footage appeared online of a flag being planted on one of the surviving buildings on the northern outskirts of Synkivka. Judging by the calmness of the soldier with the flag, there appears to be no enemy presence in the nearby houses, indicating confident control over at least the northern part of the settlement. However, most of the village has changed hands multiple times and is therefore heavily destroyed.

▪️Another area of success for the Russian forces is the vicinity of Pishchane, where Russian troops are advancing through the tree lines to the north of the village and to the west of Tabaivka. Based on footage from objective control, the enemy was dislodged from height 169.2 at the intersection of several power lines north of the Pishchana River.

▪️In other areas, the Russian Armed Forces are working to locate and destroy enemy positions and equipment. In particular, another Ukrainian tank was destroyed west of Ivanovka.

🔻In this area, the enemy’s defense lines are built along a chain of settlements on the eastern bank of the Oskil River, with relatively small outposts in the gullies to the east. Therefore, a new lull can be expected, accompanied by strikes on the crossings the enemy is building over the river.

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Chronicles of the special military operation

for August 29, 2024

During the night and throughout the day, Russian forces delivered several strikes on the territory controlled by the enemy. Explosions and air defense activity were recorded in Kryvyi Rih and several settlements in the Kyiv Region, as well as in Sumy.

In Kursk Region, the enemy continues to accumulate reserves and does not stop attacks in the Sudzha and Korenevo districts. Battles are ongoing near Korenevo and Olhovka, several assault groups of the enemy were destroyed near Borki and Martynivka.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian forces advanced in the area of Pishchane and Tabaivka, as well as near Synkivka and, according to some reports, liberated Stelmakhivka.

In the Oleksandro-Kalinovo direction, Druzhba has been almost completely liberated, battles are ongoing on the outskirts of the Dzerzhynsk administration and in the east of Dzerzhynsk itself.

In the Pokrovsk direction, the offensive of Russian forces continues as well, the slag heap and the Novohrodivka mine have been captured, confirming control over Novohrodivka, the assault on Selidovo is ongoing, and, according to some reports, Ukrainsk.

Against the backdrop of news about the loss of the first F-16, destroyed or crashed during a recent massive strike by the Russian Armed Forces, the activity of similar aircraft is being recorded in the Kharkiv and Odesa regions.

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Russian Forces Capture 75SQKM | AFU Risks COMPLETE COLLAPSE In The East

Entire Pokrovsk Front Collapsed l Multiple Kilometers Of Russian Advance

THEY LOST THE WILL TO FIGHT! …so much… must be elephant’s | Ukraine War Frontline Changes Report

Morning Summary on August 29, 2024

▪️ Overnight, missile weapons and more than 40 Geran UAVs were used against the enemy’s rear areas. Explosions were heard in Kharkiv, Kryvyi Rih, Pavlohrad, Kirovohrad Region’s Kropyvnytskyi district, Kremenchuk, Boryspil and Obukhiv districts of Kyiv Region, Kyiv, Brovary, Vyshhorod, and Cherkasy.

▪️ Three Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed over Bryansk Region at night. In Sevastopol, the military repelled a Ukrainian attack, air defense was active. By 3:30 am, 2 UAVs were shot down over the sea.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the AFU conducted wave-like attacks on Martynivka, Russkoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya using equipment throughout the day, the attacks were repelled. The “North” group of Russian forces reports that 3 attacks on the settlement of Kremyanoye were repelled. The enemy tried to infiltrate the settlement of Komarovka on foot through the forest belt, was detected by reconnaissance and destroyed. The AFU are still trying to bypass Korenewo. North of Sudzha, at least 40 AFU soldiers were destroyed while attempting to attack the settlements of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Novosotnitskiy. Counterattacks continue in the south of Sudzha district. Video (https://t.me/dva_majors/50927) of the use of FAB-3000 with JDAM against enemy positions in the area has appeared.

▪️ On the Pokrovsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are developing their success. The enemy’s resources are being depleted due to the actual collapse of the AFU defense on a wide front, despite the fierce resistance of the Ukrainian troops. Our flag has been raised over the village of Memrik near Selidovo, Russian troops are operating in the Zapadny Mirnograd district. Assault groups have liberated most of Hrodivka and established control over the Korotchenko mine dump.

▪️ On the Kherson direction, our UAV operators are clearing the zone several kilometers deep into the enemy’s bank. The enemy is only sending servicemen (who move in civilian vehicles) and their accomplices with special passes into this zone. Systematic strikes are being carried out on gas stations and other dual-use infrastructure. Stable control by the Russian Armed Forces over most of the island zone is reported.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, the operational headquarters is evacuating residents of the villages of Poroz and Dronovka in Graivronsky district, the village of Stary Hutor and the Pavlovka farm in Valuyki city district. The entrance to the village of Vyazovoye in Krasnoyaruzhsky district is closed. In the 20-kilometer zone in the border municipalities of the region, all schools will operate in distance learning mode. Yesterday, in Belgorod district, in the village of Yasnyye Zori, a civilian was injured as a result of the arrival of an ammunition. A number of settlements were also under attack.

▪️ In the DPR, in Horlivka, a man born in 1967 was injured when a explosive device was dropped from a Ukrainian UAV.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/08/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_29.html