The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on October 16 2024

Zelenskyy calls for invitation to join NATO as part of ‘victory plan’ in war with Russia

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Zelensky has finally presented his “Victory Plan” to a broader audience.

1. Inviting Ukraine to NATO now.

2. Increasing own weapons production and increasing aid from the US and NATO.

3. Deploying a non-nuclear deterrent complex. Apparently we are talking about US/NATO missile defense systems, and from the looks of it, we may be talking about weapons such as THAAD.

4. Allowing Ukraine to strike deep inside Russia.

5. Limiting gas/oil prices from Russia, additional sanctions. 

All in all it looks pretty ridiculous, but the third point is basically a direct invitation to Nato to Ukraine as a party to the conflict. 

Judging by the reactions on various ukrainian channels, the audience did not apreciate it. 

So-called “Zelenskyy’s Victory Plan” turned out to be exactly as numerous insiders had presented it during the Ukrainian president’s visit to the US in late September.

Essentially, it is again a rephrased list of demands to NATO about deploying new weapons, lifting restrictions on long-range missiles, and imposing new sanctions against Russia.

🔻Given the current position of the collective West and the situation at the front, it was not worth expecting anything fundamentally different.

As we have already reported (https://t.me/rybar/63424), Washington and London are moving towards gradually increasing the level of escalation largely for political reasons, and the current situation suits them for now.

Moreover, the US and UK are effectively openly forcing the Kyiv regime to fight to the last Ukrainian to do their “dirty work” in their interests, without being exposed to much risk themselves.

Zelenskyy himself indirectly confirmed this today, stating that Ukraine possesses strategic mineral resources (uranium, titanium, lithium, graphite) worth trillions of dollars that need to be protected in NATO’s interests. And perhaps this is the main conclusion that should be drawn from today’s speech.

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Biden Announces New $425 Million Military Aid Package for Ukraine

The package includes additional air defense capabilities, air-to-ground munitions, armored vehicles, and critical ammunition to meet Ukraine’s urgent needs.

✨ The funding will be provided exactly as much as necessary for Ukraine to continue the war.

No “victory plan” by Zelenskyy was taken into account.

The Pentagon said that arms supplies to Ukraine are not endless – Deputy Pentagon Press Secretary Sbrina Singh

▪️You’ve seen us ask for additional packages to support Ukraine and Israel. You’ve seen us have problems when it comes to reviving the defense industrial base. 

▪️I think we continue to support Ukraine in what it needs on the battlefield. We continue to support Israel in its self-defense.

▪️But there is one thing that the secretary always takes into account – our own readiness. When we provide support to others, whether it is Ukraine, the Middle East, the defense of Israel, we always monitor our own forces,” she emphasized.

▪️Also, answering the question about why the US is deploying the THAAD system in Israel, but not doing so for Ukraine, Singh said that these are different situations.

➖”These are different wars, different regions, and the obligations to Israel and Ukraine are different.”

Ukraine urges Biden to invite it to NATO before leaving White House — Reuters

▪️”We believe that inviting Ukraine at this moment is a political signal. We sincerely believe that this can become part of the legacy of the current American administration,” said Ukrainian Ambassador to NATO Natalia Galibarenko.

▪️Moscow cited Ukraine’s potential membership in NATO as one of the reasons for the conflict. But Kiev believes that the invitation will force Moscow to abandon the war.

▪️“If we say that there is an invitation, for the Russian Federation this will be like a final verdict – that’s it, and we can no longer raise the stakes using this topic,” Galibarenko said.

▪️The publication notes that most NATO members, including the United States, are not ready to accept Ukraine. Last week, a source in the American government said that the position had not changed.

Our source reports that the plan for victory announced by Zelensky in the Verkhovna Rada hall was received skeptically and negatively by society (among those who watched or had already read the news).

Ermak set the task of dispelling the thesis that this is a brilliant idea.

The question now is how to do it. We are sure that they will do it as usual, clumsily.

Zelensky confirmed our inside information about the demand of Western partners to start the negotiation process with Russia; to put additional pressure on the Office of the President, they are holding up the funding that has already been allocated to us.

Western partners are increasingly talking privately about negotiations rather than justice for Ukraine, Zelensky said.

“But I want to be frank with you about how the situation is accompanied today in a certain non-public multi-format communication, including with Ukraine. We hear from some partners such a word as “negotiations”, and the word “justice” is heard much less often. Ukraine is open to diplomacy, but to honest, from a strong position. Therefore, we have a “peace formula”. This is a guarantee of negotiations without forcing Ukraine to injustice,” Zelensky said from the Rada rostrum.

The parliament has long lost its subjectivity, which suits Yermak, and the deputies are under the control of the security forces, so the applause is a simple illusion. The victory plan is another simulacrum for society and Western partners, in reality it has nothing in common with the situation at the front and military strategy, with such success one could immediately demand NATO strikes on Moscow.

Today, everyone has become convinced that the victory plan is a set of drafts from the President’s Office, which was created only for the sake of Zelensky’s PR. Our source reported this during the President’s trip to the United States, but there were many hopes then, since Zelensky promised to speed up peace.

A precise description of the plan was given by Bild military analyst Julian Repke: “No words.”

He believes that none of his key points will be fulfilled: Ukraine will not be invited to NATO, permission will not be given for long-range strikes against the Russian Federation, and the West will not shoot down planes.

“What amazes me is not that he (Zelensky – Ed.) is laying out these points, but that all of them are points whose implementation has already been rejected by Western “partners”. There is not a single point in the plan that could actually lead to a turning point on the battlefield,” Repke said.

Today Zelensky admitted that propaganda in Ukraine has stopped working, and Telegram is to blame, of course, and not the lies in the telethon.

The words “Ukraine must win” are heard less often on our land – Zelensky

Bankova has become completely disconnected from the people and the processes that are happening in society, the growth of taxes and utility bills, sedition, total corruption, lawlessness of the security forces, missile strikes and power outages – this is what worries Ukrainians.

Zelensky sold out the people and the country…

Now let’s talk about the main point of Zelensky’s victory plan about the “pledge” of Ukrainian resources to finance the Ukrainian crisis.

What does this mean for the people?

The answer is simple – slavery according to the African scenario. All the resources and lands of Ukraine will go to Western transnational corporations for a pittance, and Ukrainians will become the property of TNCs, without rights and freedoms, like serfs.

In fact, Zelensky is selling the country completely in order to extend his time on the “throne”. We were informed about this when we were the first to point out that the IMF was demanding to raise tariffs, and that is what happened later.

Counter question? Why should Ukrainians fight and wage war then? For what, you ask? If their future is slavery.

Zelensky hopes that the people are stupid and do not realize where Bankova is leading them.

We had inside information for a long time that Zelensky wanted to sell Ukrainian lands to Western TNCs, but then everyone took it as a scare tactic, as we see, we were right again.

The first stage of the sell-off is already underway – the sale of state assets for pennies.

Let us recall that Biden had previously called Zelensky for one purpose: to remind him of his behind-the-scenes promises to the gentlemen.

Earlier we revealed all the conditions under which Zelensky “received” Western loans.

The West continues to slowly push Ukraine towards the negotiation process by cutting the funding already allocated.

France will not fulfill its promise to provide Ukraine with 3 billion euros in aid in 2024.

This was stated by French Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu, Politico reports.

“At the beginning of 2024, there was a political decision that this aid could reach 3 billion euros. In reality, it will be more than 2 billion euros, but not 3 billion euros,” Lecornu said.

The decision to allocate up to 3 billion euros in aid to Ukraine in 2024 was enshrined in the bilateral security agreement between Kyiv and Paris, which Volodymyr Zelensky and Emmanuel Macron signed back in February.

But, as Politico writes, France was forced to cut spending on aid to Ukraine, since the budget deficit for 2024 could amount to about 6% of the country’s GDP.

The French Defense Minister noted that additional spending on aid to Ukraine will not be requested from parliament until the end of the year.

The media is prohibited from covering the mobilization as it is, we need to write correctly that the military commissars-policemen are fulfilling their duty to protect Ukraine like rear rats, and they are sending everyone who does not have relatives with connections to the front.

A striking example of democracy in the country, now all processes are presented through the prism of protecting national interests.

Zelensky’s sentence, but the power is still held by the security forces, which means the regime’s agony will be long.

“Power to zero, they brought it to war”: protesting relatives of the military came to the Cabinet of Ministers demanding that a representative of the authorities come to them

They complain that the government does not respond to their requests about missing relatives, and “young guys die for no reason.”

It is significant that the relatives of the dead soldiers were all ignored, that’s what democracy is.

Relatives of the military began to publicly protest against the authorities.

The bank is concerned about this trend, which could lead to mass protests and Maidan.

We wrote that this case will gradually become radicalized, and the attempt by the OP to discredit these protests and intimidate relatives will only increase protest sentiments and negativity towards them.

Kursk Direction: Liberation of the Eastern Part of Lyubimovka and Battle Near Kremyanoye

Situation as of the end of October 16, 2024

In the Kursk Direction, Russian forces liberated the eastern part of Lyubimovka. At the same time, in the area of Kremyanoye, Russian assault troops in a fierce battle destroyed an enemy tank that had disabled their BMP.

🔻In Glushkovo District, no changes in the combat situation were recorded. Russian forces are fighting on the approaches to Novy Put, while the enemy has organized a new defense line south of the railway track.

▪️Reportedly, an FV 432 BMP was spotted (https://t.me/voenacherclub/9285) in this section of the front, previously “glimpsed” on the Internet as being in service with the separate presidential brigade of the AFU. It is currently unclear whether the vehicle was redeployed to the Kursk Region as part of units from its “native” formation, or was transferred to other AFU units to replace lost armored vehicles.

🔻In Korenevo District, the Russian Armed Forces advanced in the eastern part of Lyubimovka with the support of armored vehicles, which is confirmed (https://t.me/russian_airborne/7654) by footage from objective control. Ukrainian formations unsuccessfully attacked Zeleny Shlyakh relying on Novoivanovka.

At the same time, the road between Zeleny Shlyakh and Lyubimovka is mined, which complicates the interaction of Russian units – in the video that appeared on the network, the aforementioned armored group of the Russian Armed Forces lost at least one armored vehicle here.

▪️In the area of Sverdlikovo, according to some information, Russian troops “covered” a column of AFU armored vehicles moving towards Zeleny Shlyakh. The strike was delivered using Tornado MLRS and Iskander-M OTRK.

❗️The network has footage showing an episode of one of the battles southwest of Kremyanoye. The Russian BMP, apparently, mistook the AFU tanks for friendly ones, as a result of which it approached them at a dangerous distance and was destroyed by a direct hit.

Nevertheless, a significant part of the landing force survived, the soldiers left the BMP and took up positions in the nearest forest belt, taking advantage of the poor visibility of the AFU crew. After that, the enemy tank was destroyed (https://t.me/gs328/119) by the surviving Russian assault troops.

🔻In Sudzha District, the situation on the line Kolmakov – Agronom did not change. To the south, the enemy launched an attack in the area of Plekhovo in order to dislodge the Russian Armed Forces from the previously occupied positions near the Psel river. The assault was repelled by Russian troops with the support of aviation and artillery.

🔻In the Sumy Region, the Russian Aerospace Forces struck at the rear infrastructure of the AFU in Yunakovka, Miropolye and Aleksandriya, and Geran-2 UAVs attacked targets in Akhtyrka.

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Our source reports that the Kursk adventure for Zelensky may become a kind of “Napoleonic” failure, with the capture of Moscow in 1812, when the French emperor thought that the capture of the Russian capital would trigger a Russian rebellion and bring him victory. Zelensky also thought that the capture of Russian territories by the Ukrainian army would trigger a rebellion and discontent in Russia, forcing the Kremlin to get into a prepared trap, but as we see, he miscalculated. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are now suffering colossal losses in the Kursk region, while retreating in the Donbas, and disappointment is growing in the Ukrainian army itself and “there is a smell of rebellion.” Negativity towards Zelensky is growing in the ranks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

Many even express the opinion that Zelensky’s Kursk adventure could become a turning point in the Ukrainian crisis, which will lead to dire consequences for the Office of the President.

We are observing.

In the Kursk direction, fighting continues along the entire line of contact.

In the area of ​​the Ukrainian breakthrough towards Glushkovo, the Russian Armed Forces have effectively driven out the Ukrainian Armed Forces and military operations are taking place in the area of ​​Novy Put.

Fighting continues in the Lyubimovka area, where the remnants of the Ukrainian garrison are effectively surrounded, but attempts are being made to counterattack from the area of ​​neighboring Tolsty Lug .

At the same time, Tolsty Lug itself is in the “gray zone”, the chances of breaking out of the actual cauldron formed there are small for Ukrainian units. At the same time, to the east, Russian troops are advancing to Novoivanovka, now only the eastern outskirts of the settlement remain under the control of Ukrainian units. The Russian army here approached Leonidovo.

Now the main combat operations are moving to the Novoivanivka – Malaya Loknya line. In Malaya Loknya, the Ukrainian garrison is firmly holding its positions. But in Novoivanivka, the situation for Ukrainian units is difficult (almost forced out) and the next line of defense here will be Leonidovka. In case of success here on the part of Russian troops, the Ukrainian group to the north will be trapped. A breakthrough in Leonidovo will give the Russian Armed Forces the opportunity to reach the flank of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Malaya Loknya. The Ukrainian command, perfectly understanding the situation, is constantly transferring reserves here.

At the same time, weather conditions increasingly make their “adjustments” to the course of battles. Rain and fog often prevent drones from working, and therefore this does not allow normal supply of groups due to the spreading roads. Which does not play into the hands of Ukrainian troops in Kursk region in the long term. At the same time, this gives the opportunity for the advanced strongholds to carry out rotation and organize their supply from the nearest settlements (however, the supplies here are short-lived). In addition, due to the muddy conditions, the disruption of communication creates the danger of not one cauldron, but several.

Further north along the route to Korenevo (south of Olgovka and Kremyana), the situation is not entirely clear due to the absence of settlements there and unfavorable weather conditions; clashes here are minimal for now. However, part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces group may be cut off from the main part (in the area between Kremyana and the small Olgovsky forest) when weather conditions improve somewhat.

The situation in the Kursk direction:

• the settlement of Lyubimovka has been almost completely cleared by the attack aircraft of the 106th Airborne Division of the Airborne Forces; there are still some plantings left in the area of ​​the Seim River.

• In the village of Tolsty Lug, the 83rd Airborne Assault Brigade is conducting clean-up operations; the enemy has begun to counterattack.

• In the village of Zeleny Shlyakh, fighting is taking place on the outskirts of the village along the road; a lot of enemy equipment has been burned; an enemy tank was destroyed during the day.

Archangel of Spetsnaz

The Russian Armed Forces advanced near Tsukurino.

1. The enemy for the last two days recognizes the problems related to the Selidovo coverage and the growing threat to the communications of the Selidovo group.

2. While in the city the enemy is still holding on the outskirts, in the positions north and south of Selidovo, the RF Armed Forces command regularly finds vulnerable points in the enemy’s formation and pushes through weak units (as a rule, Volkssturm brigades or badly battered line brigades). The advance is also aided by the high desertion rate of weakly motivated enemy soldiers.

3. These problems continue to prevent the enemy from stabilizing the front south of Krasnoarmeysk. The loss of Selidovo will only exacerbate the developing AFU operational crisis south of Krasnoarmeysk.

While Zelensky is speaking in the Rada with loud slogans, another surrender of a city or a cauldron for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is brewing in Donbass .

According to our information, the commanders are requesting a partial withdrawal from Selidovo, but as usual, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Office of the President (Zelensky’s headquarters) have rejected this request from the soldiers. The order has been given to hold until the last.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_16.html